Final Win Prob. pScore
2351%100
86
2749%99
98
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
93.59291.2
MIL logo Bucks
110.18989.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL86
98
Q4 - 0:10.0DETDinwiddie 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)86
98
Q4 - 0:22.0MILParker 1' Layup (14 PTS)83
98
Q4 - 0:22.0MILParker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)83
96
Q4 - 0:23.0MILMISS Middleton 28' 3PT Jump Shot83
96
Q4 - 0:47.0MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
96
Q4 - 0:49.0DETMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
96
Q4 - 0:58.0DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
96
Q4 - 0:59.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
96
Q4 - 1:21DETAntetokounmpo STEAL (2 STL)83
96
Q4 - 1:42MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)83
96
Q4 - 1:42MILSUB: Middleton FOR Mayo83
95
Q4 - 1:42DETSUB: Dinwiddie FOR Augustin83
95
Q4 - 1:42DETSUB: Martin FOR Drummond83
95
Q4 - 1:42DETSUB: Anthony FOR Monroe83
95
Q4 - 1:42DETSUB: Jerebko FOR Smith83
95
Q4 - 1:42MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)83
95
Q4 - 1:42DETSingler P.FOUL (P4.PN)83
94
Q4 - 1:56MILSanders REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)83
94
Q4 - 1:57DETMISS Singler 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
94
Q4 - 2:08DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)83
94
Q4 - 2:12MILMISS Knight Free Throw 2 of 283
94
Q4 - 2:12MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)83
94
Q4 - 2:12DETAugustin P.FOUL (P3.PN)83
93
Q4 - 2:20DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)83
93
Q4 - 2:20MILSanders S.FOUL (P5.PN)82
93
Q4 - 2:20DETMonroe Layup (14 PTS) (Smith 8 AST)82
93
Q4 - 2:26DETSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)80
93
Q4 - 2:28MILSanders REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)80
93
Q4 - 2:28MILMISS Sanders 1' Tip Shot80
93
Q4 - 2:29MILMISS Sanders 2' Layup80
93
Q4 - 2:50MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
93
Q4 - 2:52DETMISS Singler 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
93
Q4 - 3:11MILSUB: Sanders FOR Pachulia80
93
Q4 - 3:11DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)80
93
Q4 - 3:11MILKnight 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)80
93
Q4 - 3:16MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
90
Q4 - 3:18DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup80
90
Q4 - 3:35MILPachulia 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Knight 8 AST)80
90
Q4 - 3:52MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)80
88
Q4 - 3:53MILMISS Antetokounmpo 5' Running Hook Shot80
88
Q4 - 4:17DETMonroe 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)80
88
Q4 - 4:30MILSUB: Parker FOR Ilyasova78
88
Q4 - 4:30MILMayo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)78
88
Q4 - 4:43DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (23 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)78
88
Q4 - 4:57MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
88
Q4 - 4:57DETSUB: Monroe FOR Butler76
87
Q4 - 4:57MILSUB: Knight FOR Dudley76
87
Q4 - 4:57MILSUB: Antetokounmpo FOR Bayless76
87
Q4 - 4:57MILSUB: Mayo FOR Middleton76
87
Q4 - 4:57MILBUCKS Rebound76
87
Q4 - 4:57MILMISS Ilyasova Free Throw 1 of 276
87
Q4 - 4:57DETSingler Shooting Block Foul (P3.T4)76
87
Q4 - 5:08DETAugustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)76
87
Q4 - 5:15DETSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)73
87
Q4 - 5:16MILMISS Ilyasova 16' Jump Shot73
87
Q4 - 5:29MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
87
Q4 - 5:30DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 273
87
Q4 - 5:30DETPistons Rebound73
87
Q4 - 5:30DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 273
87
Q4 - 5:30MILMiddleton Personal Block Foul (P3.PN)73
87
Q4 - 5:46MILPachulia 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)73
87
Q4 - 5:50MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)73
85
Q4 - 6:02MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)73
85
Q4 - 6:03MILMISS Bayless 3PT Jump Shot73
85
Q4 - 6:12MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
85
Q4 - 6:13DETMISS Augustin 16' Jump Shot73
85
Q4 - 6:41MILPachulia 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)73
85
Q4 - 6:45DETSUB: Smith FOR Jerebko73
83
Q4 - 6:45DETJerebko Personal Block Foul (P1.T3)73
83
Q4 - 6:55MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
83
Q4 - 6:56MILMISS Dudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
83
Q4 - 7:07MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
83
Q4 - 7:09MILMISS Middleton 19' Jump Shot73
83
Q4 - 7:29DETButler 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST)73
83
Q4 - 7:52MILBayless 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)71
83
Q4 - 8:1671
81
Q4 - 8:16DETButler L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)71
81
Q4 - 8:16MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
81
Q4 - 8:16MILMISS Pachulia 14' Jump Shot71
81
Q4 - 8:29DETIlyasova STEAL (1 STL)71
81
Q4 - 8:43MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)71
81
Q4 - 8:56DETAugustin 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)71
81
Q4 - 9:11MILMiddleton P.FOUL (P2.T4)69
81
Q4 - 9:13MILPachulia P.FOUL (P3.T3)69
81
Q4 - 9:33MILMiddleton 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)69
81
Q4 - 9:53DETSingler L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)69
79
Q4 - 9:53MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
79
Q4 - 9:53DETMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot69
79
Q4 - 10:09MILMiddleton Personal Block Foul (P1.T2)69
79
Q4 - 10:16MILDudley P.FOUL (P3.T1)69
79
Q4 - 10:19DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
79
Q4 - 10:20MILMISS Middleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
79
Q4 - 10:27MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
79
Q4 - 10:28DETMISS Augustin 6' Jump Shot69
79
Q4 - 10:49DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)69
79
Q4 - 10:50MILMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot69
79
Q4 - 11:14DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (21 PTS) (Augustin 7 AST)69
79
Q4 - 11:21DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
79
Q4 - 11:22MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
79
Q4 - 11:22MILMISS Ilyasova 2' Tip Shot67
79
Q4 - 11:24MILMISS Ilyasova 2' Layup67
79
Q4 - 11:40MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
79
Q4 - 11:41DETMISS Singler 9' Step Back Jump Shot67
79
Q4 - 12:0067
79
Q3 - 0:00.0DET67
79
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound67
79
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Augustin Layup67
79
Q3 - 0:04.0MILBayless Foul Turnover (P3.T15)67
79
Q3 - 0:04.0MILBayless Offensive Charge Foul (P2.PN)67
79
Q3 - 0:16.0DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)67
79
Q3 - 0:28.0MILIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)67
79
Q3 - 0:37.0MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
76
Q3 - 0:38.0DETMISS Butler 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
76
Q3 - 0:44.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)67
76
Q3 - 0:45.0MILMISS Dudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
76
Q3 - 0:52.0MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
76
Q3 - 0:53.0DETMISS Butler 1' Layup67
76
Q3 - 1:07MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
76
Q3 - 1:07MILSUB: Bayless FOR Knight67
75
Q3 - 1:07MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)67
75
Q3 - 1:07DETSingler P.FOUL (P1.PN)67
74
Q3 - 1:15MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
74
Q3 - 1:16MILMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
74
Q3 - 1:22MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
74
Q3 - 1:24DETMISS Augustin 20' Jump Shot67
74
Q3 - 1:38MILPachulia Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)67
74
Q3 - 1:53MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
74
Q3 - 1:54DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 267
74
Q3 - 1:54DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
74
Q3 - 1:54MILSUB: Middleton FOR Mayo66
74
Q3 - 1:54MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)66
74
Q3 - 1:54MILPachulia Shooting Block Foul (P2.PN)66
74
Q3 - 2:14MILDudley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Knight 7 AST)66
74
Q3 - 2:28MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
71
Q3 - 2:30DETMISS Augustin 1' Layup66
71
Q3 - 2:54MILIlyasova Layup (7 PTS) (Mayo 3 AST)66
71
Q3 - 3:09MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
69
Q3 - 3:10DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 266
69
Q3 - 3:10DETPistons Rebound66
69
Q3 - 3:10DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 266
69
Q3 - 3:10MILIlyasova L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)66
69
Q3 - 3:10DETSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)66
69
Q3 - 3:11DETMISS Singler 3PT Jump Shot66
69
Q3 - 3:26MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Sanders66
69
Q3 - 3:26MILSanders P.FOUL (P4.T4)66
69
Q3 - 3:38MILKnight 1' Layup (14 PTS)66
69
Q3 - 3:48DETAugustin Driving Layup (6 PTS)66
67
Q3 - 3:59DETSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
67
Q3 - 4:00MILMISS Mayo 17' Jump Shot64
67
Q3 - 4:12DETSUB: Monroe FOR Drummond64
67
Q3 - 4:12DETDrummond Foul Turnover (P3.T16)64
67
Q3 - 4:12DETDrummond OFF.Foul (P4)64
67
Q3 - 4:19DETSUB: Singler FOR Jerebko64
67
Q3 - 4:19MILSUB: Dudley FOR Antetokounmpo64
67
Q3 - 4:19MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Parker64
67
Q3 - 4:19DETSUB: Jerebko FOR Caldwell-Pope64
67
Q3 - 4:19DETSUB: Butler FOR Monroe64
67
Q3 - 4:19MILAntetokounmpo P.FOUL (P4.T3)64
67
Q3 - 4:22MILAntetokounmpo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)64
67
Q3 - 4:27MILParker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)64
67
Q3 - 4:28MILMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
67
Q3 - 4:36MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
67
Q3 - 4:37DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
67
Q3 - 4:52MILKnight 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Sanders 1 AST)64
67
Q3 - 5:07MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
64
Q3 - 5:08DETMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
64
Q3 - 5:27DETPistons Rebound64
64
Q3 - 5:27MILJump Ball Antetokounmpo vs. Smith: Tip to Caldwell-Pope64
64
Q3 - 5:27MILMISS Antetokounmpo 1' Layup64
64
Q3 - 5:33DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Augustin 6 AST)64
64
Q3 - 5:38DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
64
Q3 - 5:39MILSanders REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)62
64
Q3 - 5:39MILMISS Sanders 1' Tip Shot62
64
Q3 - 5:41MILMISS Antetokounmpo Layup62
64
Q3 - 5:59DETAugustin Traveling Turnover (P5.T15)62
64
Q3 - 6:03DETSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
64
Q3 - 6:05MILMISS Mayo 1' Layup62
64
Q3 - 6:22MILSanders Violation:Defensive Goaltending62
64
Q3 - 6:22DETMonroe 1' Layup (10 PTS)62
64
Q3 - 6:35DETPistons Rebound60
64
Q3 - 6:36MILMISS Antetokounmpo 6' Hook Shot60
64
Q3 - 6:51MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
64
Q3 - 6:53DETMISS Drummond Layup60
64
Q3 - 7:00MILKnight Violation:Kicked Ball60
64
Q3 - 7:08MILMayo Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)60
64
Q3 - 7:08MILMayo Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)60
63
Q3 - 7:08MILMayo Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)60
62
Q3 - 7:08DET60
61
Q3 - 7:08DETCaldwell-Pope Shooting Block Foul (P3.T4)60
61
Q3 - 7:17DETSmith 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)60
61
Q3 - 7:34DETPistons Rebound58
61
Q3 - 7:34MILMISS Knight 17' Jump Shot58
61
Q3 - 7:50DETDrummond Dunk (17 PTS)58
61
Q3 - 7:52DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
61
Q3 - 7:54DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot56
61
Q3 - 8:09DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)56
61
Q3 - 8:09MILMayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)56
61
Q3 - 8:17MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
58
Q3 - 8:18DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 256
58
Q3 - 8:18DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)56
58
Q3 - 8:18MILAntetokounmpo Shooting Block Foul (P3.T2)55
58
Q3 - 8:31DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
58
Q3 - 8:32MILMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 155
58
Q3 - 8:32DETSmith S.FOUL (P2.T3)55
58
Q3 - 8:32MILParker Layup (12 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)55
58
Q3 - 8:36DETParker STEAL (1 STL)55
56
Q3 - 8:45DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
56
Q3 - 8:47MILMISS Antetokounmpo Reverse Layup55
56
Q3 - 9:03DETCaldwell-Pope P.FOUL (P2.T2)55
56
Q3 - 9:05DETKnight STEAL (2 STL)55
56
Q3 - 9:14DETMonroe Violation:Defensive Goaltending55
56
Q3 - 9:14MILKnight 1' Layup (9 PTS)55
56
Q3 - 9:17MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
54
Q3 - 9:18DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
54
Q3 - 9:26DETPistons Rebound55
54
Q3 - 9:27DETParker BLOCK (1 BLK)55
54
Q3 - 9:44MILMayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)55
54
Q3 - 9:55DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)55
51
Q3 - 10:12MILParker 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)52
51
Q3 - 10:27DETDrummond L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)52
49
Q3 - 10:27MILBUCKS Rebound52
49
Q3 - 10:27DETMISS Augustin 18' Jump Shot52
49
Q3 - 10:42DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
49
Q3 - 10:43MILMISS Sanders 4' Jump Shot52
49
Q3 - 10:58DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
49
Q3 - 10:58DETDrummond 1' Tip Shot (15 PTS)52
49
Q3 - 11:01DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 150
49
Q3 - 11:01MILAntetokounmpo S.FOUL (P2.T1)50
49
Q3 - 11:01DETMonroe Layup (8 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)50
49
Q3 - 11:07DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
49
Q3 - 11:08MILMISS Antetokounmpo 18' Jump Shot48
49
Q3 - 11:19DETMonroe Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)48
49
Q3 - 11:40DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
49
Q3 - 11:41MILMISS Mayo Layup48
49
Q3 - 12:0048
49
Q2 - 0:00.0DET48
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound48
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Pachulia 19' Jump Shot48
49
Q2 - 0:11.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
49
Q2 - 0:12.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
49
Q2 - 0:12.0DETMISS Smith 1' Layup48
49
Q2 - 0:14.0DETMISS Singler 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
49
Q2 - 0:33.0MILPachulia 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)48
49
Q2 - 0:44.0MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
47
Q2 - 0:45.0DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 248
47
Q2 - 0:45.0MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Sanders48
47
Q2 - 0:45.0DETPistons Rebound48
47
Q2 - 0:45.0DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 248
47
Q2 - 0:45.0MILSanders Shooting Block Foul (P3.PN)48
47
Q2 - 0:56.0DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
47
Q2 - 0:57.0MILMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot48
47
Q2 - 1:09DETSUB: Monroe FOR Drummond48
47
Q2 - 1:09DETDrummond Foul Turnover (P2.T11)48
47
Q2 - 1:09DETDrummond Offensive Charge Foul (P2.PN)48
47
Q2 - 1:29MILKnight 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
47
Q2 - 1:37DETSUB: Dinwiddie FOR Augustin48
45
Q2 - 1:37DETAugustin P.FOUL (P2.T2)48
45
Q2 - 1:46MILBUCKS Rebound48
45
Q2 - 1:46DETMISS Singler Layup48
45
Q2 - 1:58MILParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T12)48
45
Q2 - 1:58DETMayo STEAL (1 STL)48
45
Q2 - 2:02DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
45
Q2 - 2:05MILMISS Knight 1' Layup48
45
Q2 - 2:09DETKnight STEAL (1 STL)48
45
Q2 - 2:30MILSanders Layup (12 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)48
45
Q2 - 2:35MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
43
Q2 - 2:37MILMISS Sanders 3' Jump Shot48
43
Q2 - 2:55DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)48
43
Q2 - 2:55DETPistons Rebound47
43
Q2 - 2:55DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 247
43
Q2 - 2:55DETSUB: Augustin FOR Dinwiddie47
43
Q2 - 2:55DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)47
43
Q2 - 2:55MILSanders Shooting Block Foul (P2.PN)47
43
Q2 - 3:08MILParker 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
43
Q2 - 3:23MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
41
Q2 - 3:25DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
41
Q2 - 3:37DETSUB: Caldwell-Pope FOR Monroe47
41
Q2 - 3:37DETSUB: Smith FOR Jerebko47
41
Q2 - 3:37DETJerebko Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)47
41
Q2 - 3:37MILMayo T.FOUL (P1.T4)46
41
Q2 - 3:37DETSUB: Drummond FOR Butler46
41
Q2 - 3:37MILSUB: Sanders FOR Pachulia46
41
Q2 - 3:37MILMayo L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)46
41
Q2 - 3:37DETPistons Rebound46
41
Q2 - 3:38DETMISS Dinwiddie 1' Layup46
41
Q2 - 3:47MILMayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)46
41
Q2 - 4:02DETButler 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)46
38
Q2 - 4:15MILMayo 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)44
38
Q2 - 4:31DETSingler Layup (8 PTS)44
36
Q2 - 4:34DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
36
Q2 - 4:35MILMISS Knight 18' Jump Shot42
36
Q2 - 4:59MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
36
Q2 - 5:00DETMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot42
36
Q2 - 5:16MILKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)42
36
Q2 - 5:19DETButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)42
36
Q2 - 5:23MILMayo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)42
36
Q2 - 5:42DETMonroe 1' Layup (6 PTS)42
36
Q2 - 5:52MILSUB: Antetokounmpo FOR Dudley40
36
Q2 - 5:52MILSUB: Mayo FOR Ilyasova40
36
Q2 - 5:52MILSUB: Parker FOR Middleton40
36
Q2 - 5:52MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)40
36
Q2 - 5:52MILMiddleton Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)40
36
Q2 - 6:07DETSingler 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dinwiddie 3 AST)40
36
Q2 - 6:22MILDudley P.FOUL (P2.T3)37
36
Q2 - 6:33DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
36
Q2 - 6:34DETMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot37
36
Q2 - 6:49MILSUB: Knight FOR Bayless37
36
Q2 - 6:49MILPachulia P.FOUL (P1.T2)37
36
Q2 - 7:00MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)37
36
Q2 - 7:00MILBUCKS Rebound37
36
Q2 - 7:00MILMISS Pachulia 13' Jump Shot37
36
Q2 - 7:25DETMonroe 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Dinwiddie 2 AST)37
36
Q2 - 7:44MILBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)35
36
Q2 - 7:53DETBayless STEAL (1 STL)35
36
Q2 - 8:05MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Henson35
36
Q2 - 8:05MILDudley Personal Take Foul (P1.T1)35
36
Q2 - 8:08MILBayless 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)35
36
Q2 - 8:14MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
34
Q2 - 8:15DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
34
Q2 - 8:15DETMISS Monroe 1' Tip Shot35
34
Q2 - 8:17DETMISS Dinwiddie Layup35
34
Q2 - 8:36DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
34
Q2 - 8:38MILMISS Ilyasova 2' Layup35
34
Q2 - 8:5135
34
Q2 - 8:51DETMonroe Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)35
34
Q2 - 9:10MILIlyasova 1' Layup (5 PTS)35
34
Q2 - 9:29DETButler 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dinwiddie 1 AST)35
32
Q2 - 9:49MILMiddleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)33
32
Q2 - 10:00DETMiddleton STEAL (1 STL)33
29
Q2 - 10:10DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
29
Q2 - 10:11MILMISS Henson 1' Layup33
29
Q2 - 10:13MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
29
Q2 - 10:15MILMISS Ilyasova 18' Jump Shot33
29
Q2 - 10:23DETSUB: Dinwiddie FOR Augustin33
29
Q2 - 10:23DETSUB: Jerebko FOR Smith33
29
Q2 - 10:23DETSmith P.FOUL (P1.T1)33
29
Q2 - 10:39DETButler 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)33
29
Q2 - 10:59MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)31
29
Q2 - 11:21MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
26
Q2 - 11:22DETMISS Singler 27' 3PT Jump Shot31
26
Q2 - 11:46MILHenson Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)31
26
Q2 - 12:0031
26
Q1 - 0:00.0DET31
26
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound31
26
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot31
26
Q1 - 0:10.0MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Sanders31
26
Q1 - 0:10.0DETSUB: Monroe FOR Drummond31
26
Q1 - 0:10.0MILAntetokounmpo Foul Turnover (P2.T5)31
26
Q1 - 0:10.0MILAntetokounmpo OFF.Foul (P1)31
26
Q1 - 0:11.0DETAntetokounmpo STEAL (1 STL)31
26
Q1 - 0:15.0MILBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)31
26
Q1 - 0:32.0DETDrummond Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)31
26
Q1 - 0:42.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
26
Q1 - 0:44.0MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
26
Q1 - 0:52.0DETDrummond Dunk (10 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)29
26
Q1 - 1:06MILAntetokounmpo 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
26
Q1 - 1:23DETSingler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)27
24
Q1 - 1:32DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
24
Q1 - 1:33MILMISS Middleton 10' Jump Shot24
24
Q1 - 1:48DETAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
24
Q1 - 1:48DETAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
24
Q1 - 1:48MILBayless P.FOUL (P1.PN)22
24
Q1 - 1:56MILSanders L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)22
24
Q1 - 1:56DETPistons Rebound22
24
Q1 - 1:56MILMISS Ilyasova 14' Jump Shot22
24
Q1 - 2:07DETSUB: Singler FOR Caldwell-Pope22
24
Q1 - 2:07MILBUCKS Rebound22
24
Q1 - 2:07DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 10' Turnaround Jump Shot22
24
Q1 - 2:19DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
24
Q1 - 2:20MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
24
Q1 - 2:26MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)22
24
Q1 - 2:28DETMISS Smith Layup22
24
Q1 - 2:40MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)22
24
Q1 - 2:40MILSanders Layup (10 PTS)22
24
Q1 - 2:43MILMISS Antetokounmpo 2' Layup22
22
Q1 - 2:50MILSUB: Bayless FOR Knight22
22
Q1 - 2:50MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Parker22
22
Q1 - 2:50DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)22
22
Q1 - 2:50DETAugustin P.FOUL (P1.T3)22
22
Q1 - 3:03DETDrummond Dunk (8 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 2 AST)22
22
Q1 - 3:12MILSUB: Middleton FOR Mayo20
22
Q1 - 3:12MILParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)20
22
Q1 - 3:13MILParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
22
Q1 - 3:14DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
22
Q1 - 3:39MILKnight 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
22
Q1 - 3:50DETAugustin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)20
20
Q1 - 4:05MILSanders 1' Layup (8 PTS)20
20
Q1 - 4:06MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
18
Q1 - 4:07MILMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
18
Q1 - 4:17DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)20
18
Q1 - 4:20DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
18
Q1 - 4:23MILMISS Parker 1' Layup18
18
Q1 - 4:39DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
18
Q1 - 4:39DETSmith Layup (7 PTS)18
18
Q1 - 4:41DETMISS Smith 3' Layup16
18
Q1 - 4:57MILSanders Layup (6 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)16
18
Q1 - 5:04DETCaldwell-Pope P.FOUL (P1.T2)16
16
Q1 - 5:10DETSUB: Butler FOR Monroe16
16
Q1 - 5:10MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
16
Q1 - 5:19DETAugustin 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)16
16
Q1 - 5:23MILKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
16
Q1 - 5:29MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
16
Q1 - 5:32DETMISS Drummond Layup14
16
Q1 - 5:38DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
16
Q1 - 5:39MILMISS Mayo 14' Jump Shot14
16
Q1 - 5:54DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)14
16
Q1 - 6:15MILParker 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)11
16
Q1 - 6:28DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
14
Q1 - 6:39MILKnight 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
14
Q1 - 6:52DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)11
11
Q1 - 6:53DETPistons Rebound9
11
Q1 - 6:53DETSanders BLOCK (1 BLK)9
11
Q1 - 7:04MILKnight P.FOUL (P1.T2)9
11
Q1 - 7:20DETDrummond S.FOUL (P1.T1)9
11
Q1 - 7:20MILMayo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
11
Q1 - 7:20MILMayo 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
10
Q1 - 7:38DETSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)9
8
Q1 - 8:02MILSanders Layup (4 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)6
8
Q1 - 8:14DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)6
6
Q1 - 8:19MILAntetokounmpo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
6
Q1 - 8:42DETMonroe 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 9:00MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
6
Q1 - 9:00MILSanders 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 9:02MILMISS Parker 2' Reverse Layup2
4
Q1 - 9:13DETDrummond 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 9:20MILParker P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 9:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
4
Q1 - 9:30MILMISS Antetokounmpo 1' Layup2
4
Q1 - 9:45DETSmith Layup (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 9:46DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
4
Q1 - 9:47DETMISS Smith 2' Hook Shot0
4
Q1 - 9:59MILParker 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)0
4
Q1 - 10:05MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:06DETMISS Monroe 6' Hook Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:16DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:18MILMISS Antetokounmpo 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:37MILBUCKS Rebound0
2
Q1 - 10:37DETMISS Augustin 14' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:03MILParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 11:03MILParker Layup (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:04MILMISS Antetokounmpo 2' Hook Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:07MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:09MILMISS Antetokounmpo 1' Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:17MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:18MILMISS Sanders 3' Hook Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:40MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:41DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 17' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Sanders vs. Drummond: Tip to Augustin0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDETMIL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.98 48.9%
MIL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
25
41
61%
MIL
17
40
43%
Midrange
DET
4
17
24%
MIL
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
MIL
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
Free Throws
DET
7
17
41%
MIL
10
13
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Drummond2377%11.5 / 15
G. Monroe1575%7.5 / 10
D. Augustin1146%5.5 / 12
J. Smith1137%5.5 / 15
K. Singler840%4.0 / 10
C. Butler844%4.0 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope633%3.0 / 9
S. Dinwiddie350%1.5 / 3
J. Jerebko1-0.0 / 0
C. Martin0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Knight2071%10.0 / 14
O. Mayo1771%8.5 / 12
J. Parker1470%7.0 / 10
E. Ilyasova1350%6.5 / 13
L. Sanders1250%6.0 / 12
Z. Pachulia850%4.0 / 8
K. Middleton536%2.5 / 7
J. Bayless467%2.0 / 3
J. Dudley350%1.5 / 3
G. Antetokounmpo28%1.0 / 13
J. Henson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
73
+13
-19
86
MIL
73
+21
-16
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.98 48.9%
MIL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
103.1
DET 93.5
MIL 110.1 +16.6
Pace
93.1
93.7
DET 91.2 +1.4
MIL 89.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.8
DET 15.8 −0.2
MIL 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
49.9%
DET 50.6% +1.7%
MIL 48.9%
TO %
13.5%
16.8%
DET 18.2%
MIL 15.1% −3.1%
ORB %
27.7%
25.5%
DET 20.5%
MIL 40.4% +19.9%
FTrt
26.1
25.8
DET 21.8 +7.4
MIL 14.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.2%
62.7%
DET 63.9% +7.5%
MIL 56.4%
STL %
8.1%
10.1%
DET 7.6%
MIL 10.1% +2.5%
BLK %
7.6%
8.6%
DET 7.4% +4.0%
MIL 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
52.1%
DET 48.9%
MIL 50.0% +1.1%
Rim FG%
53.4%
56.4%
DET 61.0% +18.5%
MIL 42.5%
Mid FG%
37.8%
40.4%
DET 23.5%
MIL 42.9% +19.4%
3P %
34.4%
36.3%
DET 35.0%
MIL 45.5% +10.5%
FT %
70.3%
75.7%
DET 41.2%
MIL 76.9% +35.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.8%
39.8%
DET 52.6% +8.1%
MIL 44.4%
Mid Att. %
30.1%
37.8%
DET 21.8% −9.3%
MIL 31.1%
3P Att. %
29.0%
22.3%
DET 25.6% +1.2%
MIL 24.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIL
Possessions9289
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points8698
Rebounds3650
Assists2322
Steals79
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)19 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (4)31 (4)
Field Goals36-7839-90
At-the-Rim FG25-4117-40
Midrange FG4-1712-28
2-Point FG29-5829-68
3-Point FG7-2010-22
Free Throws7-1710-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 183 · 27
37.2
11
46%
2
7
1
0
5
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 225 · 29
34.3
11
37%
10
8
1
3
2
2
4
6
2-10
20%
3-8
38%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 279 · 21
32.4
23
77%
10
1
1
2
3
4
2
8
1-2
50%
11-15
73%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 265 · 24
31.7
15
75%
8
1
0
0
3
0
1
7
1-2
50%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 204 · 22
21.2
6
33%
0
2
2
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-7
29%
F · 6'8" 228 · 27
30.4
8
40%
3
0
0
0
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-7
29%
F · 6'7" 228 · 35
24.9
8
44%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 231 · 28
13.7
1
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 22
10.8
3
50%
0
3
1
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 220 · 30
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 32
1.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 170 · 25
· 6'8" 216 · 23
#20 · G · 6'4" 210 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · F · 6'8" 215 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
49%
36
23
7
5
19
0
8
28
7-17
41%
29-58
50%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.