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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 26, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Raptors57%103126
16Hawks43%100115
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.3
33
35
27
3
2
0
1
0
5
1
2
9-9
100%
6-13
7-15
46%
46%
2-3
67%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 28.7
33
34
14
6
13
1
1
0
1
1
5
6-8
75%
1-6
4-9
17%
48%
2-6
33%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 27.6
28
26
10
4
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
58%
0-2
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.6
24
27
11
7
0
0
0
1
1
2
5
3-4
75%
4-8
4-8
50%
56%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 23.8
22
26
12
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.1
26
23
22
0
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
6-6
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
4-6
67%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.7
21
23
3
7
0
1
1
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
1-1
100%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
20
11
4
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31.5
17
11
2
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-2
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 27.9
17
18
21
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
46%
3-6
50%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.2
4
0
0-1
53%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 22.3
4
0
0-1
51%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.4
3
0
0-1
48%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 29.1
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 19.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.3
39
33
14
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
51%
2-4
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.7
37
28
19
4
3
0
1
1
3
1
3
3-3
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
4-6
67%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.8
36
33
8
5
4
1
2
0
1
3
2
2-4
50%
3-6
5-10
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.5
34
32
24
3
12
1
1
0
5
0
3
8-8
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
2-3
67%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.5
32
26
23
9
4
0
1
2
1
2
7
1-2
50%
11-15
5-10
73%
54%
0-1
0%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.3
17
17
5
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.2
16
17
13
1
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
46%
1-1
100%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.6
15
18
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.4
11
19
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.4
4
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.7
7
0
1-1
48%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.4
4
0
1-1
48%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.7
3
0
0-1
47%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.