Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Heat	58%	98	86	95.6	90	89.4
	21	Knicks	42%	95	79	92.9	85	85.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 30	37.7	10	33%	10	2	3	0	2	3	5	5	6-8	75%	2-7	29%	0-4	0%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 31	33.2	20	48%	9	2	1	0	1	2	0	9	4-6	67%	5-12	42%	2-6	33%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 33	32.3	27	64%	5	5	0	0	7	1	4	1	5-9	56%	11-17	65%	0-1	0%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 26	21.2	3	38%	1	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Shawne Williams F · 6'10" 230 · 29	20.6	5	50%	3	2	0	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-4	25%

Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 28	25.5	7	58%	3	4	1	1	0	2	0	3	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	2-2	100%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 29	23.5	3	38%	2	2	0	0	3	5	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 23	19.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 34	16.7	4	40%	6	0	2	0	1	2	0	6	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 24	10.2	7	88%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Justin Hamilton C · 7'0" 255 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danny Granger F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Andersen #11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Andre Dawkins #24 · G · 6'5" 219 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	86	47%	41	20	8	1	14	0	10	31	19-31	61%	23-49	47%	7-23	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

12 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 30	37.7	10	33%	10	2	3	0	2	3	5	5	6-8	75%	2-7	29%	0-4	0%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 31	33.2	20	48%	9	2	1	0	1	2	0	9	4-6	67%	5-12	42%	2-6	33%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 33	32.3	27	64%	5	5	0	0	7	1	4	1	5-9	56%	11-17	65%	0-1	0%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 26	21.2	3	38%	1	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Shawne Williams F · 6'10" 230 · 29	20.6	5	50%	3	2	0	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-4	25%

Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 28	25.5	7	58%	3	4	1	1	0	2	0	3	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	2-2	100%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 29	23.5	3	38%	2	2	0	0	3	5	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 23	19.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 34	16.7	4	40%	6	0	2	0	1	2	0	6	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 24	10.2	7	88%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Justin Hamilton C · 7'0" 255 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danny Granger F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Andersen #11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Andre Dawkins #24 · G · 6'5" 219 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	86	47%	41	20	8	1	14	0	10	31	19-31	61%	23-49	47%	7-23	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 31	41.2	31	50%	8	2	1	1	0	3	3	5	8-10	80%	10-20	50%	1-6	17%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 33	34.1	9	56%	10	6	0	0	5	2	3	7	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Iman Shumpert G · 6'5" 212 · 24	24.6	6	25%	3	1	2	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-10	30%	0-3	0%
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 24	23.9	3	75%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 35	19.6	2	17%	10	0	1	1	0	3	4	6	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-

Amar'e Stoudemire F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32	36.9	19	56%	12	1	0	1	1	4	7	5	5-8	63%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
Shane Larkin G · 5'11" 175 · 22	16.9	5	50%	1	1	1	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Tim Hardaway Jr. G-F · 6'5" 205 · 23	16.2	2	20%	1	1	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Travis Wear F · 6'10" 225 · 24	8.8	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29	6.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Pablo Prigioni G · 6'3" 185 · 38	5.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
JR Smith G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29	5.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Cole Aldrich C · 6'11" 253 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andrea Bargnani #77 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Cleanthony Early #17 · F · 6'8" 210 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	79	40%	50	14	6	3	12	0	20	30	14-20	70%	28-64	44%	3-24	13%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	NYK
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	NYK

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.95 47.3%

NYK

0.81 40.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

11

24

46%

NYK

17

35

49%

Midrange

MIA

12

25

48%

NYK

11

29

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

7

10.5

23

30%

46%

NYK

3

4.5

24

13%

19%

Free Throws

MIA

19

31

61%

NYK

14

20

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	27	64%	13.5 / 21
C. Bosh	20	48%	10.0 / 21
L. Deng	10	33%	5.0 / 15
J. McRoberts	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Ennis III	7	88%	3.5 / 4
S. Williams	5	50%	2.5 / 5
U. Haslem	4	40%	2.0 / 5
N. Cole	3	38%	1.5 / 4
M. Chalmers	3	38%	1.5 / 4
S. Napier	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Anthony	31	50%	15.5 / 31
A. Stoudemire	19	56%	9.5 / 17
J. Calderon	9	56%	4.5 / 8
I. Shumpert	6	25%	3.0 / 12
S. Larkin	5	50%	2.5 / 5
Q. Acy	3	75%	1.5 / 2
S. Dalembert	2	17%	1.0 / 6
T. Hardaway	2	20%	1.0 / 5
T. Wear	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 2
P. Prigioni	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 103.9 29 99.8	MIA 95.6 +2.6 NYK 92.9
Pace	29 91.0 27 91.3	MIA 89.4 +3.8 NYK 85.6
Avg. Poss. Time	2 16.3 4 16.2	MIA 16.1 −0.7 NYK 16.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 50.0% 27 47.0%	MIA 46.5% +9.6% NYK 36.9%
TO %	24 15.2% 21 15.0%	MIA 14.9% NYK 12.6% −2.3%
ORB %	26 23.3% 18 24.6%	MIA 25.0% NYK 39.2% +14.2%
FTrt	4 30.6 27 23.4	MIA 43.1 +20.4 NYK 22.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 56.4% 9 60.6%	MIA 66.7% +21.5% NYK 45.2%
STL %	8 8.6% 21 7.6%	MIA 8.9% +1.8% NYK 7.1%
BLK %	12 8.0% 13 8.0%	MIA 1.6% NYK 6.1% +4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 52.2% 28 49.2%	MIA 47.3% +7.0% NYK 40.3%
Rim FG%	8 59.7% 28 53.5%	MIA 45.8% NYK 48.6% +2.8%
Mid FG%	8 40.9% 18 39.8%	MIA 48.0% +10.1% NYK 37.9%
3P %	24 33.5% 15 34.7%	MIA 30.4% +17.9% NYK 12.5%
FT %	22 74.1% 8 76.9%	MIA 61.3% NYK 70.0% +8.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 35.1% 28 31.2%	MIA 33.3% NYK 39.8% +6.4%
Mid Att. %	22 38.7% 27 44.8%	MIA 34.7% NYK 33.0% −1.8%
3P Att. %	17 26.2% 21 24.0%	MIA 31.9% +4.7% NYK 27.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	NYK
Possessions	90	85
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	86	79
Rebounds	41	50
Assists	20	14
Steals	8	6
Blocks	1	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	20 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (4)	30 (2)
Field Goals	30-72	31-88
At-the-Rim FG	11-24	17-35
Midrange FG	12-25	11-29
2-Point FG	23-49	28-64
3-Point FG	7-23	3-24
Free Throws	19-31	14-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg