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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 1, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs84%104109
3076ers16%90103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
34
13
14
8
6
0
1
0
3
1
7
6-8
75%
4-9
2-4
44%
52%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.4
33
33
26
10
4
2
2
0
3
1
9
6-8
75%
7-9
5-9
78%
57%
2-6
33%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.0
29
17
15
9
0
1
0
0
2
3
6
3-4
75%
6-9
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.6
29
28
5
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
55%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.4
26
30
5
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-4
2-3
0%
50%
1-5
20%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.7
31
11
11
7
3
1
0
0
1
2
5
4-5
80%
2-6
1-2
33%
50%
1-7
14%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
14
17
12
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
50%
2-2
100%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.5
14
6
3
6
1
0
0
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.3
13
21
14
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
4-5
80%
2-5
2-5
40%
52%
2-3
67%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
12
4
4
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
2-2
100%
1-5
0-1
20%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.2
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.5
33
1
6-12
52%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.6
27
1
5-10
51%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.3
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.1
35
31
24
11
7
0
1
0
4
1
10
4-5
80%
7-16
5-11
44%
42%
2-3
67%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.7
29
25
7
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.7
25
25
12
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-2
0%
3-6
4-8
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.2
22
26
6
1
3
3
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
0-2
0%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
19
17
8
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
3-6
2-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 21.8
30
28
10
9
2
3
1
2
2
1
8
5-8
63%
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
1-5
20%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 26.0
28
16
19
4
4
2
1
0
0
2
2
3-3
100%
5-10
1-3
50%
41%
2-6
33%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.0
17
10
9
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
3-3
100%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
13
2
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-2
0%
2-4
0-0
50%
43%
0-2
0%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 21.7
12
3
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
42%
1-1
100%
Drew Gordon
C-F · 6'9" 245 · 24.4
10
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.6
34
1
4-8
46%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.6
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.7
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.