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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 1, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Heat
86
17Wizards
107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.7
33
33
21
8
3
0
1
2
4
0
8
2-5
40%
8-11
6-11
73%
51%
1-3
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.9
28
32
20
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-5
40%
9-13
7-13
69%
50%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.6
24
34
9
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-7
71%
2-5
4-8
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
23
22
7
3
0
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.8
19
23
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.5
31
28
11
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
4-7
3-5
57%
48%
0-4
0%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
25
22
6
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
44%
0-5
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.8
24
21
8
4
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
4-5
80%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-1
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.4
14
13
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.5
12
15
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.7
5
3
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.5
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.6
3
0
0-1
41%
Andre Dawkins
G · 6'5" 219 · 23.2
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.2
32
34
18
5
13
2
2
1
2
0
5
4-5
80%
4-6
5-11
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.8
27
33
15
10
1
0
1
2
1
1
9
3-4
75%
6-9
6-11
67%
55%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
24
23
8
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.1
20
26
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.4
17
32
8
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
45%
2-3
67%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.5
33
19
23
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
4-5
80%
5-9
1-3
56%
47%
3-5
60%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.5
24
18
7
5
2
1
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
21
14
10
1
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.0
20
13
6
8
1
0
0
0
1
1
7
2-4
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.7
16
13
6
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.6
5
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
54%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.6
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.2
8
0
1-3
52%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.0
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.