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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Monday
December 1, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Nuggets55%105103
21Jazz45%104101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.1
39.0
33.0
15
44%
4
12
2
1
0
3
1
3
3-5
60%
6-14
4-9
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
34.1
28.2
15
58%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
49%
3-7
43%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.1
30.6
28.9
14
64%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
2-4
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.0
29.0
23.3
11
51%
5
2
0
1
1
1
2
3
3-4
75%
4-9
4-8
44%
55%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.4
27.8
25.8
10
100%
10
1
0
0
1
2
2
8
0-0
-
5-5
4-7
100%
54%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.2
21.5
16.3
10
38%
8
2
1
0
3
1
2
6
2-3
67%
4-12
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.2
17.4
12.6
6
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
17.1
16.8
12
76%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
2-5
40%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.3
13.9
20.7
6
41%
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
2-3
67%
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-4
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 30.5
9.6
13.6
4
67%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
10.2
0
1-2
46%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.9
10.1
0
2-3
55%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.3
3.9
0
1-1
52%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.2
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 24.7
38.7
34.4
25
58%
5
1
1
1
0
4
0
5
8-8
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
48%
3-6
50%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 23.4
37.4
30.2
22
57%
8
3
0
1
0
3
2
6
8-10
80%
7-13
4-8
54%
47%
0-2
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 22.1
36.0
29.7
18
69%
1
8
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
44%
4-7
57%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.0
33.4
20.1
6
43%
9
1
2
1
1
1
3
6
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 22.5
30.9
23.2
17
43%
15
2
0
0
2
1
5
10
1-2
50%
8-19
5-9
42%
52%
0-0
-
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 22.4
24.4
16.7
9
47%
7
1
0
0
1
0
3
4
3-6
50%
3-7
2-3
43%
55%
0-0
-
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 19.4
12.6
17.6
2
35%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 27.2
10.9
20.3
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 22.1
10.7
12.4
2
26%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 31.5
5.1
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 23.4
32.1
1
6-12
53%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
2.5
0
0-1
46%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 27.1
1.3
0
0-0
52%
Toure' Murry
F · 6'5" 195 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.