Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Hawks	37%	95	112	117.9	95	93.9
	11	Heat	63%	100	102	107.4	95	96.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 34	34.6	18	69%	6	2	1	0	2	4	0	6	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 30	34.2	14	54%	6	5	2	0	4	4	2	4	1-3	33%	5-11	45%	1-1	100%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 26	33.5	27	90%	5	6	3	0	2	1	0	5	8-8	100%	5-6	83%	3-5	60%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 29	29.0	6	75%	2	3	0	1	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 28	21.9	6	30%	5	1	1	0	1	3	2	3	2-3	67%	2-7	29%	0-2	0%

Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 21	22.4	16	80%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32	19.6	4	40%	1	0	0	0	3	4	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Thabo Sefolosha F · 6'7" 220 · 31	17.5	7	88%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 25	14.0	5	50%	2	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 26	13.2	9	90%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Kent Bazemore G · 6'5" 201 · 25	0.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Muscala F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Adreian Payne #33 · · 6'10" 237 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
John Jenkins #12 · G · 6'4" 215 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	63%	30	25	9	1	16	0	5	25	20-23	87%	28-49	57%	12-25	48%

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14 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 34	34.6	18	69%	6	2	1	0	2	4	0	6	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 30	34.2	14	54%	6	5	2	0	4	4	2	4	1-3	33%	5-11	45%	1-1	100%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 26	33.5	27	90%	5	6	3	0	2	1	0	5	8-8	100%	5-6	83%	3-5	60%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 29	29.0	6	75%	2	3	0	1	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 28	21.9	6	30%	5	1	1	0	1	3	2	3	2-3	67%	2-7	29%	0-2	0%

Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 21	22.4	16	80%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32	19.6	4	40%	1	0	0	0	3	4	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Thabo Sefolosha F · 6'7" 220 · 31	17.5	7	88%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 25	14.0	5	50%	2	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 26	13.2	9	90%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Kent Bazemore G · 6'5" 201 · 25	0.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Muscala F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Adreian Payne #33 · · 6'10" 237 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
John Jenkins #12 · G · 6'4" 215 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	63%	30	25	9	1	16	0	5	25	20-23	87%	28-49	57%	12-25	48%

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11 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 31	37.9	27	84%	11	1	0	2	2	1	0	11	6-8	75%	6-9	67%	3-3	100%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 29	34.8	19	79%	5	11	1	1	3	3	0	5	7-9	78%	6-6	100%	0-2	0%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 33	34.5	28	58%	3	7	2	1	4	3	2	1	6-9	67%	11-18	61%	0-2	0%
Josh McRoberts F · 6'10" 240 · 28	20.9	4	50%	0	5	3	0	4	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 30	16.6	5	50%	3	0	1	0	2	1	0	3	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%

Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 23	32.4	7	70%	2	1	2	0	0	4	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Shawne Williams F · 6'10" 230 · 29	18.1	6	60%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 24	16.6	2	33%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 34	12.0	2	100%	2	0	0	1	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Danny Granger F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32	9.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Justin Hamilton C · 7'0" 255 · 25	7.0	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andre Dawkins G · 6'5" 219 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Norris Cole #30 · G · 6'2" 175 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Andersen #11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	62%	30	25	10	5	18	0	4	26	24-32	75%	30-48	63%	6-16	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.26 62.9%

MIA

1.24 62.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

16

21

76%

MIA

21

26

81%

Midrange

ATL

12

28

43%

MIA

9

22

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

12

18.0

25

48%

72%

MIA

6

9.0

16

38%

56%

Free Throws

ATL

20

23

87%

MIA

24

32

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Teague	27	90%	13.5 / 15
K. Korver	18	69%	9.0 / 13
D. Schröder	16	80%	8.0 / 10
P. Millsap	14	54%	7.0 / 13
M. Scott	9	90%	4.5 / 5
T. Sefolosha	7	88%	3.5 / 4
A. Horford	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Carroll	6	30%	3.0 / 10
S. Mack	5	50%	2.5 / 5
P. Antic	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	28	58%	14.0 / 24
C. Bosh	27	84%	13.5 / 16
M. Chalmers	19	79%	9.5 / 12
S. Napier	7	70%	3.5 / 5
S. Williams	6	60%	3.0 / 5
L. Deng	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. McRoberts	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Ennis III	2	33%	1.0 / 3
U. Haslem	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Hamilton	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Granger	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 108.9 21 103.9	ATL 117.9 +10.5 MIA 107.4
Pace	12 94.0 29 91.0	ATL 93.9 MIA 96.1 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time	17 15.1 2 16.3	ATL 15.3 MIA 15.0 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 52.7% 12 50.0%	ATL 62.2% +1.3% MIA 60.9%
TO %	16 14.3% 24 15.2%	ATL 18.4% −1.2% MIA 19.6%
ORB %	30 21.4% 26 23.3%	ATL 16.1% +2.3% MIA 13.8%
FTrt	21 25.9 4 30.6	ATL 31.1 MIA 50.0 +18.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 67.6% 22 56.4%	ATL 62.5% MIA 69.4% +6.9%
STL %	4 9.6% 8 8.6%	ATL 9.5% MIA 10.5% +1.0%
BLK %	11 8.1% 12 8.0%	ATL 2.1% MIA 10.2% +8.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.7% 13 52.2%	ATL 62.9% +0.7% MIA 62.2%
Rim FG%	12 58.1% 8 59.7%	ATL 76.2% MIA 80.8% +4.6%
Mid FG%	2 42.2% 8 40.9%	ATL 42.9% +2.0% MIA 40.9%
3P %	2 38.0% 24 33.5%	ATL 48.0% +10.5% MIA 37.5%
FT %	5 77.8% 22 74.1%	ATL 87.0% +12.0% MIA 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 36.1% 18 35.1%	ATL 28.4% MIA 40.6% +12.2%
Mid Att. %	5 31.8% 22 38.7%	ATL 37.8% MIA 34.4% −3.5%
3P Att. %	4 32.1% 17 26.2%	ATL 33.8% +8.8% MIA 25.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIA
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	112	102
Rebounds	30	30
Assists	25	25
Steals	9	10
Blocks	1	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (3)	18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (5)	4 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (1)	26 (0)
Field Goals	40-74	36-64
At-the-Rim FG	16-21	21-26
Midrange FG	12-28	9-22
2-Point FG	28-49	30-48
3-Point FG	12-25	6-16
Free Throws	20-23	24-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg