Final Win Prob. pScore
1437%95
112
1163%100
102
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo Hawks
117.99593.9
MIA logo Heat
107.49596.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL112
102
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T19)112
102
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHaslem Offensive Charge Foul (P4.PN)112
102
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLWade STEAL (2 STL)112
102
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWade 2' Layup (28 PTS)112
102
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLSUB: Sefolosha FOR Korver112
100
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)112
100
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLSUB: Scott FOR Millsap111
100
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLSUB: Antic FOR Horford111
100
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)111
100
Q4 - 0:42.0MIANapier S.FOUL (P4.PN)110
100
Q4 - 1:04ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)110
100
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
100
Q4 - 1:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)110
100
Q4 - 1:18ATLMISS Millsap 17' Jump Shot110
100
Q4 - 1:40MIAChalmers 3' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)110
100
Q4 - 1:52ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)110
98
Q4 - 2:09ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)108
98
Q4 - 2:10ATLMISS Millsap 10' Jump Shot108
98
Q4 - 2:31MIAWade 12' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)108
98
Q4 - 2:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)108
96
Q4 - 2:39ATLMISS Millsap 8' Jump Shot108
96
Q4 - 3:00ATLSUB: Horford FOR Antic108
96
Q4 - 3:00ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)108
96
Q4 - 3:02MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Chalmers 11 AST)108
96
Q4 - 3:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)108
94
Q4 - 3:11ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
94
Q4 - 3:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)108
94
Q4 - 3:35ATLKorver S.FOUL (P4.PN)108
93
Q4 - 3:35MIAWade 10' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)108
93
Q4 - 3:42ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)108
91
Q4 - 3:42ATLHawks Rebound107
91
Q4 - 3:42ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 2107
91
Q4 - 3:42MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.PN)107
91
Q4 - 4:00MIAChalmers 1' Driving Reverse Layup (17 PTS)107
91
Q4 - 4:14ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)107
89
Q4 - 4:21ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)104
89
Q4 - 4:22MIAMISS Wade 1' Finger Roll Layup104
89
Q4 - 4:27ATLNapier STEAL (2 STL)104
89
Q4 - 4:49ATLMillsap Violation:Defensive Goaltending104
89
Q4 - 4:49MIAWade 6' Driving Jump Shot (19 PTS)104
89
Q4 - 5:01ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)104
87
Q4 - 5:12ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
87
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
87
Q4 - 5:27ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)101
87
Q4 - 5:27ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)100
87
Q4 - 5:27MIANapier S.FOUL (P3.PN)99
87
Q4 - 5:35MIABosh 2' Layup (27 PTS) (Chalmers 10 AST)99
87
Q4 - 5:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)99
85
Q4 - 5:52ATLMISS Schroder 3' Driving Layup99
85
Q4 - 6:07MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)99
85
Q4 - 6:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)99
84
Q4 - 6:07ATLMillsap P.FOUL (P4.PN)99
83
Q4 - 6:19MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Granger99
83
Q4 - 6:19MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)99
83
Q4 - 6:22ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)99
83
Q4 - 6:22ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)98
83
Q4 - 6:22MIAGranger S.FOUL (P1.T4)97
83
Q4 - 6:25ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
83
Q4 - 6:26MIAMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot97
83
Q4 - 6:50ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)97
83
Q4 - 7:08ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
83
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 294
83
Q4 - 7:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)94
83
Q4 - 7:09ATLKorver S.FOUL (P3.T4)94
82
Q4 - 7:24ATLAntic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)94
82
Q4 - 7:24ATLAntic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)93
82
Q4 - 7:24MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T3)92
82
Q4 - 7:33ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
82
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper92
82
Q4 - 7:46ATLMillsap Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)92
82
Q4 - 7:47ATLHawks Rebound92
82
Q4 - 7:48ATLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)92
82
Q4 - 7:58MIASUB: Napier FOR Chalmers92
82
Q4 - 7:58ATLSUB: Millsap FOR Scott92
82
Q4 - 7:58ATLSUB: Antic FOR Mack92
82
Q4 - 7:58ATLSUB: Teague FOR Horford92
82
Q4 - 7:5892
82
Q4 - 7:58MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T2)92
82
Q4 - 8:00MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)92
82
Q4 - 8:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)92
82
Q4 - 8:05ATLMISS Korver 18' Jump Shot92
82
Q4 - 8:10ATLMack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
82
Q4 - 8:11ATLMISS Mack 13' Pullup Jump Shot92
82
Q4 - 8:33MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)92
82
Q4 - 8:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
79
Q4 - 8:43ATLMISS Mack 3PT Jump Shot92
79
Q4 - 9:01ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
79
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 292
79
Q4 - 9:02MIASUB: Wade FOR Napier92
79
Q4 - 9:02ATLSUB: Korver FOR Sefolosha92
79
Q4 - 9:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)92
79
Q4 - 9:02ATLHorford S.FOUL (P2.T3)92
78
Q4 - 9:13ATLMack 7' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)92
78
Q4 - 9:40MIABosh Dunk (20 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST)90
78
Q4 - 9:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
76
Q4 - 9:50ATLMISS Schroder 10' Floating Jump Shot90
76
Q4 - 10:00MIAHaslem Personal Block Foul (P1.T1)90
76
Q4 - 10:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
76
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup90
76
Q4 - 10:24ATLScott 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)90
76
Q4 - 10:40MIAHaslem 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)88
76
Q4 - 10:48MIANapier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
74
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
74
Q4 - 11:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
74
Q4 - 11:14ATLMISS Mack 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
74
Q4 - 11:38MIANapier Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)88
74
Q4 - 11:38MIANapier Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)88
73
Q4 - 11:38ATLSefolosha S.FOUL (P2.T2)88
72
Q4 - 11:54ATLSchroder P.FOUL (P1.T1)88
72
Q4 - 12:0088
72
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA88
72
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound88
72
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Napier 63' 3PT Jump Shot88
72
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLSchroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)88
72
Q3 - 0:19.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
72
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 1' Layup85
72
Q3 - 0:32.0ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)85
72
Q3 - 0:32.0ATLSUB: Scott FOR Millsap84
72
Q3 - 0:32.0ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)84
72
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAShaw. Williams P.FOUL (P2.PN)83
72
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
72
Q3 - 0:46.0ATLSUB: Horford FOR Antic83
71
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAHEAT Rebound83
71
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 283
71
Q3 - 0:46.0ATLAntic Shooting Block Foul (P4.PN)83
71
Q3 - 0:53.0ATLSefolosha Violation:Kicked Ball83
71
Q3 - 1:03ATLSchroder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)83
71
Q3 - 1:12ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
71
Q3 - 1:13MIAMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
71
Q3 - 1:40ATLMack 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)83
71
Q3 - 1:57ATLSUB: Schroder FOR Korver80
71
Q3 - 1:57ATLSUB: Mack FOR Teague80
71
Q3 - 1:57ATLHawks Rebound80
71
Q3 - 1:59ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
71
Q3 - 2:14MIABosh 17' Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)80
71
Q3 - 2:27MIAShaw. Williams Violation:Defensive Goaltending80
69
Q3 - 2:27ATLTeague 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)80
69
Q3 - 2:29MIAShaw. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)78
69
Q3 - 2:43ATLTeague 9' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)78
69
Q3 - 2:58MIAChalmers 10' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)76
69
Q3 - 3:23ATLAntic Foul Turnover (P2.T15)76
67
Q3 - 3:23ATLAntic OFF.Foul (P3)76
67
Q3 - 3:28MIASUB: Bosh FOR McRoberts76
67
Q3 - 3:28MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade76
67
Q3 - 3:28MIASUB: Granger FOR Ennis76
67
Q3 - 3:28MIAMcRoberts P.FOUL (P3.T4)76
67
Q3 - 3:36ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
67
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot76
67
Q3 - 3:59ATLSefolosha Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)76
67
Q3 - 4:04MIAMcRoberts Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)74
67
Q3 - 4:28ATLMillsap 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS)74
67
Q3 - 4:43ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
67
Q3 - 4:44MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
67
Q3 - 5:07ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)72
67
Q3 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)70
67
Q3 - 5:13MIAHEAT Rebound70
66
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 270
66
Q3 - 5:13ATLSefolosha P.FOUL (P1.PN)70
66
Q3 - 5:23ATLSUB: Sefolosha FOR Horford70
66
Q3 - 5:23ATLSUB: Antic FOR Carroll70
66
Q3 - 5:23MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)70
66
Q3 - 5:31ATLMillsap 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)70
66
Q3 - 5:49MIAEnnis 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)68
66
Q3 - 6:10ATLMillsap 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)68
64
Q3 - 6:19MIANapier 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)66
64
Q3 - 6:27ATLKorver Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)66
62
Q3 - 6:27ATLKorver Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)65
62
Q3 - 6:27ATLKorver Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)64
62
Q3 - 6:27MIAEnnis S.FOUL (P2.T3)63
62
Q3 - 6:36MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Bosh63
62
Q3 - 6:36MIASUB: Napier FOR Chalmers63
62
Q3 - 6:36MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)63
62
Q3 - 6:39ATLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)63
62
Q3 - 6:50ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
62
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS Ennis 18' Jump Shot63
62
Q3 - 7:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
62
Q3 - 7:06ATLMISS Carroll 3PT Jump Shot63
62
Q3 - 7:24MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)63
62
Q3 - 7:43ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)63
59
Q3 - 7:49MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)61
59
Q3 - 7:49ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)61
58
Q3 - 7:49ATLKorver Shooting Block Foul (P2.T4)61
58
Q3 - 7:49MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)61
58
Q3 - 7:51MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
56
Q3 - 7:52ATLMISS Korver 15' Pullup Jump Shot61
56
Q3 - 8:03MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.T2)61
56
Q3 - 8:11ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
56
Q3 - 8:12MIAMISS Bosh 15' Turnaround Jump Shot61
56
Q3 - 8:35ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)61
56
Q3 - 8:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)61
56
Q3 - 8:59MIAHEAT Rebound61
55
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 261
55
Q3 - 8:59ATLCarroll S.FOUL (P3.T3)61
55
Q3 - 9:18ATLTeague 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)61
55
Q3 - 9:32MIABosh 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)59
55
Q3 - 9:41ATLMillsap P.FOUL (P3.T2)59
53
Q3 - 9:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
53
Q3 - 9:53ATLMISS Carroll 20' Jump Shot59
53
Q3 - 10:08MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)59
53
Q3 - 10:12ATLMcRoberts STEAL (3 STL)59
53
Q3 - 10:29MIAChalmers 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)59
53
Q3 - 10:32ATLCarroll P.FOUL (P2.T1)59
51
Q3 - 10:32MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
51
Q3 - 10:33MIAMISS Ennis 2' Driving Layup59
51
Q3 - 10:48ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
51
Q3 - 10:48ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
51
Q3 - 10:48MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T1)57
51
Q3 - 11:03MIAWade 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)57
51
Q3 - 11:17ATLKorver 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)57
49
Q3 - 11:30MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (McRoberts 5 AST)55
49
Q3 - 11:42ATLMcRoberts STEAL (2 STL)55
47
Q3 - 12:0055
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
47
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLSchroder 9' Driving Bank Shot (9 PTS)55
47
Q2 - 0:15.0MIASUB: Ennis FOR Chalmers53
47
Q2 - 0:15.0ATLSUB: Scott FOR Bazemore53
47
Q2 - 0:15.0ATLSUB: Korver FOR Sefolosha53
47
Q2 - 0:15.0ATLHawks Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)53
47
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#13)53
47
Q2 - 0:15.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Napier53
47
Q2 - 0:15.0ATLSUB: Schroder FOR Horford53
47
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)53
47
Q2 - 0:17.0ATLCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
47
Q2 - 0:17.0ATLSUB: Bazemore FOR Teague52
47
Q2 - 0:17.0ATLSUB: Sefolosha FOR Korver52
47
Q2 - 0:17.0MIASUB: Napier FOR Ennis52
47
Q2 - 0:17.0ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)52
47
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAEnnis P.FOUL (P1.PN)51
47
Q2 - 0:18.0ATLHawks Rebound51
47
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAJump Ball Shaw. Williams vs. Horford: Tip to Carroll51
47
Q2 - 0:19.0ATLMISS Carroll 12' Jump Shot51
47
Q2 - 0:43.0ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
47
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 251
47
Q2 - 0:44.0MIASUB: Ennis FOR Napier51
47
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAHEAT Rebound51
47
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 251
47
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLAntic S.FOUL (P2.PN)51
47
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
47
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLSUB: Antic FOR Millsap50
47
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)50
47
Q2 - 0:51.0MIANapier P.FOUL (P2.PN)49
47
Q2 - 0:54.0MIASUB: Napier FOR Chalmers49
47
Q2 - 0:54.0MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T4)49
47
Q2 - 1:10MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)49
47
Q2 - 1:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
45
Q2 - 1:17ATLBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)49
45
Q2 - 1:22ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
45
Q2 - 1:23MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
45
Q2 - 1:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
45
Q2 - 1:34ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
45
Q2 - 1:40MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)49
45
Q2 - 2:02ATLSUB: Horford FOR Antic49
45
Q2 - 2:02ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)49
45
Q2 - 2:15ATLHawks Rebound49
45
Q2 - 2:16ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)49
45
Q2 - 2:27MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
45
Q2 - 2:27MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
44
Q2 - 2:27ATLAntic P.FOUL (P1.PN)49
43
Q2 - 2:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
43
Q2 - 2:41ATLMISS Carroll 9' Running Jump Shot49
43
Q2 - 2:51MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR McRoberts49
43
Q2 - 2:51MIAMcRoberts P.FOUL (P2.T3)49
43
Q2 - 2:51MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)49
43
Q2 - 3:19MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
43
Q2 - 3:20ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 149
43
Q2 - 3:20MIASUB: Bosh FOR Shaw. Williams49
43
Q2 - 3:20MIAShaw. Williams S.FOUL (P1.T2)49
43
Q2 - 3:20ATLMillsap 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)49
43
Q2 - 3:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
43
Q2 - 3:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
42
Q2 - 3:34ATLCarroll S.FOUL (P1.PN)47
41
Q2 - 3:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
41
Q2 - 3:36MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 21' Jump Shot47
41
Q2 - 3:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
41
Q2 - 3:43ATLMISS Teague 7' Driving Jump Shot47
41
Q2 - 3:57MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)47
41
Q2 - 4:13ATLKorver 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Millsap 5 AST)47
38
Q2 - 4:26MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Napier45
38
Q2 - 4:26ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)45
38
Q2 - 4:26MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)45
38
Q2 - 4:38MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
35
Q2 - 4:39ATLMISS Carroll 1' Driving Layup45
35
Q2 - 4:45MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)45
35
Q2 - 4:58ATLSUB: Antic FOR Horford45
33
Q2 - 4:58ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)45
33
Q2 - 5:24MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)45
33
Q2 - 5:34ATLSUB: Carroll FOR Sefolosha45
31
Q2 - 5:34ATLKorver P.FOUL (P1.T4)45
31
Q2 - 5:52ATLMillsap 4' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)45
31
Q2 - 6:01ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
31
Q2 - 6:02MIAMISS Deng 9' Driving Jump Shot43
31
Q2 - 6:21ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)43
31
Q2 - 6:40MIAWade 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)40
31
Q2 - 6:59ATLNapier STEAL (1 STL)40
29
Q2 - 7:05ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
29
Q2 - 7:06MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
29
Q2 - 7:26MIASUB: McRoberts FOR Bosh40
29
Q2 - 7:26MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)40
29
Q2 - 7:26ATLHorford Dunk (4 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)40
29
Q2 - 7:29MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)38
29
Q2 - 7:31ATLSUB: Teague FOR Schroder38
29
Q2 - 7:31MIASUB: Deng FOR Ennis38
29
Q2 - 7:48ATLSefolosha 2' Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)38
29
Q2 - 8:04MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)36
29
Q2 - 8:04MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)36
28
Q2 - 8:04ATLSUB: Millsap FOR Scott36
27
Q2 - 8:04ATLSUB: Korver FOR Mack36
27
Q2 - 8:0436
27
Q2 - 8:04ATLScott S.FOUL (P2.T3)36
27
Q2 - 8:31ATLSefolosha 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mack 3 AST)36
27
Q2 - 8:37MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)33
27
Q2 - 8:59ATLSchroder 15' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
27
Q2 - 9:07MIASUB: Wade FOR Chalmers31
27
Q2 - 9:07MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T1)31
27
Q2 - 9:26MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)31
27
Q2 - 9:33MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
24
Q2 - 9:34ATLChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)31
24
Q2 - 9:42MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
24
Q2 - 9:42MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
23
Q2 - 9:42ATLHorford S.FOUL (P1.T2)31
22
Q2 - 9:54ATLMack P.FOUL (P1.T1)31
22
Q2 - 10:07ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)31
22
Q2 - 10:24MIAChalmers 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)29
22
Q2 - 10:39ATLEnnis STEAL (1 STL)29
20
Q2 - 10:46ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
20
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Napier 3PT Jump Shot29
20
Q2 - 10:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
20
Q2 - 10:57ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
20
Q2 - 11:21MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
20
Q2 - 11:42ATLScott 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)29
18
Q2 - 12:0027
18
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL27
18
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound27
18
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Scott 20' Jump Shot27
18
Q1 - 0:01.0MIANapier P.FOUL (P1.PN)27
18
Q1 - 0:07.0ATLSUB: Korver FOR Sefolosha27
18
Q1 - 0:07.0MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)27
18
Q1 - 0:28.0ATLScott 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)27
18
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAHamilton 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)24
18
Q1 - 0:56.0MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
16
Q1 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Antic 3PT Jump Shot24
16
Q1 - 1:21MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
16
Q1 - 1:21MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
15
Q1 - 1:21ATLScott S.FOUL (P1.T4)24
14
Q1 - 1:30ATLSchroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)24
14
Q1 - 1:45MIAHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)21
14
Q1 - 1:51MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
14
Q1 - 1:52ATLMISS Antic 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
14
Q1 - 2:16ATLSUB: Sefolosha FOR Carroll21
14
Q1 - 2:16MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)21
14
Q1 - 2:34ATLAntic 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)21
14
Q1 - 2:41ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
14
Q1 - 2:42ATLMISS Antic 21' Jump Shot19
14
Q1 - 2:56MIASUB: Ennis FOR Deng19
14
Q1 - 2:56ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
14
Q1 - 2:56MIADeng Foul Turnover (P2.T5)19
14
Q1 - 2:56MIADeng Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T4)19
14
Q1 - 3:09ATLScott 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)19
14
Q1 - 3:23MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
14
Q1 - 3:45ATLSUB: Scott FOR Millsap17
14
Q1 - 3:45ATLSUB: Schroder FOR Teague17
14
Q1 - 3:45ATLMillsap Foul Turnover (P2.T6)17
14
Q1 - 3:45ATLMillsap Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T3)17
14
Q1 - 3:55MIANapier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)17
14
Q1 - 4:07ATLSUB: Mack FOR Korver17
11
Q1 - 4:07ATLAntic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)17
11
Q1 - 4:13MIASUB: Bosh FOR McRoberts17
11
Q1 - 4:13MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade17
11
Q1 - 4:23MIAMcRoberts 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
11
Q1 - 4:44ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)17
9
Q1 - 4:57MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
9
Q1 - 4:57MIAHEAT Rebound14
8
Q1 - 4:57MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 214
8
Q1 - 4:57ATLMillsap S.FOUL (P1.T2)14
8
Q1 - 5:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
8
Q1 - 5:06MIAMISS McRoberts 1' Layup14
8
Q1 - 5:23ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)14
8
Q1 - 5:30ATLSUB: Antic FOR Horford14
8
Q1 - 5:30MIAMcRoberts P.FOUL (P1.T3)14
8
Q1 - 5:31ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
8
Q1 - 5:32ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
8
Q1 - 5:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
8
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot14
8
Q1 - 5:56ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
8
Q1 - 6:08ATLHawks Rebound14
8
Q1 - 6:09MIAMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot14
8
Q1 - 6:27MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
8
Q1 - 6:27ATLMillsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)14
8
Q1 - 6:35ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
8
Q1 - 6:36MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot11
8
Q1 - 6:49MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
8
Q1 - 6:50ATLMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 111
8
Q1 - 6:50MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T2)11
8
Q1 - 6:50ATLCarroll 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)11
8
Q1 - 7:03MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Bosh9
8
Q1 - 7:03MIASUB: Napier FOR Chalmers9
8
Q1 - 7:03MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T1)9
8
Q1 - 7:04ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
8
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
8
Q1 - 7:12MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
8
Q1 - 7:13ATLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)9
8
Q1 - 7:22ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
8
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Bosh 20' Step Back Jump Shot9
8
Q1 - 7:52ATLHorford Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)9
8
Q1 - 8:05MIAMcRoberts Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
8
Q1 - 8:17ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)7
6
Q1 - 8:33ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot4
6
Q1 - 8:45ATLCarroll 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)4
6
Q1 - 9:02MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)2
6
Q1 - 9:05ATLMcRoberts STEAL (1 STL)2
6
Q1 - 9:20ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6
Q1 - 9:21MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 9:29ATLMillsap Violation:Kicked Ball2
6
Q1 - 9:40ATLDeng STEAL (1 STL)2
6
Q1 - 10:00MIADeng 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 10:24ATLKorver 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 10:38MIABosh 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)0
4
Q1 - 10:48MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:49ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:56ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 10:57ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:11MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:11MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
1
Q1 - 11:11ATLTeague S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:19ATLMISS Millsap 9' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:25MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
0
Q1 - 11:33MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:34ATLMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:42MIADeng Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Horford: Tip to McRoberts0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.26 62.9%
MIA
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
16
21
76%
MIA
21
26
81%
Midrange
ATL
12
28
43%
MIA
9
22
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
12
18.0
25
48%
72%
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
ATL
20
23
87%
MIA
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Teague2790%13.5 / 15
K. Korver1869%9.0 / 13
D. Schröder1680%8.0 / 10
P. Millsap1454%7.0 / 13
M. Scott990%4.5 / 5
T. Sefolosha788%3.5 / 4
A. Horford675%3.0 / 4
D. Carroll630%3.0 / 10
S. Mack550%2.5 / 5
P. Antic440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2858%14.0 / 24
C. Bosh2784%13.5 / 16
M. Chalmers1979%9.5 / 12
S. Napier770%3.5 / 5
S. Williams660%3.0 / 5
L. Deng550%2.5 / 5
J. McRoberts450%2.0 / 4
J. Ennis III233%1.0 / 3
U. Haslem2100%1.0 / 1
J. Hamilton250%1.0 / 2
D. Granger0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
79
+10
-16
89
MIA
77
+5
-18
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.26 62.9%
MIA
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.9
103.9
ATL 117.9 +10.5
MIA 107.4
Pace
94.0
91.0
ATL 93.9
MIA 96.1 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.3
ATL 15.3
MIA 15.0 −0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
50.0%
ATL 62.2% +1.3%
MIA 60.9%
TO %
14.3%
15.2%
ATL 18.4% −1.2%
MIA 19.6%
ORB %
21.4%
23.3%
ATL 16.1% +2.3%
MIA 13.8%
FTrt
25.9
30.6
ATL 31.1
MIA 50.0 +18.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.6%
56.4%
ATL 62.5%
MIA 69.4% +6.9%
STL %
9.6%
8.6%
ATL 9.5%
MIA 10.5% +1.0%
BLK %
8.1%
8.0%
ATL 2.1%
MIA 10.2% +8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
52.2%
ATL 62.9% +0.7%
MIA 62.2%
Rim FG%
58.1%
59.7%
ATL 76.2%
MIA 80.8% +4.6%
Mid FG%
42.2%
40.9%
ATL 42.9% +2.0%
MIA 40.9%
3P %
38.0%
33.5%
ATL 48.0% +10.5%
MIA 37.5%
FT %
77.8%
74.1%
ATL 87.0% +12.0%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
35.1%
ATL 28.4%
MIA 40.6% +12.2%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
38.7%
ATL 37.8%
MIA 34.4% −3.5%
3P Att. %
32.1%
26.2%
ATL 33.8% +8.8%
MIA 25.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points112102
Rebounds3030
Assists2525
Steals910
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)16 (3)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (5)4 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)26 (0)
Field Goals40-7436-64
At-the-Rim FG16-2121-26
Midrange FG12-289-22
2-Point FG28-4930-48
3-Point FG12-256-16
Free Throws20-2324-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 212 · 34
34.6
18
69%
6
2
1
0
2
4
0
6
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
3-7
43%
F · 6'8" 246 · 30
34.2
14
54%
6
5
2
0
4
4
2
4
1-3
33%
5-11
45%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 189 · 26
33.5
27
90%
5
6
3
0
2
1
0
5
8-8
100%
5-6
83%
3-5
60%
C · 6'8" 240 · 29
29.0
6
75%
2
3
0
1
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 28
21.9
6
30%
5
1
1
0
1
3
2
3
2-3
67%
2-7
29%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 21
22.4
16
80%
1
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32
19.6
4
40%
1
0
0
0
3
4
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 220 · 31
17.5
7
88%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 203 · 25
14.0
5
50%
2
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 237 · 26
13.2
9
90%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 201 · 25
0.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 254 · 36
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23
#33 · · 6'10" 237 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 6'4" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
63%
30
25
9
1
16
0
5
25
20-23
87%
28-49
57%
12-25
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.