for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 3, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Hawks37%95112
11Heat63%100102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.7
34.6
31.9
18
68%
6
2
1
1
0
2
0
6
3-3
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
3-7
43%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.8
34.2
33.2
14
53%
6
5
2
2
0
4
2
4
1-3
33%
5-11
5-10
45%
50%
1-1
100%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.5
33.5
27.5
27
93%
5
6
3
1
0
2
0
5
8-8
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
48%
3-5
60%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.5
29.0
28.9
6
77%
2
3
0
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
6-11
67%
54%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.4
21.9
32.0
6
29%
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-3
67%
2-7
2-5
29%
52%
0-2
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.2
22.4
19.5
16
81%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.3
19.6
16.4
4
41%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
17.5
10.3
7
88%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.6
14.0
12.6
5
50%
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.4
13.2
11.3
9
90%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
52%
1-1
100%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.4
0.0
11.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.7
8.7
0
1-2
49%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.4
4.8
0
1-1
49%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 23.8
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.7
37.9
32.8
27
87%
11
1
0
1
2
2
0
11
6-8
75%
6-9
6-11
67%
54%
3-3
100%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.5
34.8
29.1
19
79%
5
11
1
1
1
3
0
5
7-9
78%
6-6
3-6
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.9
34.5
30.3
28
58%
3
7
2
1
1
4
2
1
6-9
67%
11-18
7-12
61%
53%
0-2
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.8
20.9
21.7
4
50%
0
5
3
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.6
16.6
29.1
5
53%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
1-2
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
32.4
22.7
7
72%
2
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.8
18.1
21.1
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
2-3
67%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.4
16.6
13.5
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.5
12.0
13.7
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.6
9.2
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.7
7.0
4.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.5
1.7
0
0-0
51%
Andre Dawkins
G · 6'5" 219 · 23.2
1.6
0
0-0
46%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.