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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 3, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies
96
5Rockets
105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.1
27
32
15
2
6
3
1
0
5
1
1
4-4
100%
4-5
4-9
80%
47%
1-4
25%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.8
25
33
8
7
3
0
1
1
3
0
7
0-1
0%
4-8
6-12
50%
48%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.2
24
31
4
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.4
19
31
8
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
4-6
67%
2-5
6-13
40%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.9
15
26
10
1
0
2
2
2
4
1
0
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
28
21
2
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.6
26
16
7
6
2
0
0
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
3-8
2-5
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.4
21
16
9
3
4
1
0
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
3-3
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.8
20
4
6
1
6
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-3
0%
3-5
0-1
60%
46%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.8
13
14
8
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 20.9
12
1
12
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
1
2-4
50%
5-7
0-0
71%
45%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.9
9
13
7
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.8
7
0
1-2
42%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.4
34
38
16
7
1
3
2
1
3
2
5
2-2
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
47%
2-8
25%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.2
31
24
16
3
5
4
1
0
2
0
3
3-5
60%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
3-7
43%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.3
28
37
21
4
4
3
2
1
3
1
3
7-8
88%
4-6
5-10
67%
49%
2-5
40%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.2
25
30
15
7
2
0
1
1
4
3
4
0-1
0%
6-9
4-7
67%
53%
1-1
100%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
23
20
10
11
0
0
0
0
0
9
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
50%
0-0
-
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.3
25
26
12
4
3
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
6-12
1-3
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.0
22
13
7
8
1
1
0
3
1
2
6
1-2
50%
3-3
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.9
21
17
6
1
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
2-2
100%
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 21.9
19
6
2
4
2
1
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.4
7
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.5
4
3
0
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
0
0-2
0%
0-6
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.0
9
0
2-3
57%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 23.5
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.4
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.