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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 4, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Pacers23%9582
8Trail Blazers77%10588
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.3
31.2
22.3
13
50%
8
3
2
1
1
2
0
8
0-0
-
5-12
4-9
42%
47%
1-1
100%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 28.0
30.8
18.9
9
41%
7
2
0
0
1
2
2
5
1-2
50%
4-10
3-7
40%
45%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
29.1
29.6
15
68%
8
3
1
1
1
2
4
4
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
29.0
22.6
16
50%
6
5
0
1
0
4
0
6
2-2
100%
7-14
4-9
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 30.7
19.6
22.4
5
28%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
1-5
20%
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 28.5
25.7
6.2
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
1-3
33%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.7
20.4
19.4
5
31%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
1-5
20%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.6
19.0
19.4
4
17%
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-11
1-3
18%
44%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.1
18.6
19.3
0
0%
10
0
1
1
1
0
3
7
0-2
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 34.6
16.6
19.8
10
56%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.9
24.8
0
2-5
42%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25.8
12.9
0
2-4
46%
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.7
3.5
0
0-1
47%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.6
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 26.0
37.3
34.1
13
47%
5
5
3
1
2
3
0
5
2-2
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
54%
1-5
20%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.4
35.6
35.8
18
41%
13
3
0
1
2
3
3
10
2-2
100%
5-19
9-18
26%
49%
2-2
100%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.4
34.4
32.7
23
58%
8
3
2
1
0
1
0
8
8-11
73%
6-10
4-8
60%
48%
1-5
20%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.1
34.2
33.8
12
43%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
6-9
3-5
67%
51%
0-5
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 26.7
29.6
28.5
4
30%
7
0
1
0
0
2
2
5
2-4
50%
1-5
4-8
20%
55%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 34.8
21.3
22.4
2
25%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-3
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.6
17.8
17.7
6
44%
7
4
0
0
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
50%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.7
17.3
16.4
6
77%
1
0
2
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.8
12.4
11.0
4
100%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 23.9
5.5
0
1-2
47%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.8
3.8
0
0-1
51%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 23.7
2.2
0
0-1
47%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 26.3
1.9
0
0-0
52%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.2
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.