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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Thunder80%102103
3076ers20%9091
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
32
32
19
4
1
0
1
3
2
3
1
7-8
88%
3-6
6-10
50%
55%
2-2
100%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
31
26
27
5
7
2
1
0
6
0
5
10-14
71%
7-11
5-11
64%
48%
1-3
33%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.2
29
33
10
6
3
0
1
1
2
0
6
3-4
75%
2-9
6-12
22%
53%
1-2
50%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.0
18
20
2
5
3
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.4
13
23
7
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-3
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.5
30
18
15
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
3-3
100%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.6
29
33
11
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
5-11
60%
50%
1-4
25%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.1
22
20
0
9
2
0
0
2
2
0
9
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
20
24
7
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
1-7
14%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.1
8
11
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.2
6
8
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-1
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
2
11
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.4
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.4
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.2
42
36
16
7
14
3
2
1
4
0
7
3-5
60%
5-15
6-13
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.7
34
23
11
10
2
2
1
1
4
6
4
3-4
75%
4-9
3-5
44%
49%
0-0
-
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.7
27
27
5
5
1
3
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
1-6
17%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.2
27
25
11
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-3
33%
2-7
3-5
29%
47%
2-2
100%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.7
23
24
10
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-4
50%
4-7
4-7
57%
49%
0-3
0%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 21.8
33
31
11
5
3
1
1
0
2
2
3
4-6
67%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.0
28
20
21
6
2
1
1
0
3
3
3
2-2
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
43%
3-6
50%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
12
8
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-1
0%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 21.7
8
6
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
5
14
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 26.0
13
0
1-3
42%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.5
0
0
0-0
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.9
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.7
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.