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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Hawks48%10198
18Nets52%10275
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.8
27.4
33.1
17
72%
9
2
1
2
1
1
2
7
3-4
75%
4-6
5-10
67%
50%
2-4
50%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.4
24.9
28.0
18
90%
6
1
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
4-5
80%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.7
24.9
32.3
7
64%
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.5
24.9
29.5
14
71%
4
5
3
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
4-9
60%
48%
2-4
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.5
23.3
28.7
7
32%
5
2
2
1
1
1
0
5
1-2
50%
3-10
6-10
30%
55%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.6
21.5
13.1
2
13%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
20.7
13.0
5
32%
6
0
1
1
1
1
0
6
2-4
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.2
17.7
20.3
13
63%
1
5
4
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
4-7
3-5
57%
49%
1-2
50%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
17.0
17.4
4
28%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
4-7
57%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-3
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.4
13.5
11.9
7
58%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
1-4
25%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.4
9.4
7.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.4
7.6
3.9
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.7
7.1
6.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 23.8
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 33.4
28.6
34.4
12
61%
6
4
1
1
0
3
0
6
4-4
100%
4-6
5-9
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 26.7
26.6
33.8
20
53%
7
0
0
1
0
2
3
4
2-2
100%
9-18
7-14
50%
52%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
23.4
34.3
8
50%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
49%
2-3
67%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
21.5
32.1
5
63%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 38.5
16.1
25.2
4
40%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32.1
21.2
14.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 29.2
19.3
25.1
0
0%
5
3
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-3
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.1
18.9
22.0
6
43%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
0-0
-
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 25.9
15.6
2.3
6
47%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
3-5
0-0
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Cory Jefferson
F · 6'9" 218 · 23.9
13.4
2.1
6
41%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-3
67%
2-4
0-0
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
13.3
0.9
5
43%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.8
12.9
12.4
0
0%
7
1
0
0
1
1
2
5
0-4
0%
0-3
2-3
0%
58%
0-0
-
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 28.2
9.2
6.2
3
104%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 21.1
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.