Final Win Prob. pScore
1456%99
85
2244%97
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
91.49391.1
MIL logo Bucks
118.59294.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA85
109
Q4 - 0:16.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
109
Q4 - 0:16.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)85
108
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAGranger S.FOUL (P5.PN)85
107
Q4 - 0:16.0MIL85
107
Q4 - 0:38.0MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
107
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Jump Shot85
107
Q4 - 0:49.0MILKnight 15' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
107
Q4 - 1:07MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
105
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 285
105
Q4 - 1:08MIAGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)85
105
Q4 - 1:08MILAntetokounmpo S.FOUL (P2.PN)84
105
Q4 - 1:25MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
105
Q4 - 1:27MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 284
105
Q4 - 1:27MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)84
105
Q4 - 1:27MIAShaw. Williams Shooting Block Foul (P2.T3)84
104
Q4 - 1:40MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
104
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
104
Q4 - 1:57MILMiddleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)84
104
Q4 - 2:04MIASUB: Ennis FOR Wade84
101
Q4 - 2:04MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Bosh84
101
Q4 - 2:04MIAChalmers Personal Take Foul (P4.T2)84
101
Q4 - 2:11MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
101
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
101
Q4 - 2:20MILPachulia Foul Turnover (P5.T25)84
101
Q4 - 2:20MILPachulia OFF.Foul (P4)84
101
Q4 - 2:30MIAShaw. Williams 1' Layup (2 PTS)84
101
Q4 - 2:34MILMiddleton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T24)82
101
Q4 - 2:46MIAShaw. Williams P.FOUL (P1.T1)82
101
Q4 - 2:48MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
101
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Granger Free Throw 3 of 382
101
Q4 - 2:49MIAHeat Rebound82
101
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 382
101
Q4 - 2:49MIAHeat Rebound82
101
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 382
101
Q4 - 2:49MILAntetokounmpo Shooting Block Foul (P1.PN)82
101
Q4 - 2:56MILSUB: Antetokounmpo FOR Marshall82
101
Q4 - 2:56MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)82
101
Q4 - 2:56MILMarshall 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)82
101
Q4 - 3:00MIAParker STEAL (2 STL)82
99
Q4 - 3:16MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
99
Q4 - 3:16MILPachulia 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)82
99
Q4 - 3:18MILMISS Middleton Layup82
97
Q4 - 3:24MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
97
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS Bosh Layup82
97
Q4 - 3:35MILSUB: Parker FOR Dudley82
97
Q4 - 3:35MILMiddleton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T23)82
97
Q4 - 3:42MILMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
97
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot82
97
Q4 - 4:03MILKnight 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Middleton 2 AST)82
97
Q4 - 4:18MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
94
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot82
94
Q4 - 4:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
94
Q4 - 4:31MILMISS Dudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
94
Q4 - 4:44MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
94
Q4 - 4:44MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)81
94
Q4 - 4:44MILMarshall Personal Block Foul (P3.PN)80
94
Q4 - 5:02MILMarshall Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T22)80
94
Q4 - 5:20MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
94
Q4 - 5:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 280
94
Q4 - 5:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)80
94
Q4 - 5:21MILMiddleton Shooting Block Foul (P2.T4)79
94
Q4 - 5:31MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
94
Q4 - 5:32MILMISS Knight 16' Jump Shot79
94
Q4 - 5:51MIAPachulia STEAL (2 STL)79
94
Q4 - 6:02MILSUB: Knight FOR Bayless79
94
Q4 - 6:02MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)79
94
Q4 - 6:02MILMarshall 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)79
94
Q4 - 6:30MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)79
91
Q4 - 6:44MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Sanders77
91
Q4 - 6:44MILMarshall Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T21)77
91
Q4 - 6:56MIAWade 14' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS)77
91
Q4 - 7:12MILMarshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)75
91
Q4 - 7:26MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)75
88
Q4 - 7:40MIASUB: Granger FOR Ennis72
88
Q4 - 7:40MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Napier72
88
Q4 - 7:40MILMiddleton P.FOUL (P1.T3)72
88
Q4 - 8:03MILMarshall 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
88
Q4 - 8:14MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
86
Q4 - 8:15MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
86
Q4 - 8:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
86
Q4 - 8:25MILMISS Middleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
86
Q4 - 8:43MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)72
86
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot72
86
Q4 - 9:04MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Hamilton72
86
Q4 - 9:04MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)72
86
Q4 - 9:04MILSanders Dunk (6 PTS) (Marshall 4 AST)72
86
Q4 - 9:18MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
84
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Ennis 5' Jump Shot72
84
Q4 - 9:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
84
Q4 - 9:34MILMISS Sanders 1' Layup72
84
Q4 - 9:39MIAHeat Violation: Delay of game Violation72
84
Q4 - 9:46MIAWade Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T16)72
84
Q4 - 10:01MILSanders 1' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)72
84
Q4 - 10:18MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
82
Q4 - 10:18MIASUB: Wade FOR Chalmers71
82
Q4 - 10:18MIAHeat Rebound71
82
Q4 - 10:18MIAMISS Ennis Free Throw 1 of 271
82
Q4 - 10:18MILMarshall S.FOUL (P2.T2)71
82
Q4 - 10:39MILMiddleton 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)71
82
Q4 - 10:50MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
80
Q4 - 10:51MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
80
Q4 - 10:59MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
80
Q4 - 11:00MILMISS Bayless 17' Jump Shot71
80
Q4 - 11:21MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
80
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot71
80
Q4 - 11:41MILSUB: Middleton FOR Antetokounmpo71
80
Q4 - 11:41MIL71
80
Q4 - 11:41MILDudley Personal Take Foul (P3.T1)71
80
Q4 - 11:42MILMarshall Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T20)71
80
Q4 - 12:0071
80
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
80
Q3 - 0:00.0MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)71
80
Q3 - 0:00.0MILSanders 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)71
80
Q3 - 0:00.0MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
78
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Sanders 1' Tip Shot71
78
Q3 - 0:01.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
78
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 1' Layup71
78
Q3 - 0:03.0MILMISS Sanders 1' Layup71
78
Q3 - 0:26.0MILBUCKS Rebound71
78
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
78
Q3 - 0:38.0MILMarshall Personal Block Foul (P1.T4)71
78
Q3 - 0:45.0MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)71
78
Q3 - 0:45.0MILBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)71
77
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAChalmers Shooting Block Foul (P3.PN)71
76
Q3 - 1:03MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)71
76
Q3 - 1:11MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
76
Q3 - 1:11MILBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
75
Q3 - 1:11MIAEnnis P.FOUL (P3.PN)71
74
Q3 - 1:17MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
74
Q3 - 1:18MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
74
Q3 - 1:38MILMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
74
Q3 - 1:38MILMarshall Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
73
Q3 - 1:38MIANapier Personal Block Foul (P2.PN)71
72
Q3 - 1:47MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS)71
72
Q3 - 2:04MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
72
Q3 - 2:04MILBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
71
Q3 - 2:04MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.PN)69
70
Q3 - 2:22MILBUCKS Rebound69
70
Q3 - 2:23MIAMISS Napier 9' Jump Shot69
70
Q3 - 2:48MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)69
70
Q3 - 2:48MILSUB: Dudley FOR Parker69
69
Q3 - 2:48MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)69
69
Q3 - 2:48MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.PN)69
69
Q3 - 2:48MILAntetokounmpo Dunk (10 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)69
69
Q3 - 2:52MIABayless STEAL (2 STL)69
67
Q3 - 2:57MILAntetokounmpo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T19)69
67
Q3 - 3:19MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)69
67
Q3 - 3:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
67
Q3 - 3:39MILMISS Bayless 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
67
Q3 - 3:46MIASUB: Chalmers FOR McRoberts67
67
Q3 - 3:46MIASUB: Bosh FOR Wade67
67
Q3 - 3:58MIANapier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)67
67
Q3 - 4:10MILBayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)64
67
Q3 - 4:32MIAMcRoberts 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)64
64
Q3 - 4:52MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
64
Q3 - 4:53MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 262
64
Q3 - 4:53MILSUB: Sanders FOR Pachulia62
64
Q3 - 4:53MILSUB: Marshall FOR Mayo62
64
Q3 - 4:53MILBUCKS Rebound62
64
Q3 - 4:53MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 262
64
Q3 - 4:53MIAHamilton S.FOUL (P3.PN)62
64
Q3 - 5:16MIAWade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (25 PTS)62
64
Q3 - 5:31MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)60
64
Q3 - 5:31MILBayless P.FOUL (P2.T3)60
64
Q3 - 5:40MILParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)60
64
Q3 - 5:58MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
64
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Napier 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
64
Q3 - 6:10MILParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
64
Q3 - 6:10MIASUB: Ennis FOR Granger60
63
Q3 - 6:10MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)60
63
Q3 - 6:10MIAGranger P.FOUL (P4.PN)60
62
Q3 - 6:19MIAHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)60
62
Q3 - 6:19MILPachulia S.FOUL (P3.T2)59
62
Q3 - 6:19MIAHamilton Layup (2 PTS)59
62
Q3 - 6:19MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
62
Q3 - 6:20MIAMISS Napier 3' Layup57
62
Q3 - 6:46MILMayo 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)57
62
Q3 - 6:54MIAHamilton P.FOUL (P2.T4)57
60
Q3 - 7:08MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Bosh57
60
Q3 - 7:08MIAMcRoberts L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)57
60
Q3 - 7:08MILBUCKS Rebound57
60
Q3 - 7:08MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot57
60
Q3 - 7:28MILBayless 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)57
60
Q3 - 7:36MIASUB: Napier FOR Chalmers57
58
Q3 - 7:36MIAGranger P.FOUL (P3.T2)57
58
Q3 - 7:47MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)57
58
Q3 - 7:51MILMayo P.FOUL (P3.T1)57
58
Q3 - 8:03MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)57
58
Q3 - 8:25MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
58
Q3 - 8:26MILMISS Mayo 18' Jump Shot57
58
Q3 - 8:43MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)57
58
Q3 - 9:01MILMayo 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)57
58
Q3 - 9:17MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)57
56
Q3 - 9:43MILAntetokounmpo 1' Layup (8 PTS)55
56
Q3 - 9:48MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
54
Q3 - 9:49MIAMISS Bosh Layup55
54
Q3 - 9:54MILMayo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)55
54
Q3 - 10:09MIAGranger 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)55
54
Q3 - 10:34MILSUB: Bayless FOR Knight52
54
Q3 - 10:34MILKnight Foul Turnover (P5.T15)52
54
Q3 - 10:34MILKnight OFF.Foul (P4)52
54
Q3 - 10:39MIAChalmers L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)52
54
Q3 - 10:39MILBUCKS Rebound52
54
Q3 - 10:39MILMISS Mayo 18' Jump Shot52
54
Q3 - 10:44MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
54
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Bosh 6' Hook Shot52
54
Q3 - 10:59MIAHeat Rebound52
54
Q3 - 11:01MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot52
54
Q3 - 11:07MIAHeat Rebound52
54
Q3 - 11:07MIAPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)52
54
Q3 - 11:23MILParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)52
54
Q3 - 11:45MIAWade Layup (23 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)52
54
Q3 - 12:0050
54
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL50
54
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL50
54
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMiddleton STEAL (3 STL)50
54
Q2 - 0:01.0MILParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)50
54
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)50
54
Q2 - 0:24.0MILSUB: Marshall FOR Knight49
54
Q2 - 0:24.0MIASUB: Bosh FOR Ennis49
54
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)49
54
Q2 - 0:24.0MILKnight Shooting Block Foul (P3.PN)48
54
Q2 - 0:37.0MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
54
Q2 - 0:37.0MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
53
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAGranger Shooting Block Foul (P2.PN)48
52
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAKnight STEAL (1 STL)48
52
Q2 - 0:55.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
52
Q2 - 0:55.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
51
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAMcRoberts Shooting Block Foul (P1.T2)48
50
Q2 - 0:55.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
50
Q2 - 0:56.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 1' Layup48
50
Q2 - 1:04MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
50
Q2 - 1:05MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot48
50
Q2 - 1:13MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
50
Q2 - 1:15MILMISS Knight 19' Jump Shot48
50
Q2 - 1:31MIAWade Layup (19 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)48
50
Q2 - 1:50MIASUB: Ennis FOR Bosh46
50
Q2 - 1:50MILBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)46
50
Q2 - 1:53MIABayless STEAL (1 STL)46
50
Q2 - 2:14MILMiddleton 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)46
50
Q2 - 2:28MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
48
Q2 - 2:29MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot46
48
Q2 - 2:52MILMiddleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)46
48
Q2 - 2:57MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
45
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Granger 1' Layup46
45
Q2 - 3:10MILKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)46
45
Q2 - 3:20MILParker Violation:Defensive Goaltending46
45
Q2 - 3:20MIAWade 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)46
45
Q2 - 3:31MILParker 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)44
45
Q2 - 3:42MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
43
Q2 - 3:43MILMISS Knight 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
43
Q2 - 4:04MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
43
Q2 - 4:05MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot44
43
Q2 - 4:20MILSUB: Antetokounmpo FOR Dudley44
43
Q2 - 4:20MIASUB: Granger FOR Ennis44
43
Q2 - 4:20MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)44
43
Q2 - 4:22MILKnight Layup (6 PTS) (Bayless 5 AST)44
43
Q2 - 4:26MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
41
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot44
41
Q2 - 4:50MILKnight Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)44
41
Q2 - 4:55MIAMiddleton STEAL (2 STL)44
39
Q2 - 5:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
39
Q2 - 5:13MILMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot44
39
Q2 - 5:29MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
39
Q2 - 5:30MIAMISS Ennis Free Throw 2 of 244
39
Q2 - 5:30MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
39
Q2 - 5:30MIASUB: McRoberts FOR Shaw. Williams43
39
Q2 - 5:30MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)43
39
Q2 - 5:30MILDudley S.FOUL (P2.PN)43
39
Q2 - 5:38MILDudley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)43
39
Q2 - 6:02MIAEnnis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)43
36
Q2 - 6:23MILMiddleton 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
36
Q2 - 6:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)40
34
Q2 - 6:37MILSUB: Knight FOR Wolters39
34
Q2 - 6:37MILSUB: Bayless FOR Marshall39
34
Q2 - 6:37MILSUB: Parker FOR Sanders39
34
Q2 - 6:37MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Napier39
34
Q2 - 6:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)39
34
Q2 - 6:37MILSanders Shooting Block Foul (P2.T4)38
34
Q2 - 6:49MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)38
34
Q2 - 7:16MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)38
34
Q2 - 7:36MILMarshall 28' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)36
34
Q2 - 7:56MIADudley STEAL (1 STL)36
31
Q2 - 8:18MILMarshall Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)36
31
Q2 - 8:22MIAMiddleton STEAL (1 STL)36
31
Q2 - 8:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
31
Q2 - 8:33MILMISS Sanders Layup36
31
Q2 - 8:3636
31
Q2 - 8:36MIAEnnis P.FOUL (P2.T1)36
31
Q2 - 8:36MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
31
Q2 - 8:37MILMISS Middleton 19' Jump Shot36
31
Q2 - 8:43MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
31
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot36
31
Q2 - 9:00MIASUB: Wade FOR Chalmers36
31
Q2 - 9:00MILWolters P.FOUL (P1.T3)36
31
Q2 - 9:09MILDudley 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marshall 3 AST)36
31
Q2 - 9:26MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
29
Q2 - 9:28MIAMISS Chalmers Layup36
29
Q2 - 9:52MILMiddleton 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marshall 2 AST)36
29
Q2 - 10:03MIAShaw. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)36
27
Q2 - 10:14MILSUB: Sanders FOR Pachulia36
27
Q2 - 10:14MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Hamilton36
27
Q2 - 10:14MILDudley P.FOUL (P1.T2)36
27
Q2 - 10:33MILDudley 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)36
27
Q2 - 10:37MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
25
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Chalmers Layup36
25
Q2 - 10:46MILPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)36
25
Q2 - 11:05MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Napier 4 AST)36
25
Q2 - 11:15MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
25
Q2 - 11:17MILMISS Dudley 4' Jump Shot33
25
Q2 - 11:42MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)33
25
Q2 - 11:42MILPachulia S.FOUL (P2.T1)32
25
Q2 - 11:42MIABosh 1' Layup (9 PTS)32
25
Q2 - 12:0030
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL30
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound30
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Marshall 37' 3PT Jump Shot30
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABosh Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)30
25
Q1 - 0:18.0MILDudley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
25
Q1 - 0:18.0MILBUCKS Rebound28
24
Q1 - 0:18.0MILMISS Dudley Free Throw 1 of 228
24
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAEnnis Shooting Block Foul (P1.PN)28
24
Q1 - 0:41.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
24
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup28
24
Q1 - 0:59.0MILMarshall 3' Hook Shot (5 PTS)28
24
Q1 - 1:04MIANapier P.FOUL (P1.T3)28
22
Q1 - 1:13MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
22
Q1 - 1:15MIAAntetokounmpo BLOCK (2 BLK)28
22
Q1 - 1:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
22
Q1 - 1:26MILMISS Bayless 15' Jump Shot28
22
Q1 - 1:46MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
22
Q1 - 1:46MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
22
Q1 - 1:46MILPachulia P.FOUL (P1.PN)26
22
Q1 - 1:46MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)26
22
Q1 - 2:00MIAEnnis 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Napier 3 AST)26
22
Q1 - 2:18MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
22
Q1 - 2:20MILMISS Antetokounmpo 18' Jump Shot24
22
Q1 - 2:32MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
22
Q1 - 2:32MILSUB: Dudley FOR Parker23
22
Q1 - 2:32MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Sanders23
22
Q1 - 2:32MIASUB: Ennis FOR Granger23
22
Q1 - 2:32MIAHeat Rebound23
22
Q1 - 2:32MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 223
22
Q1 - 2:32MILSanders P.FOUL (P1.PN)23
22
Q1 - 2:42MILParker Layup (10 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)23
22
Q1 - 2:46MILMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
20
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot23
20
Q1 - 3:03MILBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)23
20
Q1 - 3:08MILMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
20
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
20
Q1 - 3:19MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
20
Q1 - 3:19MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
19
Q1 - 3:19MIAHamilton Shooting Block Foul (P1.T2)23
18
Q1 - 3:42MIAGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)23
18
Q1 - 3:55MIASUB: Chalmers FOR McRoberts20
18
Q1 - 3:55MIASUB: Bosh FOR Wade20
18
Q1 - 3:55MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
18
Q1 - 4:10MILMarshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)20
18
Q1 - 4:25MILBayless Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)20
15
Q1 - 4:25MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Granger )20
14
Q1 - 4:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)20
14
Q1 - 4:34MIAHeat Rebound19
14
Q1 - 4:34MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 219
14
Q1 - 4:34MILBayless P.FOUL (P1.PN)19
14
Q1 - 4:41MILSUB: Marshall FOR Knight19
14
Q1 - 4:41MILKnight L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)19
14
Q1 - 4:41MILKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)19
14
Q1 - 4:56MIANapier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)19
14
Q1 - 5:22MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)16
14
Q1 - 5:22MILParker Tip Shot (8 PTS)16
14
Q1 - 5:24MILMISS Parker 1' Layup16
12
Q1 - 5:28MILParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
12
Q1 - 5:29MILMISS Antetokounmpo 18' Jump Shot16
12
Q1 - 5:49MIAWade 4' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)16
12
Q1 - 5:59MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
12
Q1 - 5:59MILSanders 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)14
12
Q1 - 6:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
12
Q1 - 6:17MILSUB: Bayless FOR Mayo13
12
Q1 - 6:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
12
Q1 - 6:17MILMayo Shooting Block Foul (P2.T3)12
12
Q1 - 6:30MILAntetokounmpo Running Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)12
12
Q1 - 6:35MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Bosh12
10
Q1 - 6:35MILSUB: Sanders FOR Pachulia12
10
Q1 - 6:47MIABosh 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
10
Q1 - 6:57MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10
Q1 - 6:58MILMISS Knight 19' Jump Shot10
10
Q1 - 7:15MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)10
10
Q1 - 7:19MIAHeat Rebound8
10
Q1 - 7:19MIAAntetokounmpo BLOCK (1 BLK)8
10
Q1 - 7:33MIASUB: Napier FOR Chalmers8
10
Q1 - 7:33MILMayo P.FOUL (P1.T2)8
10
Q1 - 7:42MILParker 1' Layup (6 PTS)8
10
Q1 - 7:46MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)8
8
Q1 - 8:04MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
8
Q1 - 8:04MILParker Dunk (4 PTS)8
8
Q1 - 8:06MILMISS Knight 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
6
Q1 - 8:23MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)8
6
Q1 - 8:41MIAHeat Rebound6
6
Q1 - 8:41MILMISS Antetokounmpo 18' Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 8:55MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
6
Q1 - 8:59MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
6
Q1 - 9:03MIAGranger P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
6
Q1 - 9:03MIAPachulia STEAL (1 STL)4
6
Q1 - 9:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 9:14MILMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
6
Q1 - 9:21MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 9:23MILMISS Parker 6' Hook Shot4
6
Q1 - 9:37MIAGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)4
6
Q1 - 9:37MILJump Ball Pachulia vs. Granger: Tip to Parker4
6
Q1 - 9:50MILKnight P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
6
Q1 - 9:51MILKnight Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)4
6
Q1 - 9:53MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup4
6
Q1 - 10:02MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 10:04MILMISS Knight 1' Layup4
6
Q1 - 10:10MIAWade Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 10:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
6
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 10:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
6
Q1 - 10:19MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 10:32MILPachulia 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 10:50MIAChalmers Layup (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:53MILKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
4
Q1 - 11:04MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 11:05MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 11:18MILKnight 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
4
Q1 - 11:27MIAGranger Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:44MILParker Dunk (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Pachulia vs. Bosh: Tip to Parker0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 51.8%
MIL
1.30 64.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
25
52%
MIL
19
29
66%
Midrange
MIA
10
25
40%
MIL
11
24
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
MIL
9
13.5
16
56%
84%
Free Throws
MIA
18
27
67%
MIL
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2861%14.0 / 23
C. Bosh2144%10.5 / 24
M. Chalmers941%4.5 / 11
D. Granger758%3.5 / 6
J. Ennis III758%3.5 / 6
S. Napier660%3.0 / 5
J. Hamilton3150%1.5 / 1
J. McRoberts2100%1.0 / 1
S. Williams233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Marshall20111%10.0 / 9
G. Antetokounmpo1454%7.0 / 13
J. Parker1470%7.0 / 10
K. Middleton1478%7.0 / 9
B. Knight1354%6.5 / 12
J. Bayless1275%6.0 / 8
J. Dudley867%4.0 / 6
L. Sanders643%3.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia4100%2.0 / 2
O. Mayo440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+6
-18
81
MIL
68
+14
-24
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 51.8%
MIL
1.30 64.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
103.1
MIA 91.4
MIL 118.5 +27.1
Pace
91.0
93.7
MIA 91.1
MIL 94.0 +2.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.8
MIA 15.8
MIL 15.3 −0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
49.9%
MIA 49.3%
MIL 63.0% +13.7%
TO %
15.2%
16.8%
MIA 18.4% −5.3%
MIL 23.7%
ORB %
23.3%
25.5%
MIA 8.3%
MIL 41.4% +33.1%
FTrt
30.6
25.8
MIA 39.7 +2.0
MIL 37.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
62.7%
MIA 70.0% +16.2%
MIL 53.8%
STL %
8.6%
10.1%
MIA 17.2% +5.2%
MIL 12.0%
BLK %
8.0%
8.6%
MIA 5.7%
MIL 6.0% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
52.1%
MIA 51.8%
MIL 64.9% +13.1%
Rim FG%
59.7%
56.4%
MIA 52.0%
MIL 65.5% +13.5%
Mid FG%
40.9%
40.4%
MIA 40.0%
MIL 45.8% +5.8%
3P %
33.5%
36.3%
MIA 38.9%
MIL 56.3% +17.4%
FT %
74.1%
75.7%
MIA 66.7%
MIL 84.6% +17.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
39.8%
MIA 36.8%
MIL 42.0% +5.3%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
37.8%
MIA 36.8%
MIL 34.8% −2.0%
3P Att. %
26.2%
22.3%
MIA 26.5% +3.3%
MIL 23.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points85109
Rebounds2045
Assists2121
Steals1611
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)24 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (3)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)17 (1)33 (3)
Field Goals30-6839-69
At-the-Rim FG13-2519-29
Midrange FG10-2511-24
2-Point FG23-5030-53
3-Point FG7-189-16
Free Throws18-2722-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 31
38.5
21
44%
6
1
2
0
5
1
1
5
2-3
67%
8-17
47%
1-6
17%
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
35.5
9
41%
3
6
6
0
3
4
0
3
4-4
100%
1-7
14%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
33.5
28
61%
3
8
0
0
4
0
1
2
8-10
80%
10-18
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 222 · 32
27.3
7
58%
0
1
0
2
2
5
0
0
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 240 · 28
21.8
2
100%
1
0
2
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
24.9
6
60%
1
4
3
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 210 · 24
24.2
7
58%
3
0
2
0
0
3
0
3
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
20.5
3
150%
1
1
0
1
0
3
1
0
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
13.8
2
33%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
C · 7'0" 265 · 25
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · G · 6'5" 219 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
52%
20
21
16
3
18
0
3
17
18-27
67%
23-50
46%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.