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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 6, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Magic
105
16Kings
96
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
39
31
27
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
6-12
5-11
50%
50%
4-5
80%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.6
36
32
16
5
7
0
2
0
3
1
4
4-4
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 31.6
35
30
6
6
1
2
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
2-6
33%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.1
31
30
15
6
3
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
47%
1-7
14%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24.7
18
16
13
2
4
1
0
1
1
2
0
2-2
100%
4-4
3-6
100%
50%
1-1
100%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 20.8
25
28
8
5
6
1
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 25.3
22
14
5
8
1
0
0
4
1
3
5
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.7
12
17
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
44%
1-1
100%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.4
11
14
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
11
9
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
9
0
1-1
51%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.8
6
0
0-1
46%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.2
0
0
0-0
40%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.1
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.3
36
33
16
5
6
2
1
1
2
1
4
2-3
67%
7-13
6-12
54%
49%
0-2
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.3
34
30
22
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
7-9
78%
3-8
4-8
38%
50%
3-6
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.4
32
28
18
9
4
0
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
9-12
3-5
75%
50%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.8
24
39
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-7
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 30.2
18
14
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
61%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.7
23
17
10
2
7
1
0
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
3-9
2-4
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.2
19
16
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-5
3-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.5
17
7
14
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
5-7
1-1
71%
48%
1-1
100%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.5
12
19
4
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 34.6
11
22
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
1
3-4
75%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
8
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.2
7
9
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23.0
1
0
0-0
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.