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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 7, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Nuggets36%10284
13Hawks64%10796
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.1
44
36
4
6
10
2
1
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
1-5
5-10
20%
48%
0-5
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
37
28
29
10
2
0
1
0
5
3
7
1-1
100%
8-10
3-6
80%
47%
4-12
33%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.4
33
23
14
11
0
1
0
2
1
2
9
4-4
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
53%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.1
30
29
10
5
2
1
0
0
2
2
3
0-2
0%
2-7
3-7
29%
48%
2-7
29%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.3
20
21
4
9
2
0
1
1
0
1
8
2-2
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
50%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
26
16
6
2
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
0-4
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
21
9
14
4
2
3
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
7-9
1-2
78%
44%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.3
14
17
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.2
10
15
3
3
0
0
1
0
1
3
0
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
0-4
0%
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.6
4
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.0
22
1
4-7
53%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 30.5
10
0
1-2
45%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.9
9
0
1-3
54%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.3
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.7
34
29
15
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
3-7
43%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.4
34
27
11
9
1
2
1
0
1
4
5
1-2
50%
5-10
2-4
50%
53%
0-3
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.5
33
27
11
8
3
0
1
3
0
1
7
1-1
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
56%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.8
31
31
23
2
2
4
2
0
2
0
2
7-10
70%
2-8
5-9
25%
51%
4-5
80%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.5
30
28
9
2
7
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.2
18
19
7
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-6
3-5
17%
50%
1-1
100%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.4
17
13
7
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-3
20%
54%
1-1
100%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
15
17
7
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
0-3
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
13
16
2
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.6
13
16
4
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.4
2
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.7
7
0
1-1
51%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 23.8
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.4
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.