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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Tuesday
December 9, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Raptors
101
5Cavaliers
105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 28.7
40.2
36.3
16
42%
4
14
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-10
5-11
40%
46%
2-8
25%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.6
36.5
27.4
18
93%
15
0
0
0
0
3
5
10
6-6
100%
6-7
4-8
86%
54%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 23.8
27.7
32.0
18
67%
3
1
0
1
0
5
1
2
1-1
100%
7-9
2-5
78%
46%
1-4
25%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 27.6
24.6
28.0
10
50%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
5-10
4-7
50%
57%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.5
23.3
1.6
4
100%
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.7
26.4
29.9
12
86%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
2-2
100%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
21.6
20.8
12
46%
4
0
1
1
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
6-11
2-5
55%
49%
0-2
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.1
19.8
23.3
6
36%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
2-6
25%
44%
1-4
25%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 27.9
12.7
28.1
3
50%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
45%
1-3
33%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31.5
7.3
4.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 29.1
5.3
0
0-1
43%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 19.2
3.4
0
0-1
46%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.2
2.3
0
0-0
52%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.3
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.7
42.5
33.5
13
50%
1
10
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
5-9
57%
49%
1-5
20%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
41.9
36.3
35
70%
2
4
2
1
2
2
1
1
9-9
100%
10-16
7-12
63%
57%
2-5
40%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.3
35.7
34.0
17
51%
9
4
0
1
1
3
3
6
4-4
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.2
16.3
23.7
8
40%
6
1
0
1
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.6
16.0
21.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.7
33.7
28.5
8
59%
8
0
0
1
1
1
4
4
2-4
50%
3-5
4-7
60%
50%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
24.4
24.3
18
83%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
4-5
4-8
80%
46%
3-5
60%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.3
21.3
15.9
6
75%
3
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-4
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.2
8.3
10.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
36%
0-2
0%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.3
5.6
0
0-0
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.0
4.8
0
0-1
45%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.0
3.8
0
0-1
48%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.2
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Alex Kirk
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.1
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.