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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 9, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Mavericks
105
9Grizzlies
114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.1
34
32
30
7
3
2
1
1
1
1
6
4-5
80%
4-8
4-7
50%
51%
6-10
60%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.5
32
25
11
6
4
0
1
1
2
0
6
3-3
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
50%
0-6
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.2
32
28
0
9
1
0
1
2
2
4
5
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
60%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.1
25
32
2
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-8
6-13
13%
47%
0-3
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.8
24
20
18
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
4-6
67%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.8
26
24
6
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.4
24
13
13
6
1
2
1
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
3-3
100%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.2
21
18
5
4
1
0
1
2
0
3
1
1-2
50%
2-2
3-5
100%
63%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.5
21
17
17
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
43%
3-8
38%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.3
1
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
1-1
100%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.2
14
1
1-2
49%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.5
11
0
1-2
46%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.5
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.9
37
31
30
6
6
1
1
0
1
2
4
12-13
92%
9-14
6-12
64%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.2
33
31
22
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
7-9
4-9
78%
49%
2-4
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.4
32
26
17
13
0
1
1
0
1
9
4
5-6
83%
6-18
5-11
33%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.9
31
20
13
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
51%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.2
19
33
4
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.8
29
23
11
7
2
1
0
0
0
1
6
1-1
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.6
20
18
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.4
16
18
10
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.9
15
8
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.8
6
14
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.8
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
12
0
1-1
49%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.4
11
0
1-2
47%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.