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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 10, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Celtics46%10287
21Hornets54%10396
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.3
32.5
31.4
16
56%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-5
80%
6-9
5-9
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.8
32.1
27.1
12
55%
10
10
1
1
0
4
1
9
0-0
-
6-9
3-7
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 22.8
28.6
23.8
5
25%
7
4
0
1
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-8
3-7
13%
49%
1-2
50%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.9
26.6
22.8
13
69%
8
1
0
0
0
1
2
6
1-1
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
53%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.0
24.6
26.6
4
22%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
0-4
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.1
20.9
26.0
0
0%
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.6
19.9
24.2
8
51%
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-2
0%
4-6
3-5
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 27.5
18.8
14.0
16
58%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
3-8
38%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.6
18.8
19.9
10
56%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 20.8
11.6
15.7
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.8
5.7
6.6
3
150%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
1-1
100%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.4
2.9
0
0-0
50%
Vitor Faverani
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.4
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 24.3
37.1
34.9
13
44%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
6-12
5-10
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 24.6
36.4
36.1
18
51%
5
7
3
1
0
3
1
4
7-8
88%
4-11
5-11
36%
44%
1-3
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 29.9
36.2
31.7
23
65%
14
3
1
1
1
2
2
12
5-6
83%
9-15
9-17
60%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.0
25.9
28.9
7
39%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 22.2
23.9
21.0
9
61%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 28.5
24.2
23.4
8
48%
5
0
1
1
1
1
0
5
1-3
33%
2-5
1-3
40%
51%
1-2
50%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 21.2
19.2
21.0
9
61%
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
3-3
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.2
14.9
20.8
3
15%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-6
3-6
17%
46%
0-3
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 29.0
11.6
15.1
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 22.3
10.6
14.7
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.8
4.6
0
0-1
46%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.1
2.8
0
0-1
44%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 19.3
2.7
0
0-1
50%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.