Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Heat	43%	101	82	96.5	85	79.2
	17	Nuggets	57%	104	102	120.0	85	91.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 31	33.5	14	50%	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	2	3-5	60%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 26	28.3	6	33%	8	8	1	0	2	2	2	6	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 33	28.1	10	31%	3	5	0	0	3	1	1	2	2-2	100%	4-15	27%	0-0	-
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 30	26.2	12	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Justin Hamilton F · 7'0" 255 · 25	22.4	4	40%	7	0	0	1	0	1	3	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Shawne Williams F · 6'10" 230 · 29	24.0	9	50%	4	1	0	2	1	5	1	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-6	50%
Danny Granger F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32	21.0	5	36%	3	0	0	0	0	4	2	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 29	15.4	11	69%	2	0	0	0	2	5	1	1	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 23	13.1	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 24	12.3	2	25%	3	2	0	1	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 35	9.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 25	5.9	6	100%	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 28	\| DND - Right Knee Contusion
Andre Dawkins #24 · G · 6'5" 219 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Andersen #11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	43%	42	18	1	6	10	0	16	26	15-21	71%	23-60	38%	7-22	32%

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14 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 31	33.5	14	50%	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	2	3-5	60%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 26	28.3	6	33%	8	8	1	0	2	2	2	6	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 33	28.1	10	31%	3	5	0	0	3	1	1	2	2-2	100%	4-15	27%	0-0	-
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 30	26.2	12	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Justin Hamilton F · 7'0" 255 · 25	22.4	4	40%	7	0	0	1	0	1	3	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Shawne Williams F · 6'10" 230 · 29	24.0	9	50%	4	1	0	2	1	5	1	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-6	50%
Danny Granger F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32	21.0	5	36%	3	0	0	0	0	4	2	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 29	15.4	11	69%	2	0	0	0	2	5	1	1	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 23	13.1	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 24	12.3	2	25%	3	2	0	1	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 35	9.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 25	5.9	6	100%	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 28	\| DND - Right Knee Contusion
Andre Dawkins #24 · G · 6'5" 219 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Andersen #11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	43%	42	18	1	6	10	0	16	26	15-21	71%	23-60	38%	7-22	32%

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17 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	30.1	10	36%	4	9	3	0	2	1	1	3	3-5	60%	2-10	20%	1-2	50%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	28.4	16	80%	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	4	3-4	75%	5-6	83%	1-2	50%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	25.5	9	64%	10	1	0	0	1	2	3	7	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	23.9	17	50%	8	0	0	0	1	1	2	6	0-0	-	7-12	58%	1-5	20%
JJ Hickson F · 6'9" 242 · 26	23.2	6	50%	4	1	1	1	2	2	3	1	0-2	0%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	23.0	7	44%	2	4	1	0	1	2	1	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	22.1	13	54%	8	1	0	0	0	2	4	4	5-6	83%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	20.7	8	67%	2	1	0	0	1	3	1	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	19.9	4	33%	2	0	1	2	0	2	1	1	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	17.9	11	69%	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	5.2	1	17%	5	0	0	0	1	2	1	4	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 31	\| DND - Thoracic Vertebral Contusion
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 27	\| DND - Left Lower Leg Strain
Danilo Gallinari #8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Randy Foye #4 · G · 6'4" 218 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	52%	50	21	7	4	10	0	17	33	18-27	67%	30-62	48%	8-23	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.86 43.2%

DEN

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

14

30

47%

DEN

18

33

55%

Midrange

MIA

9

30

30%

DEN

12

29

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

7

10.5

22

32%

48%

DEN

8

12.0

23

35%

52%

Free Throws

MIA

15

21

71%

DEN

18

27

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Bosh	14	50%	7.0 / 14
L. Deng	12	50%	6.0 / 12
M. Chalmers	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. Wade	10	31%	5.0 / 16
S. Williams	9	50%	4.5 / 9
N. Cole	6	33%	3.0 / 9
H. Whiteside	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. Granger	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Hamilton	4	40%	2.0 / 5
S. Napier	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Ennis III	2	25%	1.0 / 4
U. Haslem	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Chandler	17	50%	8.5 / 17
A. Afflalo	16	80%	8.0 / 10
K. Faried	13	54%	6.5 / 12
E. Green	11	69%	5.5 / 8
T. Lawson	10	36%	5.0 / 14
T. Mozgov	9	64%	4.5 / 7
A. Gee	8	67%	4.0 / 6
G. Harris	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Hickson	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Arthur	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Nurkić	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 103.9 18 104.8	MIA 96.5 DEN 120.0 +23.5
Pace	29 91.0 4 95.9	MIA 79.2 DEN 91.8 +12.6
Avg. Poss. Time	2 16.3 28 14.4	MIA 18.2 DEN 15.7 −2.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 50.0% 25 47.9%	MIA 40.9% DEN 49.4% +8.5%
TO %	24 15.2% 15 14.3%	MIA 10.8% DEN 9.4% −1.4%
ORB %	26 23.3% 10 26.5%	MIA 32.7% DEN 39.5% +6.8%
FTrt	4 30.6 12 27.8	MIA 25.6 DEN 31.8 +6.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 56.4% 17 57.7%	MIA 60.0% +4.7% DEN 55.3%
STL %	8 8.6% 17 8.0%	MIA 1.2% DEN 8.2% +7.0%
BLK %	12 8.0% 22 7.2%	MIA 9.7% +3.0% DEN 6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 52.2% 24 50.8%	MIA 43.2% DEN 51.5% +8.3%
Rim FG%	8 59.7% 22 56.1%	MIA 46.7% DEN 54.5% +7.8%
Mid FG%	8 40.9% 24 37.9%	MIA 30.0% DEN 41.4% +11.4%
3P %	24 33.5% 28 32.5%	MIA 31.8% DEN 34.8% +3.0%
FT %	22 74.1% 24 73.5%	MIA 71.4% +4.7% DEN 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 35.1% 10 38.2%	MIA 36.6% DEN 38.8% +2.2%
Mid Att. %	22 38.7% 6 33.4%	MIA 36.6% DEN 34.1% −2.5%
3P Att. %	17 26.2% 12 28.4%	MIA 26.8% DEN 27.1% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	DEN
Possessions	85	85
Possession Minutes	25.8	22.2
Points	82	102
Rebounds	42	50
Assists	18	21
Steals	1	7
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (1)	17 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (3)	33 (3)
Field Goals	30-82	38-85
At-the-Rim FG	14-30	18-33
Midrange FG	9-30	12-29
2-Point FG	23-60	30-62
3-Point FG	7-22	8-23
Free Throws	15-21	18-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg