Final Win Prob. pScore
1443%101
82
1757%104
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
96.58579.2
DEN logo Nuggets
120.08591.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN82
102
Q4 - 0:01.0MIANapier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)82
102
Q4 - 0:06.0MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
102
Q4 - 0:07.0DENMISS Nurkic 13' Fadeaway Jumper79
102
Q4 - 0:10.0DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
102
Q4 - 0:12.0DENMISS Nurkic 5' Jump Shot79
102
Q4 - 0:29.0DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
102
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Ennis 20' Jump Shot79
102
Q4 - 0:46.0DENNurkic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)79
102
Q4 - 0:47.0DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
102
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 20' Jump Shot79
102
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAHeat Rebound79
102
Q4 - 0:59.0DENJump Ball Faried vs. Shaw. Williams: Tip to Granger79
102
Q4 - 0:59.0DENMISS Faried 5' Jump Shot79
102
Q4 - 1:10DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
102
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
102
Q4 - 1:31DENNurkic P.FOUL (P2.T3)79
102
Q4 - 1:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
102
Q4 - 1:33DENMISS Faried 5' Jump Hook Shot79
102
Q4 - 1:51MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Ennis 2 AST)79
102
Q4 - 2:07DENNurkic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)77
102
Q4 - 2:07DENNUGGETS Rebound77
101
Q4 - 2:07DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 1 of 277
101
Q4 - 2:07MIAShaw. Williams P.FOUL (P5.PN)77
101
Q4 - 2:19MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)77
101
Q4 - 2:19MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
101
Q4 - 2:19DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)75
101
Q4 - 2:19DENNurkic S.FOUL (P1.T2)75
101
Q4 - 2:43DENGreen 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)75
101
Q4 - 3:03MIAWhiteside 3' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)75
99
Q4 - 3:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
99
Q4 - 3:08MIAMISS Napier 14' Jump Shot73
99
Q4 - 3:13MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
99
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS Napier 20' Jump Shot73
99
Q4 - 3:39DENHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Green 3 AST)73
99
Q4 - 3:50DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
96
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
96
Q4 - 4:15DENFaried 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)73
96
Q4 - 4:40MIAGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)73
94
Q4 - 4:46MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
94
Q4 - 4:48DENMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
94
Q4 - 4:54DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
94
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot70
94
Q4 - 5:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
94
Q4 - 5:07DENMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
94
Q4 - 5:13DENSUB: Nurkic FOR Arthur70
94
Q4 - 5:35MIAWhiteside 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)70
94
Q4 - 5:55DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
94
Q4 - 5:55DENNUGGETS Rebound68
93
Q4 - 5:55DENMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 268
93
Q4 - 5:55MIASUB: Ennis FOR Wade68
93
Q4 - 5:55MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Bosh68
93
Q4 - 5:5568
93
Q4 - 5:55MIAGranger S.FOUL (P4.PN)68
93
Q4 - 5:57DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
93
Q4 - 5:59DENMISS Arthur 18' Jump Shot68
93
Q4 - 6:22MIAWade 6' Running Bank Shot (10 PTS)68
93
Q4 - 6:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
93
Q4 - 6:32DENMISS Faried 14' Jump Shot66
93
Q4 - 6:46DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
93
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Granger 2' Layup66
93
Q4 - 7:13DENHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gee 1 AST)66
93
Q4 - 7:18DENGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
90
Q4 - 7:20DENMISS Arthur 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
90
Q4 - 7:30DENGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
90
Q4 - 7:32MIAMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
90
Q4 - 7:55DENGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)66
90
Q4 - 7:55MIASUB: Napier FOR Chalmers66
89
Q4 - 7:55DENNUGGETS Rebound66
89
Q4 - 7:55DENMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 266
89
Q4 - 7:55MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P5.PN)66
89
Q4 - 8:11MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)66
89
Q4 - 8:15DENGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
89
Q4 - 8:15DENGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
88
Q4 - 8:15MIAShaw. Williams Shooting Block Foul (P4.T4)66
87
Q4 - 8:18MIAArthur STEAL (1 STL)66
87
Q4 - 8:31MIAHeat Rebound66
87
Q4 - 8:31MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw Technical66
87
Q4 - 8:31DENNUGGETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Arthur )66
87
Q4 - 8:40DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
87
Q4 - 8:40MIASUB: Bosh FOR Haslem66
86
Q4 - 8:40DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
86
Q4 - 8:40MIAShaw. Williams S.FOUL (P3.T3)66
85
Q4 - 8:52DENGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
85
Q4 - 8:55MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper66
85
Q4 - 9:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
85
Q4 - 9:11DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
85
Q4 - 9:26MIAHarris STEAL (1 STL)66
85
Q4 - 9:35MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
85
Q4 - 9:38DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
85
Q4 - 9:38DENMISS Arthur 1' Tip Shot66
85
Q4 - 9:40DENMISS Harris 5' Running Bank Shot66
85
Q4 - 9:48MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P4.T2)66
85
Q4 - 9:56DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)66
85
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Chalmers 28' 3PT Jump Shot66
85
Q4 - 10:19MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)66
85
Q4 - 10:19DENGee Dunk (6 PTS) (Green 2 AST)66
85
Q4 - 10:23MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)66
83
Q4 - 10:36DENFaried Dunk (9 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)66
83
Q4 - 10:50MIAChalmers 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)66
81
Q4 - 11:17DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
81
Q4 - 11:17DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)64
80
Q4 - 11:17MIAGranger S.FOUL (P3.T1)64
79
Q4 - 11:27DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)64
79
Q4 - 11:29DENMISS Green 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
79
Q4 - 11:45MIAGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)64
79
Q4 - 11:45MIAGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)63
79
Q4 - 11:45DENArthur S.FOUL (P2.T1)62
79
Q4 - 11:46MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
79
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot62
79
Q4 - 12:0062
79
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
79
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN62
79
Q3 - 0:00.0DENGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)62
79
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
76
Q3 - 0:04.0MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh61
76
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
76
Q3 - 0:04.0DENHarris P.FOUL (P2.PN)60
76
Q3 - 0:12.0DENGreen 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)60
76
Q3 - 0:27.0DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
74
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
74
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
74
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAArthur BLOCK (2 BLK)60
74
Q3 - 0:44.0DENFaried 1' Layup (5 PTS)60
74
Q3 - 0:47.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)60
72
Q3 - 0:47.0DENMISS Gee 4' Jump Shot60
72
Q3 - 1:02MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
72
Q3 - 1:02DENSUB: Faried FOR Mozgov59
72
Q3 - 1:02DENSUB: Green FOR Lawson59
72
Q3 - 1:02MIAHeat Rebound59
72
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 259
72
Q3 - 1:02DENMozgov S.FOUL (P2.T3)59
72
Q3 - 1:18DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)59
72
Q3 - 1:18MIAGranger S.FOUL (P2.PN)59
71
Q3 - 1:18DENMozgov 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)59
71
Q3 - 1:22DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
69
Q3 - 1:24MIAMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
69
Q3 - 1:32MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
69
Q3 - 1:35DENMISS Lawson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot59
69
Q3 - 1:48MIAGranger P.FOUL (P1.T4)59
69
Q3 - 2:06DENNUGGETS Rebound59
69
Q3 - 2:08MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 259
69
Q3 - 2:08DENSUB: Arthur FOR Hickson59
69
Q3 - 2:08MIAHeat Rebound59
69
Q3 - 2:08MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 259
69
Q3 - 2:08DENHarris S.FOUL (P1.T2)59
69
Q3 - 2:10MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
69
Q3 - 2:12DENMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot59
69
Q3 - 2:23MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cole 8 AST)59
69
Q3 - 2:38MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Hamilton57
69
Q3 - 2:38DENGee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)57
69
Q3 - 2:50DENJump Ball Mozgov vs. Hamilton: Tip to Hickson57
69
Q3 - 2:50DENSUB: Harris FOR Afflalo57
69
Q3 - 2:57MIAHickson STEAL (1 STL)57
69
Q3 - 3:19DENGee Dunk (4 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST)57
69
Q3 - 3:26MIASUB: Granger FOR Deng57
67
Q3 - 3:26MIAHamilton L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)57
67
Q3 - 3:26DENNUGGETS Rebound57
67
Q3 - 3:26DENMISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot57
67
Q3 - 3:42MIAChalmers 3' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)57
67
Q3 - 4:01MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade55
67
Q3 - 4:01MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 2)55
67
Q3 - 4:01DENGee 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)55
67
Q3 - 4:06DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
65
Q3 - 4:09MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)55
65
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Hamilton 2' Tip Shot55
65
Q3 - 4:11MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot55
65
Q3 - 4:27MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
65
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
65
Q3 - 4:50DENMozgov Dunk (6 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)55
65
Q3 - 4:54DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
63
Q3 - 4:56DENMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot55
63
Q3 - 5:16DENNUGGETS Rebound55
63
Q3 - 5:17MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot55
63
Q3 - 5:41DENMozgov Foul Turnover (P1.T8)55
63
Q3 - 5:41DENMozgov OFF.Foul (P1)55
63
Q3 - 5:43DENSUB: Gee FOR Chandler55
63
Q3 - 5:43DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)55
63
Q3 - 5:44DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
63
Q3 - 5:45MIAMISS Hamilton 6' Jump Shot55
63
Q3 - 6:07DENAfflalo 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (16 PTS)55
63
Q3 - 6:19DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
61
Q3 - 6:21MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot55
61
Q3 - 6:29MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
61
Q3 - 6:31DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot55
61
Q3 - 6:49MIADeng 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Cole 7 AST)55
61
Q3 - 6:54MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
61
Q3 - 6:56DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
61
Q3 - 7:04DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
61
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
61
Q3 - 7:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
61
Q3 - 7:16DENMISS Mozgov 3' Jump Hook Shot53
61
Q3 - 7:25DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
61
Q3 - 7:27DENMISS Chandler 7' Jump Shot53
61
Q3 - 7:41MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
61
Q3 - 7:41MIAHeat Rebound52
61
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 252
61
Q3 - 7:41DENHickson S.FOUL (P2.T1)52
61
Q3 - 7:54DENChandler 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)52
61
Q3 - 8:07DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
59
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot52
59
Q3 - 8:20MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
59
Q3 - 8:22DENMISS Chandler 4' Running Jump Shot52
59
Q3 - 8:32MIABosh 2' Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)52
59
Q3 - 8:49MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)50
59
Q3 - 8:49DENHickson Putback Dunk (6 PTS)50
59
Q3 - 8:50DENHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)50
57
Q3 - 8:51DENMISS Chandler 2' Layup50
57
Q3 - 8:55MIALawson STEAL (3 STL)50
57
Q3 - 9:10DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
57
Q3 - 9:10DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
56
Q3 - 9:10MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T2)50
55
Q3 - 9:20DENNUGGETS Rebound50
55
Q3 - 9:20DENMISS Lawson 20' Step Back Jump Shot50
55
Q3 - 9:34MIACole 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
55
Q3 - 9:57DENLawson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)48
55
Q3 - 10:03DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
52
Q3 - 10:05MIAHickson BLOCK (1 BLK)48
52
Q3 - 10:24DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)48
52
Q3 - 10:24DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
51
Q3 - 10:24MIACole Shooting Block Foul (P2.T1)48
50
Q3 - 10:38MIALawson STEAL (2 STL)48
50
Q3 - 10:44DENChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)48
50
Q3 - 10:59DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
50
Q3 - 11:00MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot48
50
Q3 - 11:18DENChandler 2' Driving Reverse Layup (15 PTS)48
50
Q3 - 11:26DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
48
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
48
Q3 - 11:48DENAfflalo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)48
48
Q3 - 12:0048
48
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN48
48
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
48
Q2 - 0:00.0MIADeng 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 6 AST)48
48
Q2 - 0:03.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
48
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
48
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup46
48
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot46
48
Q2 - 0:26.0MIASUB: Wade FOR Hamilton46
48
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)46
48
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
48
Q2 - 0:32.0DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
48
Q2 - 0:38.0MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)46
48
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAHeat Rebound45
48
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 245
48
Q2 - 0:38.0DENArthur Personal Block Foul (P1.PN)45
48
Q2 - 0:55.0DENMozgov Putback Dunk (4 PTS)45
48
Q2 - 0:56.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
46
Q2 - 0:56.0DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup45
46
Q2 - 1:00DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
46
Q2 - 1:01MIAMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
46
Q2 - 1:09MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
46
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Cole 2' Running Layup45
46
Q2 - 1:35DENSUB: Arthur FOR Hickson45
46
Q2 - 1:35DENHickson Foul Turnover (P2.T5)45
46
Q2 - 1:35DENHickson Offensive Charge Foul (P1.PN)45
46
Q2 - 1:36DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
46
Q2 - 1:37DENMISS Hickson 16' Jump Shot45
46
Q2 - 1:52MIACole 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)45
46
Q2 - 1:56MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
46
Q2 - 1:58DENMISS Mozgov 14' Jump Shot43
46
Q2 - 2:13MIABosh 17' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)43
46
Q2 - 2:25MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
46
Q2 - 2:27DENMISS Hickson 4' Turnaround Jump Shot41
46
Q2 - 2:37MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)41
46
Q2 - 2:38MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Shaw. Williams41
46
Q2 - 2:38DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)41
46
Q2 - 2:41MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
46
Q2 - 2:42MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 23' Jump Shot41
46
Q2 - 3:03DENChandler 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)41
46
Q2 - 3:16MIAShaw. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)41
44
Q2 - 3:30MIAHeat Rebound41
44
Q2 - 3:31DENMISS Lawson 18' Fadeaway Jumper41
44
Q2 - 3:57MIAShaw. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)41
44
Q2 - 4:19MIASUB: Cole FOR Napier38
44
Q2 - 4:19DENLawson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)38
44
Q2 - 4:26DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
44
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Deng 3' Running Layup38
44
Q2 - 4:44DENChandler 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)38
44
Q2 - 4:53DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
42
Q2 - 4:55MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 1' Layup38
42
Q2 - 4:57MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
42
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Bosh 17' Step Back Jump Shot38
42
Q2 - 5:15DENLawson 5' Running Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)38
42
Q2 - 5:35MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
40
Q2 - 5:35MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
40
Q2 - 5:35DENSUB: Lawson FOR Green36
40
Q2 - 5:35DENSUB: Hickson FOR Faried36
40
Q2 - 5:35MIASUB: Granger FOR Wade36
40
Q2 - 5:3536
40
Q2 - 5:35DENAfflalo S.FOUL (P1.T4)36
40
Q2 - 5:41MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
40
Q2 - 5:43DENMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
40
Q2 - 6:07MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)36
40
Q2 - 6:27DENChandler 4' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)33
40
Q2 - 6:45DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
38
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
38
Q2 - 6:51MIASUB: Bosh FOR Ennis33
38
Q2 - 6:51MIASUB: Deng FOR Haslem33
38
Q2 - 6:51DENSUB: Chandler FOR Harris33
38
Q2 - 6:51DENSUB: Mozgov FOR Arthur33
38
Q2 - 7:01MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
38
Q2 - 7:03DENMISS Faried 18' Jump Shot33
38
Q2 - 7:13DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
38
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot33
38
Q2 - 7:32DENGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)33
38
Q2 - 7:43MIAWade 2' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)33
35
Q2 - 7:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
35
Q2 - 7:51MIAArthur BLOCK (1 BLK)31
35
Q2 - 8:11DENAfflalo 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Green 1 AST)31
35
Q2 - 8:31MIAShaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)31
33
Q2 - 8:48DENAfflalo 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)28
33
Q2 - 9:10MIAWade 6' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)28
31
Q2 - 9:26MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
31
Q2 - 9:28DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 226
31
Q2 - 9:28MIASUB: Napier FOR Chalmers26
31
Q2 - 9:28DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
31
Q2 - 9:28MIAChalmers L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)26
30
Q2 - 9:28DENNUGGETS Rebound26
30
Q2 - 9:28DENMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot26
30
Q2 - 9:39MIAShaw. Williams P.FOUL (P2.T4)26
30
Q2 - 9:41MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 1 AST)26
30
Q2 - 9:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
30
Q2 - 9:52DENMISS Faried 6' Jump Hook Shot23
30
Q2 - 10:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
30
Q2 - 10:11DENSUB: Afflalo FOR Gee22
30
Q2 - 10:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
30
Q2 - 10:11DENGee S.FOUL (P3.T3)21
30
Q2 - 10:25DENSUB: Green FOR Lawson21
30
Q2 - 10:25MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)21
30
Q2 - 10:28MIAHeat Rebound21
30
Q2 - 10:29DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 121
30
Q2 - 10:29MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.T3)21
30
Q2 - 10:29DENLawson 4' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)21
30
Q2 - 10:33DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
28
Q2 - 10:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
28
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Haslem 1' Tip Shot21
28
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Ennis 4' Running Jump Shot21
28
Q2 - 10:50DENGee P.FOUL (P2.T2)21
28
Q2 - 10:56DENGee Personal Block Foul (P1.T1)21
28
Q2 - 11:03DENArthur Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)21
28
Q2 - 11:03MIAShaw. Williams S.FOUL (P1.T2)21
27
Q2 - 11:03DENArthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)21
27
Q2 - 11:10MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)21
24
Q2 - 11:10DENNUGGETS Rebound21
24
Q2 - 11:11MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Bank Shot21
24
Q2 - 11:25DENFaried 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)21
24
Q2 - 11:34DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
22
Q2 - 11:36DENMISS Arthur 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
22
Q2 - 12:0021
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
22
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot21
22
Q1 - 0:12.0DENHarris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)21
22
Q1 - 0:15.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
22
Q1 - 0:17.0DENMISS Gee 7' Jump Shot21
22
Q1 - 0:35.0MIALawson STEAL (1 STL)21
22
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
22
Q1 - 0:53.0DENMISS Lawson 14' Fadeaway Jumper21
22
Q1 - 1:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
22
Q1 - 1:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
22
Q1 - 1:02DENFaried Personal Block Foul (P2.PN)19
22
Q1 - 1:12DENSUB: Gee FOR Chandler19
22
Q1 - 1:12MIASUB: Ennis FOR Deng19
22
Q1 - 1:12MIASUB: Haslem FOR Hamilton19
22
Q1 - 1:12DENFaried L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)19
22
Q1 - 1:12MIAHeat Rebound19
22
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
22
Q1 - 1:35DENChandler 4' Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
22
Q1 - 1:39DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
20
Q1 - 1:40DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
20
Q1 - 1:50DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
20
Q1 - 1:51MIAMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot19
20
Q1 - 2:10DENChandler 1' Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)19
20
Q1 - 2:14DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
18
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Cole 3' Layup19
18
Q1 - 2:40DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
18
Q1 - 2:40DENSUB: Faried FOR Hickson19
17
Q1 - 2:40DENNUGGETS Rebound19
17
Q1 - 2:40DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 219
17
Q1 - 2:40MIACole S.FOUL (P1.T3)19
17
Q1 - 2:48MIADeng 1' Layup (6 PTS)19
17
Q1 - 2:59DENSUB: Harris FOR Afflalo17
17
Q1 - 2:59DENLawson P.FOUL (P1.T2)17
17
Q1 - 3:05MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
17
Q1 - 3:06DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
17
Q1 - 3:14DENNUGGETS Rebound17
17
Q1 - 3:15DENMISS Chandler 1' Driving Reverse Layup17
17
Q1 - 3:26DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
17
Q1 - 3:27DENMISS Lawson 3' Running Bank Shot17
17
Q1 - 3:50MIACole 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
17
Q1 - 3:54MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17
Q1 - 3:56DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
17
Q1 - 4:07MIADeng 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)15
17
Q1 - 4:18DENSUB: Arthur FOR Mozgov13
17
Q1 - 4:18DENChandler P.FOUL (P1.T1)13
17
Q1 - 4:32DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)13
17
Q1 - 4:32DENNUGGETS Rebound13
16
Q1 - 4:32DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 213
16
Q1 - 4:32MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T2)13
16
Q1 - 4:46MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade13
16
Q1 - 4:46DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
16
Q1 - 4:55MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)13
16
Q1 - 5:03MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
16
Q1 - 5:05DENMISS Mozgov 1' Layup10
16
Q1 - 5:21MIAWade 4' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)10
16
Q1 - 5:33DENHickson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
16
Q1 - 5:52MIABosh 17' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)8
16
Q1 - 6:14DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
16
Q1 - 6:27MIADeng 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)6
16
Q1 - 6:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16
Q1 - 6:42DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
16
Q1 - 6:51DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot4
16
Q1 - 7:08DENHickson 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)4
16
Q1 - 7:22DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot4
14
Q1 - 7:45DENAfflalo 19' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)4
14
Q1 - 7:55DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
12
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup4
12
Q1 - 8:00MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
12
Q1 - 8:02MIAAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)4
12
Q1 - 8:19MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)4
12
Q1 - 8:19DENHickson 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)4
12
Q1 - 8:27DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
10
Q1 - 8:29DENMISS Lawson 17' Jump Shot4
10
Q1 - 8:34DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10
Q1 - 8:36MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup4
10
Q1 - 8:45MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
10
Q1 - 8:47MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
10
Q1 - 9:14DENAfflalo 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)4
10
Q1 - 9:32MIAHamilton 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)4
8
Q1 - 9:52DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)2
8
Q1 - 10:13DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
5
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot2
5
Q1 - 10:25MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
5
Q1 - 10:26DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 22
5
Q1 - 10:26DENNUGGETS Rebound2
5
Q1 - 10:26DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 22
5
Q1 - 10:26MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
5
Q1 - 10:35MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
5
Q1 - 10:47DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)2
5
Q1 - 11:03DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:20DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
2
Q1 - 11:20DENMozgov 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:22DENMISS Chandler 3' Turnaround Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:37MIAHamilton 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Mozgov vs. Bosh: Tip to Cole0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.2%
DEN
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
30
47%
DEN
18
33
55%
Midrange
MIA
9
30
30%
DEN
12
29
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
DEN
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
Free Throws
MIA
15
21
71%
DEN
18
27
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh1450%7.0 / 14
L. Deng1250%6.0 / 12
M. Chalmers1169%5.5 / 8
D. Wade1031%5.0 / 16
S. Williams950%4.5 / 9
N. Cole633%3.0 / 9
H. Whiteside6100%3.0 / 3
D. Granger536%2.5 / 7
J. Hamilton440%2.0 / 5
S. Napier350%1.5 / 3
J. Ennis III225%1.0 / 4
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Chandler1750%8.5 / 17
A. Afflalo1680%8.0 / 10
K. Faried1354%6.5 / 12
E. Green1169%5.5 / 8
T. Lawson1036%5.0 / 14
T. Mozgov964%4.5 / 7
A. Gee867%4.0 / 6
G. Harris744%3.5 / 8
J. Hickson650%3.0 / 6
D. Arthur433%2.0 / 6
J. Nurkić117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+17
-10
92
DEN
75
+21
-10
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.2%
DEN
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
104.8
MIA 96.5
DEN 120.0 +23.5
Pace
91.0
95.9
MIA 79.2
DEN 91.8 +12.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.4
MIA 18.2
DEN 15.7 −2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
47.9%
MIA 40.9%
DEN 49.4% +8.5%
TO %
15.2%
14.3%
MIA 10.8%
DEN 9.4% −1.4%
ORB %
23.3%
26.5%
MIA 32.7%
DEN 39.5% +6.8%
FTrt
30.6
27.8
MIA 25.6
DEN 31.8 +6.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
57.7%
MIA 60.0% +4.7%
DEN 55.3%
STL %
8.6%
8.0%
MIA 1.2%
DEN 8.2% +7.0%
BLK %
8.0%
7.2%
MIA 9.7% +3.0%
DEN 6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
50.8%
MIA 43.2%
DEN 51.5% +8.3%
Rim FG%
59.7%
56.1%
MIA 46.7%
DEN 54.5% +7.8%
Mid FG%
40.9%
37.9%
MIA 30.0%
DEN 41.4% +11.4%
3P %
33.5%
32.5%
MIA 31.8%
DEN 34.8% +3.0%
FT %
74.1%
73.5%
MIA 71.4% +4.7%
DEN 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
38.2%
MIA 36.6%
DEN 38.8% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
33.4%
MIA 36.6%
DEN 34.1% −2.5%
3P Att. %
26.2%
28.4%
MIA 26.8%
DEN 27.1% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points82102
Rebounds4250
Assists1821
Steals17
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (1)17 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)33 (3)
Field Goals30-8238-85
At-the-Rim FG14-3018-33
Midrange FG9-3012-29
2-Point FG23-6030-62
3-Point FG7-228-23
Free Throws15-2118-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 31
33.5
14
50%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
3-5
60%
4-9
44%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
28.3
6
33%
8
8
1
0
2
2
2
6
0-2
0%
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
28.1
10
31%
3
5
0
0
3
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-15
27%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
26.2
12
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-4
50%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
F · 7'0" 255 · 25
22.4
4
40%
7
0
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
24.0
9
50%
4
1
0
2
1
5
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
3-6
50%
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32
21.0
5
36%
3
0
0
0
0
4
2
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
15.4
11
69%
2
0
0
0
2
5
1
1
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
13.1
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 210 · 24
12.3
2
25%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
9.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 25
5.9
6
100%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 28
#24 · G · 6'5" 219 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
43%
42
18
1
6
10
0
16
26
15-21
71%
23-60
38%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.