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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 10, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat43%10182
19Nuggets57%103102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.7
34
36
14
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
3-5
60%
4-9
7-12
44%
52%
1-3
33%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.2
28
24
6
8
8
1
1
0
2
2
6
0-2
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.9
28
33
10
3
5
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
4-15
8-15
27%
52%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.7
26
26
12
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-4
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
0-1
0%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.7
22
5
4
7
0
0
0
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
51%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.8
24
12
9
4
1
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
46%
3-6
50%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.6
21
7
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
1-5
20%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.6
15
30
11
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
13
15
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
1-1
100%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.4
12
14
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.5
10
16
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.5
6
1
6
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.8
27
1
2-3
51%
Andre Dawkins
G · 6'5" 219 · 23.2
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.1
30
40
10
4
9
3
2
0
2
1
3
3-5
60%
2-10
5-10
20%
50%
1-2
50%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
28
33
16
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
5-6
4-7
83%
51%
1-2
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.4
26
33
9
10
1
0
1
0
1
3
7
1-1
100%
4-7
5-8
57%
56%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
24
35
17
8
0
0
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
7-12
4-7
58%
50%
1-5
20%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.3
23
20
6
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
1
0-2
0%
3-5
4-7
60%
53%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.2
23
10
7
2
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.1
22
11
13
8
1
0
0
0
0
4
4
5-6
83%
4-9
2-4
44%
56%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
21
13
8
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
20
20
4
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
1
1-1
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.6
18
5
11
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
1-1
100%
50%
2-5
40%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.3
5
2
1
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 30.5
5
0
1-1
48%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.9
5
0
1-1
57%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.3
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.