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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 11, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers45%10094
5Thunder55%101103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.7
40.4
36.2
20
42%
3
6
2
2
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
6-16
5-10
38%
48%
1-5
20%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.3
39.2
34.0
18
54%
16
2
1
1
0
3
2
14
6-8
75%
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
2-5
40%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.3
33.5
17.6
14
88%
5
4
1
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
4-6
67%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.2
26.8
20.9
9
39%
6
2
1
1
1
1
3
3
1-1
100%
4-11
3-6
36%
51%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.6
21.5
18.9
2
15%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-3
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.7
30.0
29.9
14
61%
13
1
0
1
3
3
7
6
6-8
75%
4-8
4-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
25.7
24.0
14
50%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
46%
2-5
40%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.2
14.1
9.2
3
28%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
0-0
0-0
-
36%
0-4
0%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.3
7.3
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.2
1.5
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
37.9
2
7-13
57%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.0
3.6
0
0-1
44%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.0
2.8
0
0-1
48%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.8
Alex Kirk
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
35.8
31.3
26
52%
7
8
1
2
0
4
1
6
2-2
100%
12-22
6-13
55%
47%
0-2
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.2
30.1
29.4
19
57%
6
5
2
1
2
3
0
6
6-6
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
25.8
28.3
7
58%
0
1
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
54%
1-3
33%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.4
22.4
15.3
8
59%
10
0
0
0
2
0
5
5
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.0
14.6
19.5
4
67%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.7
26.4
29.4
13
55%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-6
4-9
67%
49%
1-5
20%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
26.1
21.9
11
69%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
3-5
60%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.1
20.2
21.4
4
42%
7
0
0
0
3
1
2
5
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.1
19.9
8.1
2
20%
4
2
2
0
1
0
3
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-1
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.5
18.9
19.9
9
46%
4
2
3
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.2
14.8
0
1-3
48%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
4.3
0
0-1
43%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.4
2.2
0
0-0
43%
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.4
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.