Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Rockets	55%	100	113	109.7	103	93.3
	18	Kings	45%	99	109	109.0	100	90.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 25	48.0	44	56%	4	8	3	1	2	2	0	4	13-15	87%	11-22	50%	3-10	30%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 29	42.7	15	50%	7	0	3	0	2	4	2	5	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	3-10	30%
Patrick Beverley G · 6'1" 185 · 26	39.5	15	54%	10	5	1	0	2	3	4	6	1-4	25%	1-4	25%	4-8	50%
Donatas Motiejunas F · 7'0" 220 · 24	30.3	14	58%	3	1	1	1	1	6	2	1	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	0-1	0%
Tarik Black C · 6'9" 250 · 23	16.1	4	40%	5	1	0	0	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 37	35.0	13	50%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-10	30%
Joey Dorsey · 6'8" 268 · 31	33.0	0	0%	9	2	5	1	3	5	2	7	0-4	0%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Troy Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 23	12.3	6	60%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Nick Johnson G · 6'3" 202 · 22	8.1	2	33%	4	0	0	0	1	1	3	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Isaiah Canaan G · 6'0" 200 · 24	\| DND - left knee sprain
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 29	\| DND - right knee strain
Clint Capela C · 6'10" 256 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Francisco Garcia #32 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Terrence Jones #6 · F · 6'9" 252 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kostas Papanikolaou #16 · F · 6'8" 235 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	113	49%	42	18	13	3	14	0	14	28	22-31	71%	23-51	45%	15-44	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

10 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 25	48.0	44	56%	4	8	3	1	2	2	0	4	13-15	87%	11-22	50%	3-10	30%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 29	42.7	15	50%	7	0	3	0	2	4	2	5	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	3-10	30%
Patrick Beverley G · 6'1" 185 · 26	39.5	15	54%	10	5	1	0	2	3	4	6	1-4	25%	1-4	25%	4-8	50%
Donatas Motiejunas F · 7'0" 220 · 24	30.3	14	58%	3	1	1	1	1	6	2	1	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	0-1	0%
Tarik Black C · 6'9" 250 · 23	16.1	4	40%	5	1	0	0	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 37	35.0	13	50%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-10	30%
Joey Dorsey · 6'8" 268 · 31	33.0	0	0%	9	2	5	1	3	5	2	7	0-4	0%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Troy Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 23	12.3	6	60%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Nick Johnson G · 6'3" 202 · 22	8.1	2	33%	4	0	0	0	1	1	3	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Isaiah Canaan G · 6'0" 200 · 24	\| DND - left knee sprain
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 29	\| DND - right knee strain
Clint Capela C · 6'10" 256 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Francisco Garcia #32 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Terrence Jones #6 · F · 6'9" 252 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kostas Papanikolaou #16 · F · 6'8" 235 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	113	49%	42	18	13	3	14	0	14	28	22-31	71%	23-51	45%	15-44	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ben McLemore G · 6'5" 195 · 22	46.0	21	66%	2	2	0	0	3	4	0	2	1-3	33%	7-11	64%	2-4	50%
Darren Collison G · 6'2" 185 · 27	41.9	24	60%	3	7	3	0	6	1	1	2	2-2	100%	8-16	50%	2-4	50%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 28	40.0	13	33%	8	8	3	0	4	2	2	6	4-4	100%	3-14	21%	1-4	25%
Jason Thompson F · 6'11" 250 · 28	34.9	13	72%	15	1	1	0	0	5	3	12	9-11	82%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Reggie Evans C · 6'8" 245 · 35	17.8	5	50%	4	0	1	0	2	3	2	2	1-6	17%	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 24	33.9	17	57%	5	1	0	0	1	3	2	3	5-6	83%	3-8	38%	2-4	50%
Carl Landry F · 6'9" 248 · 31	18.1	7	58%	1	0	0	2	2	2	0	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Nik Stauskas G · 6'6" 205 · 21	14.3	3	75%	0	2	0	0	3	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Ramon Sessions G · 6'3" 190 · 29	11.1	4	50%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Ryan Hollins C · 7'0" 240 · 30	7.0	2	50%	4	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Omri Casspi F · 6'9" 225 · 26	\| DND - left knee bone contusion
Ray McCallum G · 6'3" 190 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Eric Moreland F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DeMarcus Cousins #15 · C · 6'11" 270 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	109	55%	44	22	8	4	21	0	11	33	23-34	68%	31-66	47%	8-18	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	SAC

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.98 49.1%

SAC

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

18

36

50%

SAC

17

27

63%

Midrange

HOU

5

15

33%

SAC

14

39

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

15

22.5

44

34%

51%

SAC

8

12.0

18

44%

67%

Free Throws

HOU

22

31

71%

SAC

23

34

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	44	56%	22.0 / 39
T. Ariza	15	50%	7.5 / 15
P. Beverley	15	54%	7.5 / 14
D. Motiejunas	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Terry	13	50%	6.5 / 13
T. Daniels	6	60%	3.0 / 5
T. Black	4	40%	2.0 / 5
N. Johnson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Dorsey	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Collison	24	60%	12.0 / 20
B. McLemore	21	66%	10.5 / 16
D. Williams	17	57%	8.5 / 15
R. Gay	13	33%	6.5 / 20
J. Thompson	13	72%	6.5 / 9
C. Landry	7	58%	3.5 / 6
R. Evans	5	50%	2.5 / 5
R. Sessions	4	50%	2.0 / 4
N. Stauskas	3	75%	1.5 / 2
R. Hollins	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 107.0 14 105.5	HOU 109.7 +0.7 SAC 109.0
Pace	2 96.6 9 95.3	HOU 93.3 +2.8 SAC 90.5
Avg. Poss. Time	27 14.6 24 14.8	HOU 15.4 −0.5 SAC 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 51.2% 19 49.0%	HOU 47.9% SAC 51.2% +3.3%
TO %	28 16.4% 27 16.2%	HOU 11.4% −6.8% SAC 18.2%
ORB %	7 26.8% 9 26.6%	HOU 29.8% +1.6% SAC 28.2%
FTrt	2 31.2 1 36.3	HOU 32.6 SAC 40.5 +7.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 60.0% 26 55.4%	HOU 47.4% SAC 56.4% +9.0%
STL %	3 9.8% 26 7.0%	HOU 12.6% +4.6% SAC 8.0%
BLK %	14 8.0% 29 6.4%	HOU 4.5% SAC 7.8% +3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.99 and 2.99.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 53.3% 10 52.6%	HOU 49.1% SAC 54.5% +5.4%
Rim FG%	14 58.0% 20 56.6%	HOU 50.0% SAC 63.0% +13.0%
Mid FG%	27 37.1% 21 39.4%	HOU 33.3% SAC 35.9% +2.6%
3P %	14 34.8% 20 34.1%	HOU 34.1% SAC 44.4% +10.3%
FT %	27 71.5% 10 76.2%	HOU 71.0% +3.4% SAC 67.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 39.2% 2 41.5%	HOU 37.9% +5.8% SAC 32.1%
Mid Att. %	1 21.6% 20 38.1%	HOU 15.8% −30.6% SAC 46.4%
3P Att. %	1 39.2% 27 20.4%	HOU 46.3% +24.9% SAC 21.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Game Totals	HOU	SAC
Possessions	103	100
Possession Minutes	26.5	26.5
Points	113	109
Rebounds	42	44
Assists	18	22
Steals	13	8
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	21 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (8)	11 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	33 (5)
Field Goals	38-95	39-84
At-the-Rim FG	18-36	17-27
Midrange FG	5-15	14-39
2-Point FG	23-51	31-66
3-Point FG	15-44	8-18
Free Throws	22-31	23-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg