for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
December 11, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets55%101113
18Kings45%99109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.3
48.0
36.6
44
57%
4
8
3
2
1
2
0
4
13-15
87%
11-22
5-11
50%
49%
3-10
30%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.4
42.7
40.3
15
51%
7
0
3
2
0
2
2
5
4-4
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
3-10
30%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.4
39.5
34.1
15
55%
10
5
1
1
0
2
4
6
1-4
25%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
4-8
50%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.2
30.3
33.1
14
59%
3
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
53%
0-1
0%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
16.1
19.1
4
40%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.2
35.0
29.8
13
50%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
3-10
30%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.0
33.0
12.5
0
0%
9
2
5
0
1
3
2
7
0-4
0%
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.4
12.3
2.4
6
60%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
2-5
40%
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.0
8.1
18.1
2
33%
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 23.6
14.4
1
1-2
44%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.0
9.3
0
2-3
57%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.9
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.9
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.8
46.0
26.0
21
64%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-3
33%
7-11
2-4
64%
47%
2-4
50%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.3
41.9
32.8
24
57%
3
7
3
1
0
6
1
2
2-2
100%
8-16
4-9
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.3
40.0
32.9
13
33%
8
8
3
1
0
4
2
6
4-4
100%
3-14
6-12
21%
48%
1-4
25%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.4
34.9
30.3
13
74%
15
1
1
1
0
0
3
12
9-11
82%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 34.6
17.8
25.4
5
54%
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
2
1-6
17%
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.5
33.9
15.1
17
58%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
5-6
83%
3-8
2-3
38%
48%
2-4
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.2
18.1
18.1
7
60%
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.2
14.3
16.3
3
75%
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-2
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.7
11.1
14.8
4
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 30.2
7.0
13.1
2
50%
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
60%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.5
8.7
0
1-2
50%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
3.3
0
0-1
43%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23.0
0.1
0
0-0
100%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.