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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 12, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Magic29%9481
13Hawks71%10287
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 31.6
36.9
31.5
8
55%
9
1
0
1
1
2
1
8
2-3
67%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
2-6
33%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.1
34.3
25.2
18
64%
6
4
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
6-8
3-5
75%
47%
2-6
33%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
33.9
33.7
13
41%
11
3
0
1
1
3
1
10
4-4
100%
3-8
5-11
38%
49%
1-6
17%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.6
33.6
30.1
21
76%
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-4
50%
5-9
4-9
56%
45%
3-3
100%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24.7
33.0
23.0
14
57%
10
2
0
1
0
3
2
8
4-5
80%
5-9
4-8
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 20.8
21.3
27.0
2
20%
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
42%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 25.3
19.4
17.5
0
0%
4
0
1
0
2
3
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.7
17.8
16.1
5
42%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.4
9.8
17.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-6
1-3
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.2
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
6.1
0
0-1
51%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
5.8
0
1-2
45%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.8
3.6
0
0-1
45%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.1
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.5
33.8
28.4
17
53%
7
2
1
1
2
2
1
6
0-0
-
7-15
6-10
47%
56%
1-1
100%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.5
33.4
27.5
13
47%
5
5
2
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
50%
1-7
14%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.8
33.0
31.5
23
59%
8
2
1
2
0
2
1
7
6-10
60%
4-10
4-9
40%
51%
3-5
60%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.4
31.9
28.3
12
45%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
53%
1-6
17%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.7
31.0
28.9
6
60%
5
3
3
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
21.7
16.7
2
25%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.2
18.6
18.3
5
29%
4
5
2
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
1-6
3-5
17%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.4
17.1
14.6
8
59%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
1-2
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.8
11.8
4.0
1
57%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.6
7.2
17.3
0
0%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.4
0.6
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.4
10.7
0
2-3
51%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.8
4.6
0
0-1
49%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 23.8
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.