Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Trail Blazers	66%	101	95	103.3	92	89.6
	16	Pacers	34%	97	85	92.4	92	94.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard G · 6'2" 200 · 24	36.6	18	38%	3	4	1	0	1	2	0	3	4-4	100%	7-19	37%	0-3	0%	+3.5
Nicolas Batum F · 6'7" 230 · 26	36.4	14	64%	4	5	3	0	3	3	1	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	1-5	20%	+10.0
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 29	35.9	19	41%	14	1	1	0	4	3	3	11	2-2	100%	7-22	32%	1-1	100%	+0.7
Wesley Matthews G · 6'5" 220 · 28	34.1	12	50%	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	4	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	2-6	33%	+5.2
Robin Lopez C · 7'0" 277 · 27	29.9	8	100%	8	2	1	3	0	2	4	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-	+11.2

Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 35	21.2	8	80%	2	7	1	1	1	3	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	+9.3
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 33	17.9	10	45%	6	1	0	0	2	3	2	4	0-1	0%	5-11	45%	0-0	-	+0.7
Allen Crabbe G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23	16.0	2	100%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+1.7
Joel Freeland C-F · 6'10" 225 · 28	12.1	4	100%	1	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-	+4.4
Meyers Leonard C · 7'1" 255 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Thomas Robinson F · 6'10" 237 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Dorell Wright F-G · 6'9" 205 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
CJ McCollum #3 · G · 6'3" 190 · 23	Inactive · INACTIVE
Victor Claver #18 · · 6'9" 224 · 26	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	51%	46	21	9	5	12	0	11	35	10-12	83%	35-73	48%	5-17	29%

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11 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard G · 6'2" 200 · 24	36.6	18	38%	3	4	1	0	1	2	0	3	4-4	100%	7-19	37%	0-3	0%	+3.5
Nicolas Batum F · 6'7" 230 · 26	36.4	14	64%	4	5	3	0	3	3	1	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	1-5	20%	+10.0
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 29	35.9	19	41%	14	1	1	0	4	3	3	11	2-2	100%	7-22	32%	1-1	100%	+0.7
Wesley Matthews G · 6'5" 220 · 28	34.1	12	50%	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	4	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	2-6	33%	+5.2
Robin Lopez C · 7'0" 277 · 27	29.9	8	100%	8	2	1	3	0	2	4	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-	+11.2

Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 35	21.2	8	80%	2	7	1	1	1	3	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	+9.3
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 33	17.9	10	45%	6	1	0	0	2	3	2	4	0-1	0%	5-11	45%	0-0	-	+0.7
Allen Crabbe G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23	16.0	2	100%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+1.7
Joel Freeland C-F · 6'10" 225 · 28	12.1	4	100%	1	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-	+4.4
Meyers Leonard C · 7'1" 255 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Thomas Robinson F · 6'10" 237 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Dorell Wright F-G · 6'9" 205 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
CJ McCollum #3 · G · 6'3" 190 · 23	Inactive · INACTIVE
Victor Claver #18 · · 6'9" 224 · 26	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	51%	46	21	9	5	12	0	11	35	10-12	83%	35-73	48%	5-17	29%

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16 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rodney Stuckey G · 6'5" 205 · 29	38.7	14	35%	14	2	1	0	2	1	2	12	2-4	50%	6-17	35%	0-2	0%	+1.9
Solomon Hill F · 6'7" 225 · 24	36.5	8	31%	7	1	0	0	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	4-11	36%	0-2	0%	−0.2
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 34	32.9	12	46%	4	6	1	1	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	6-12	50%	0-1	0%	+8.8
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 31	32.6	23	96%	1	5	0	0	2	3	0	1	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	4-5	80%	+14.0
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 28	29.8	10	42%	10	1	0	1	2	2	2	8	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	0-0	-	+1.8

Lavoy Allen F-C · 6'9" 260 · 26	18.2	2	33%	7	0	0	0	1	3	3	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-	+0.7
Donald Sloan G · 6'3" 205 · 27	18.1	6	27%	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-3	0%	−1.9
Luis Scola F · 6'9" 241 · 35	15.1	10	71%	5	0	3	0	0	3	1	4	4-5	80%	3-5	60%	0-0	-	+9.2
Damjan Rudez F · 6'10" 228 · 28	12.0	0	0%	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%	+0.1
Chris Copeland F · 6'9" 239 · 31	6.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%	−2.7
CJ Miles G · 6'6" 220 · 28	DND - Bruised Lt Knee
Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 28	DND - Torn Left Plantar Fascia
Shayne Whittington F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Paul George #13 · F · 6'8" 230 · 25	Inactive · INACTIVE
George Hill #3 · G · 6'3" 188 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	44%	49	16	8	2	13	0	12	37	13-16	81%	30-73	41%	4-15	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	IND
Clock	Team	Event	POR	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.01 50.5%

IND

0.88 43.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

20

29

69%

IND

14

33

42%

Midrange

POR

15

44

34%

IND

16

40

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

5

7.5

17

29%

44%

IND

4

6.0

15

27%

40%

Free Throws

POR

10

12

83%

IND

13

16

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge	19	41%	9.5 / 23
D. Lillard	18	38%	9.0 / 24
N. Batum	14	64%	7.0 / 11
W. Matthews	12	50%	6.0 / 12
C. Kaman	10	45%	5.0 / 11
R. Lopez	8	100%	4.0 / 4
S. Blake	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Freeland	4	100%	2.0 / 2
A. Crabbe	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Watson	23	96%	11.5 / 12
R. Stuckey	14	35%	7.0 / 20
D. West	12	46%	6.0 / 13
R. Hibbert	10	42%	5.0 / 12
L. Scola	10	71%	5.0 / 7
S. Hill	8	31%	4.0 / 13
D. Sloan	6	27%	3.0 / 11
L. Allen	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Rudez	0	-	0.0 / 2
C. Copeland	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 108.5 22 103.9	POR 103.3 +10.9 IND 92.4
Pace	14 94.0 22 92.9	POR 89.6 IND 94.5 +4.9
Avg. Poss. Time	12 15.7 5 16.0	POR 16.1 IND 15.2 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 50.8% 23 48.4%	POR 47.2% +6.3% IND 40.9%
TO %	10 14.0% 14 14.2%	POR 11.2% −0.8% IND 12.0%
ORB %	20 24.2% 22 24.1%	POR 22.9% IND 25.5% +2.6%
FTrt	30 22.5 17 26.6	POR 13.3 IND 18.2 +4.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 56.7% 14 58.6%	POR 52.5% +5.4% IND 47.1%
STL %	27 6.8% 29 6.6%	POR 9.8% +1.1% IND 8.7%
BLK %	26 6.7% 20 7.4%	POR 6.8% +4.1% IND 2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 53.2% 23 50.9%	POR 50.5% +6.7% IND 43.8%
Rim FG%	5 60.2% 24 55.7%	POR 69.0% +26.6% IND 42.4%
Mid FG%	13 40.2% 10 40.6%	POR 34.1% IND 40.0% +5.9%
3P %	8 36.2% 12 35.2%	POR 29.4% +2.7% IND 26.7%
FT %	1 80.1% 13 75.6%	POR 83.3% +2.0% IND 81.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 30.6% 27 31.2%	POR 32.2% IND 37.5% +5.3%
Mid Att. %	18 37.8% 25 43.3%	POR 48.9% IND 45.5% −3.4%
3P Att. %	6 31.6% 19 25.5%	POR 18.9% +1.8% IND 17.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	IND
Possessions	92	92
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	95	85
Rebounds	46	49
Assists	21	16
Steals	9	8
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (4)	37 (1)
Field Goals	40-90	34-88
At-the-Rim FG	20-29	14-33
Midrange FG	15-44	16-40
2-Point FG	35-73	30-73
3-Point FG	5-17	4-15
Free Throws	10-12	13-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg