Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Spurs	70%	105	99	105.3	94	88.4
	17	Nuggets	30%	98	91	96.8	94	100.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 23	36.6	18	53%	8	4	5	6	1	3	2	6	6-6	100%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 27	35.2	5	36%	6	3	2	0	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 39	32.3	15	44%	9	4	1	3	2	2	3	6	5-6	83%	5-14	36%	0-0	-
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 23	32.0	13	93%	2	3	0	1	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-1	100%
Tiago Splitter C · 6'11" 245 · 30	19.7	11	61%	6	3	0	1	1	2	2	4	1-4	25%	5-7	71%	0-0	-

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 37	24.3	15	68%	1	6	0	0	4	3	1	0	6-7	86%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Marco Belinelli G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29	22.1	10	50%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5-8	63%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33	14.9	3	38%	4	2	1	0	2	0	1	3	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35	13.2	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 28	7.8	6	75%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 21	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 27	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · G · 6'0" 185 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tony Parker #9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	53%	43	26	9	11	13	0	11	32	26-35	74%	29-58	50%	5-16	31%

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3 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 23	36.6	18	53%	8	4	5	6	1	3	2	6	6-6	100%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 27	35.2	5	36%	6	3	2	0	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 39	32.3	15	44%	9	4	1	3	2	2	3	6	5-6	83%	5-14	36%	0-0	-
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 23	32.0	13	93%	2	3	0	1	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-1	100%
Tiago Splitter C · 6'11" 245 · 30	19.7	11	61%	6	3	0	1	1	2	2	4	1-4	25%	5-7	71%	0-0	-

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 37	24.3	15	68%	1	6	0	0	4	3	1	0	6-7	86%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Marco Belinelli G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29	22.1	10	50%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5-8	63%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33	14.9	3	38%	4	2	1	0	2	0	1	3	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35	13.2	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 28	7.8	6	75%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 21	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 27	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · G · 6'0" 185 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tony Parker #9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	53%	43	26	9	11	13	0	11	32	26-35	74%	29-58	50%	5-16	31%

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17 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	40.1	31	74%	5	1	0	0	6	4	1	4	3-3	100%	8-14	57%	4-6	67%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	38.5	6	25%	2	10	1	0	4	3	0	2	2-4	50%	2-9	22%	0-1	0%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	36.0	14	70%	3	3	1	0	1	5	1	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-2	100%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	23.9	11	42%	13	0	0	2	0	0	5	8	3-4	75%	4-12	33%	0-0	-
JJ Hickson F · 6'9" 242 · 26	16.3	4	67%	6	0	0	1	1	1	2	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	21.2	8	57%	4	1	3	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-2	100%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	18.1	10	56%	8	1	1	1	3	4	3	5	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	17.3	5	36%	2	1	1	0	3	5	2	0	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 31	15.0	2	14%	2	2	0	0	1	3	1	1	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	13.5	0	0%	0	1	3	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	\| DND - Right Ankle Strain
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	\| DND - Right Knee Contusions
Randy Foye #4 · G · 6'4" 218 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	49%	45	20	10	4	21	0	15	30	15-21	71%	26-67	39%	8-16	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.06 53.2%

DEN

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

18

28

64%

DEN

16

37

43%

Midrange

SAS

11

30

37%

DEN

10

30

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

5

7.5

16

31%

47%

DEN

8

12.0

16

50%

75%

Free Throws

SAS

26

35

74%

DEN

15

21

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	18	53%	9.0 / 17
T. Duncan	15	44%	7.5 / 17
M. Ginobili	15	68%	7.5 / 11
C. Joseph	13	93%	6.5 / 7
T. Splitter	11	61%	5.5 / 9
M. Belinelli	10	50%	5.0 / 10
A. Baynes	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Green	5	36%	2.5 / 7
B. Diaw	3	38%	1.5 / 4
M. Bonner	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Daye	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Afflalo	31	74%	15.5 / 21
W. Chandler	14	70%	7.0 / 10
T. Mozgov	11	42%	5.5 / 13
J. Nurkić	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Arthur	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Lawson	6	25%	3.0 / 12
A. Gee	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Hickson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
N. Robinson	2	14%	1.0 / 7
G. Harris	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 108.5 18 104.8	SAS 105.3 +8.5 DEN 96.8
Pace	15 93.9 4 95.9	SAS 88.4 DEN 100.4 +12.1
Avg. Poss. Time	10 15.7 28 14.4	SAS 16.3 DEN 14.3 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 51.7% 25 47.9%	SAS 49.3% +3.5% DEN 45.8%
TO %	12 14.2% 15 14.3%	SAS 12.7% −5.8% DEN 18.5%
ORB %	25 23.4% 10 26.5%	SAS 26.8% DEN 31.9% +5.1%
FTrt	24 25.6 12 27.8	SAS 47.3 +22.0 DEN 25.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 62.3% 17 57.7%	SAS 76.5% +17.7% DEN 58.8%
STL %	11 8.5% 17 8.0%	SAS 9.6% DEN 10.6% +1.0%
BLK %	10 8.4% 22 7.2%	SAS 16.4% +9.5% DEN 6.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 54.0% 24 50.8%	SAS 53.2% +4.3% DEN 48.9%
Rim FG%	9 59.6% 22 56.1%	SAS 64.3% +21.1% DEN 43.2%
Mid FG%	3 42.1% 24 37.9%	SAS 36.7% +3.4% DEN 33.3%
3P %	6 36.7% 28 32.5%	SAS 31.3% DEN 50.0% +18.7%
FT %	4 78.0% 24 73.5%	SAS 74.3% +2.9% DEN 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 35.3% 10 38.2%	SAS 37.8% DEN 44.6% +6.7%
Mid Att. %	17 37.8% 6 33.4%	SAS 40.5% DEN 36.1% −4.4%
3P Att. %	15 26.9% 12 28.4%	SAS 21.6% +2.3% DEN 19.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	DEN
Possessions	94	94
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	99	91
Rebounds	43	45
Assists	26	20
Steals	9	10
Blocks	11	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	21 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (1)	15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	30 (1)
Field Goals	34-74	34-83
At-the-Rim FG	18-28	16-37
Midrange FG	11-30	10-30
2-Point FG	29-58	26-67
3-Point FG	5-16	8-16
Free Throws	26-35	15-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg