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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 15, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Celtics59%103105
3076ers41%10087
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.1
31
26
15
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
5-9
3-7
56%
48%
1-11
9%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 22.8
29
24
5
11
2
0
1
0
4
5
6
0-2
0%
1-7
3-7
14%
50%
1-3
33%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.3
27
34
14
5
0
1
1
0
3
2
3
5-8
63%
3-5
5-10
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.8
24
30
5
7
7
4
1
0
2
1
6
1-2
50%
2-3
4-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.9
16
24
5
5
2
0
0
2
0
2
3
3-4
75%
1-6
4-7
17%
55%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.7
31
22
30
9
1
3
1
2
4
4
5
3-3
100%
9-12
3-5
75%
53%
3-5
60%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.1
27
28
12
5
6
3
1
0
5
0
5
2-2
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
0-1
0%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.8
20
10
4
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.6
20
20
14
5
2
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-5
40%
6-9
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.4
12
4
0
1
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.4
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 20.8
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.3
Vitor Faverani
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 27.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.2
29
36
13
5
6
0
2
0
5
1
4
2-4
50%
4-7
5-12
57%
45%
1-5
20%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.7
29
27
19
8
4
3
1
2
3
3
5
1-1
100%
9-12
3-6
75%
49%
0-0
-
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.0
29
31
13
6
2
2
1
1
1
2
4
3-3
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
2-8
25%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.3
26
30
9
6
2
2
1
1
4
2
4
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
0-3
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.7
21
31
2
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.7
30
24
0
4
1
0
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
49%
0-2
0%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 21.8
20
16
6
3
0
1
1
3
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
0-4
0%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.7
16
20
5
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
1-7
3-6
14%
51%
0-1
0%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 26.0
12
14
10
4
0
1
1
1
2
2
2
3-3
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
11
11
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Furkan Aldemir
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
10
7
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 21.7
7
4
6
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.9
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.8
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.