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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 15, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs49%10095
11Trail Blazers51%101108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
37
31
12
5
1
1
1
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
50%
1-1
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.7
36
20
10
4
9
1
0
1
0
2
2
1-3
33%
3-5
2-3
60%
52%
1-4
25%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.5
33
34
21
9
4
0
2
1
4
0
9
7-8
88%
7-18
5-10
39%
53%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.0
32
12
15
9
0
1
0
0
3
2
7
3-4
75%
6-9
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.5
30
32
12
3
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
2-4
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.7
23
22
6
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.2
20
9
15
5
1
0
0
1
1
0
5
3-5
60%
6-7
1-2
86%
44%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
16
5
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.5
7
5
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
6
18
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.6
29
1
5-11
48%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.4
22
1
2-5
48%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.0
16
0
2-3
53%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.3
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.2
35
34
14
1
0
3
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
3-5
60%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 26.0
34
36
7
0
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
1-5
20%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.4
34
36
23
10
6
2
1
0
2
3
7
6-6
100%
7-15
5-10
47%
48%
1-3
33%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.4
33
36
23
14
1
1
1
0
3
5
9
3-3
100%
10-21
9-18
48%
47%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 26.7
19
28
4
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-7
4-7
14%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.6
20
18
11
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
4-6
4-8
67%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 34.8
18
20
2
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.9
15
9
6
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.7
14
15
8
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 23.7
9
2
7
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-2
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 23.9
8
3
3
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.8
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 29.0
2
0
0-0
43%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.2
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.