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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 17, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hawks
127
5Cavaliers
98
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.8
33
31
4
5
1
1
1
1
2
0
5
1-1
100%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-3
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.5
31
32
20
2
4
0
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
10-12
7-12
83%
53%
0-2
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.4
26
29
13
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
51%
3-6
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.8
23
33
14
8
4
1
2
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
7-10
4-9
70%
49%
0-1
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.3
22
16
10
2
10
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.4
25
15
15
0
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
2-3
67%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.7
23
7
24
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
6-6
100%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.5
20
11
9
4
4
0
0
2
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
2-3
67%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
17
15
3
7
4
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
13
15
11
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-3
67%
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
1-2
50%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.5
5
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.8
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.8
11
0
1-2
48%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 23.8
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.7
33
38
9
0
6
0
2
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
4-6
5-11
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.3
32
37
13
10
6
0
1
0
1
1
9
3-3
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
2-6
33%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
29
34
21
3
2
2
1
0
2
0
3
5-7
71%
8-14
7-13
57%
58%
0-2
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.6
21
22
6
3
2
0
1
0
2
3
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.2
21
24
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
27
21
21
3
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
8-15
3-6
53%
46%
1-3
33%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.8
23
27
7
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
3-3
3-7
100%
50%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.3
21
18
6
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
2-6
33%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.3
12
7
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.2
12
6
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
2-5
40%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.2
8
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.0
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.1
2
0
0-0
48%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.8
Alex Kirk
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.