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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 17, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Jazz37%95105
18Heat63%9987
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 24.7
38.2
34.2
29
90%
6
7
0
1
1
3
0
6
7-7
100%
5-8
4-9
63%
48%
4-5
80%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 23.4
33.4
20.8
11
50%
6
1
1
1
1
2
2
4
5-7
71%
3-8
4-8
38%
53%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 22.6
30.8
33.8
18
65%
6
1
1
1
0
3
2
4
3-4
75%
6-10
7-13
60%
52%
1-2
50%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 23.4
30.4
33.9
12
68%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-4
4-9
25%
47%
2-3
67%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 22.1
28.6
29.9
9
45%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
43%
3-8
38%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 19.4
24.3
16.8
10
100%
2
3
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
2-3
67%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 22.5
19.4
27.8
6
104%
9
1
1
1
2
1
2
7
2-2
100%
2-2
3-5
100%
55%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 27.2
14.3
12.0
0
0%
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-2
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.1
12.4
20.1
4
50%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 22.2
8.2
15.3
6
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
2-2
100%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 27.1
4.8
0
1-1
52%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
2.0
0
0-0
45%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 31.5
1.3
0
0-0
40%
Toure' Murry
F · 6'5" 195 · 25.1
Patrick Christopher
· 6'5" 209 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.9
34.0
32.3
42
74%
4
3
0
1
0
6
1
3
16-21
76%
10-16
8-15
63%
54%
2-3
67%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.7
31.1
33.5
8
58%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.4
26.1
16.2
6
50%
9
0
1
0
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
62%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.2
17.1
30.9
1
10%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.7
12.3
20.7
2
33%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.6
32.2
28.3
11
36%
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
2-8
3-5
25%
51%
1-5
20%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.8
29.4
19.0
5
36%
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
1-4
25%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
22.0
6.6
9
73%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
5-5
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.5
21.9
16.5
3
28%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-3
33%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
14.0
14.8
0
0%
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-2
0%
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.7
10.5
0
1-2
45%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.5
1.6
0
0-0
54%
Andre Dawkins
G · 6'5" 219 · 23.2
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.8
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.