Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Rockets	57%	104	115	104.5	110	93.8
	17	Nuggets	43%	101	111	101.8	109	105.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Patrick Beverley G · 6'1" 185 · 26	46.1	12	50%	12	5	3	0	0	5	1	11	6-6	100%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 29	45.6	13	41%	8	1	0	0	2	2	1	7	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	3-11	27%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 25	44.9	41	68%	4	10	2	0	4	2	1	3	18-21	86%	10-14	71%	1-7	14%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 29	42.5	24	52%	16	1	0	4	4	4	4	12	10-15	67%	7-16	44%	0-0	-
Donatas Motiejunas F · 7'0" 220 · 24	41.8	18	64%	6	0	1	1	2	2	1	5	1-3	33%	4-8	50%	3-5	60%

Tarik Black F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23	19.3	2	33%	7	0	1	0	1	2	2	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Nick Johnson G · 6'3" 202 · 22	17.5	5	42%	2	0	0	0	3	5	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Canaan G · 6'0" 200 · 24	6.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Joey Dorsey · 6'8" 268 · 31	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kostas Papanikolaou F · 6'8" 235 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Troy Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Terrence Jones #6 · F · 6'9" 252 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	115	52%	55	17	7	5	16	0	10	45	37-48	77%	27-57	47%	8-28	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

11 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Patrick Beverley G · 6'1" 185 · 26	46.1	12	50%	12	5	3	0	0	5	1	11	6-6	100%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 29	45.6	13	41%	8	1	0	0	2	2	1	7	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	3-11	27%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 25	44.9	41	68%	4	10	2	0	4	2	1	3	18-21	86%	10-14	71%	1-7	14%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 29	42.5	24	52%	16	1	0	4	4	4	4	12	10-15	67%	7-16	44%	0-0	-
Donatas Motiejunas F · 7'0" 220 · 24	41.8	18	64%	6	0	1	1	2	2	1	5	1-3	33%	4-8	50%	3-5	60%

Tarik Black F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23	19.3	2	33%	7	0	1	0	1	2	2	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Nick Johnson G · 6'3" 202 · 22	17.5	5	42%	2	0	0	0	3	5	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Canaan G · 6'0" 200 · 24	6.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Joey Dorsey · 6'8" 268 · 31	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kostas Papanikolaou F · 6'8" 235 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Troy Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Terrence Jones #6 · F · 6'9" 252 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	115	52%	55	17	7	5	16	0	10	45	37-48	77%	27-57	47%	8-28	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

17 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	46.8	12	43%	1	16	1	0	4	3	0	1	4-4	100%	4-12	33%	0-0	-
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	34.6	23	64%	6	0	1	1	2	3	1	5	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	5-10	50%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	33.7	22	58%	2	1	1	0	4	5	1	1	5-6	83%	4-10	40%	3-7	43%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	32.3	11	42%	11	2	0	0	3	6	4	7	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	19.1	1	13%	6	0	0	0	0	4	2	4	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-

Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	28.1	12	43%	9	5	1	0	2	5	4	5	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	26.2	16	80%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	4-5	80%	0-0	-	4-8	50%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	20.9	8	50%	5	2	1	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	16.6	6	50%	8	0	2	0	0	5	2	6	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 31	6.3	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Randy Foye #4 · G · 6'4" 218 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	111	49%	51	30	8	1	15	0	16	35	18-23	78%	27-69	39%	13-30	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.05 52.3%

DEN

0.98 49.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

17

34

50%

DEN

15

30

50%

Midrange

HOU

10

23

43%

DEN

12

39

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

8

12.0

28

29%

43%

DEN

13

19.5

30

43%

65%

Free Throws

HOU

37

48

77%

DEN

18

23

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	41	68%	20.5 / 30
D. Howard	24	52%	12.0 / 23
D. Motiejunas	18	64%	9.0 / 14
T. Ariza	13	41%	6.5 / 16
P. Beverley	12	50%	6.0 / 12
N. Johnson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. Black	2	33%	1.0 / 3
I. Canaan	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Chandler	23	64%	11.5 / 18
A. Afflalo	22	58%	11.0 / 19
D. Gallinari	16	80%	8.0 / 10
T. Lawson	12	43%	6.0 / 14
D. Arthur	12	43%	6.0 / 14
K. Faried	11	42%	5.5 / 13
J. Hickson	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Nurkić	6	50%	3.0 / 6
T. Mozgov	1	13%	0.5 / 4
N. Robinson	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 107.0 18 104.8	HOU 104.5 +2.7 DEN 101.8
Pace	2 96.6 4 95.9	HOU 93.8 DEN 105.3 +11.5
Avg. Poss. Time	27 14.6 28 14.4	HOU 15.4 DEN 13.7 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 51.2% 25 47.9%	HOU 45.9% DEN 47.0% +1.1%
TO %	28 16.4% 15 14.3%	HOU 13.1% −1.1% DEN 14.2%
ORB %	7 26.8% 10 26.5%	HOU 22.2% DEN 26.2% +4.0%
FTrt	2 31.2 12 27.8	HOU 56.5 +33.3 DEN 23.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 60.0% 17 57.7%	HOU 48.6% DEN 75.0% +26.4%
STL %	3 9.8% 17 8.0%	HOU 6.4% DEN 7.3% +0.9%
BLK %	14 8.0% 22 7.2%	HOU 7.2% +5.4% DEN 1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 53.3% 24 50.8%	HOU 52.3% +3.2% DEN 49.1%
Rim FG%	14 58.0% 22 56.1%	HOU 50.0% DEN 50.0%
Mid FG%	27 37.1% 24 37.9%	HOU 43.5% +12.7% DEN 30.8%
3P %	14 34.8% 28 32.5%	HOU 28.6% DEN 43.3% +14.7%
FT %	27 71.5% 24 73.5%	HOU 77.1% DEN 78.3% +1.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 39.2% 10 38.2%	HOU 40.0% +9.7% DEN 30.3%
Mid Att. %	1 21.6% 6 33.4%	HOU 27.1% −12.3% DEN 39.4%
3P Att. %	1 39.2% 12 28.4%	HOU 32.9% +2.6% DEN 30.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Game Totals	HOU	DEN
Possessions	110	109
Possession Minutes	28.1	24.9
Points	115	111
Rebounds	55	51
Assists	17	30
Steals	7	8
Blocks	5	1
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	15 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	45 (0)	35 (7)
Field Goals	35-85	40-99
At-the-Rim FG	17-34	15-30
Midrange FG	10-23	12-39
2-Point FG	27-57	27-69
3-Point FG	8-28	13-30
Free Throws	37-48	18-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg