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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 19, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Raptors65%104110
27Pistons35%99100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.6
27
27
17
7
0
0
0
2
1
2
5
5-10
50%
6-11
4-7
55%
55%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 28.7
25
32
15
5
7
2
1
0
3
0
5
4-4
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
48%
1-5
20%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 23.9
22
25
11
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 27.6
18
26
6
8
0
0
1
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
59%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.5
15
19
2
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.8
30
26
11
5
4
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
3-6
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
29
21
12
8
2
0
1
1
0
1
7
2-2
100%
5-6
3-5
83%
52%
0-3
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.1
28
26
15
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
5-5
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 27.9
25
18
8
3
5
0
0
1
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-4
25%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31.5
13
3
9
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
4-4
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 29.1
8
14
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.2
2
0
0-0
54%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 22.4
2
0
0-0
51%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 19.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.2
31
24
22
4
8
1
1
1
3
0
4
4-5
80%
6-12
2-6
50%
41%
2-6
33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.8
27
27
18
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
4-6
67%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.0
25
25
10
8
4
0
1
1
2
3
5
0-2
0%
5-10
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.6
21
20
2
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.4
21
34
7
11
0
0
1
3
1
3
8
1-2
50%
3-7
7-12
43%
56%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.5
26
23
17
7
1
1
1
0
1
4
3
3-4
75%
7-13
4-9
54%
49%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.3
25
22
4
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.8
22
11
7
7
4
0
0
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
1-6
1-2
17%
51%
1-2
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.8
18
23
11
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
43%
1-4
25%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 27.1
17
21
0
0
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.1
5
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.4
3
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 21.7
5
0
0-1
45%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 22.7
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.