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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 19, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Wizards
105
17Heat
103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
38
36
20
1
10
0
2
0
2
0
1
8-10
80%
6-8
5-11
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.5
35
36
16
7
2
2
1
0
2
3
4
7-8
88%
3-10
4-9
30%
45%
1-5
20%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.2
32
17
14
3
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
5-8
2-3
63%
50%
1-5
20%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.8
22
27
4
7
2
1
1
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
5-9
40%
54%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
13
26
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.6
27
25
8
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-4
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.3
26
20
20
6
2
1
1
0
0
2
4
4-7
57%
8-10
4-7
80%
51%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.5
13
16
7
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
13
4
2
1
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.0
11
16
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.8
10
9
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.6
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.7
2
0
0-1
53%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.0
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 24.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.7
37
32
19
5
3
1
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
5-9
3-7
56%
47%
2-3
67%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.9
37
32
28
4
8
1
1
0
5
1
3
2-5
40%
10-22
8-15
45%
52%
2-4
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.6
36
29
14
3
5
0
1
0
4
1
2
4-5
80%
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
2-4
50%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.8
24
22
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.5
19
19
7
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
5
3-3
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
59%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.2
31
26
7
2
4
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.5
17
18
11
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.5
16
1
6
7
0
2
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.7
13
17
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
11
12
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
14
1
1-1
45%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.7
8
0
1-1
42%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.8
Andre Dawkins
G · 6'5" 219 · 23.2
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.