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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 19, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Bulls36%94103
9Grizzlies64%9997
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.3
43
40
31
10
1
2
2
0
0
3
7
9-9
100%
11-19
5-11
58%
48%
0-2
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.8
34
32
10
13
2
0
1
1
2
1
12
6-8
75%
2-3
4-8
67%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.0
32
28
5
2
7
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
40%
0-3
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.5
32
35
6
11
2
0
0
1
1
2
9
2-2
100%
2-7
7-14
29%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.3
31
30
5
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
1-5
20%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.9
32
19
17
1
4
0
1
0
4
1
0
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
3-7
43%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.9
30
22
27
8
1
0
1
1
1
0
8
7-8
88%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
6-6
100%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.1
6
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-3
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.8
1
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.0
2
0
0-0
45%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.3
1
0
0-0
42%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.0
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.2
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.2
32
34
21
3
2
0
1
1
2
0
3
6-7
86%
6-13
5-10
46%
49%
1-5
20%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.2
30
33
7
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
52%
1-3
33%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.9
30
33
13
10
3
1
1
1
1
4
6
3-4
75%
5-15
6-13
33%
50%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.8
24
14
8
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-8
1-3
38%
44%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.4
22
31
8
12
1
0
1
0
0
5
7
0-0
-
4-11
6-13
36%
48%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.9
22
21
10
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
43%
0-2
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.6
21
14
6
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.5
20
14
15
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
5-5
100%
5-8
2-3
63%
51%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.8
18
12
4
8
0
0
0
3
0
2
6
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
53%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
15
12
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.9
7
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.9
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.4
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.