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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 19, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Trail Blazers
129
2Spurs
119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.4
53
35
43
3
6
2
1
1
4
0
3
7-8
88%
12-20
5-10
60%
46%
4-9
44%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.4
52
35
32
16
0
5
1
2
3
5
11
5-5
100%
12-24
8-18
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.2
50
33
16
7
5
3
1
0
0
3
4
4-4
100%
3-10
3-5
30%
50%
2-9
22%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.9
21
12
8
6
1
0
0
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.7
13
12
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 34.8
36
19
10
5
4
0
1
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
40%
2-4
50%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 29.0
33
2
12
8
0
0
0
0
3
0
8
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
44%
4-5
80%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 23.8
27
14
2
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.6
18
18
6
5
1
1
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
0-0
-
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.2
12
14
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.0
4
0
0-1
43%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.8
3
0
0-1
48%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 26.7
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 26.0
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 26.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.5
44
34
27
10
1
1
1
0
4
5
5
3-3
100%
3-12
2-4
25%
49%
6-9
67%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
43
31
10
8
7
0
1
0
1
1
7
2-2
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.7
43
26
32
10
3
2
1
4
1
2
8
8-9
89%
12-24
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.2
34
12
2
9
1
3
0
0
0
2
7
0-1
0%
1-7
1-2
14%
48%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.7
28
26
3
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.7
32
26
10
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
5-12
2-5
42%
48%
0-2
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.4
30
22
11
5
5
0
1
0
6
0
5
1-3
33%
5-13
2-5
38%
49%
0-4
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.0
26
14
14
6
2
1
0
0
2
4
2
6-6
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
20
13
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.5
12
4
7
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
41%
1-1
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.0
2
13
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.6
11
0
2-4
50%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
6
0
1-1
53%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.4
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.