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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 19, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Thunder63%104104
28Lakers37%99103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
39.4
30.9
16
44%
7
1
1
0
5
0
2
5
2-3
67%
4-12
5-8
33%
55%
2-5
40%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.0
36.3
26.2
10
63%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-2
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
2-4
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
36.3
34.6
31
56%
5
10
1
2
0
1
0
5
13-13
100%
9-21
8-16
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.4
35.0
19.8
9
40%
10
1
1
0
1
1
2
8
1-5
20%
4-9
3-5
44%
55%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.2
12.2
13.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.7
36.0
22.9
25
75%
3
5
0
1
1
2
1
2
4-4
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
50%
3-5
60%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.1
21.6
9.2
4
50%
7
2
1
0
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
15.6
23.6
7
60%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.6
7.8
14.6
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.1
18.9
0
2-3
47%
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.4
3.8
0
0-1
51%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
2.7
0
0-1
44%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.5
2.0
0
0-0
46%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.2
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 36.3
34.6
32.1
9
27%
8
8
0
1
0
3
0
8
3-4
75%
3-12
7-14
25%
48%
0-3
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
31.9
21.4
18
83%
9
2
0
1
2
1
3
6
2-2
100%
8-10
2-5
80%
54%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.4
27.9
25.3
7
44%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
1-6
17%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.5
25.8
19.6
14
88%
0
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
39%
4-7
57%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 27.4
21.1
26.6
10
56%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 33.1
28.5
25.0
14
49%
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-5
40%
6-12
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
22.2
19.8
12
76%
8
5
0
1
0
3
0
8
2-2
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
49%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.1
20.2
15.1
9
75%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
3-4
75%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.5
14.4
19.3
0
0%
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.5
13.4
23.2
10
63%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 22.5
6.3
0
1-2
44%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
2.7
0
0-1
42%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 23.7
2.0
0
0-0
46%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 40.9
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.