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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 20, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs36%10193
4Mavericks64%10699
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
41
32
14
6
2
2
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
5-13
4-8
38%
51%
0-2
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.7
39
25
21
3
2
0
0
0
5
3
0
7-7
100%
7-13
2-5
54%
47%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.7
36
24
8
7
4
0
1
1
5
2
5
0-0
-
4-12
2-4
33%
53%
0-4
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.2
31
17
11
8
0
2
0
0
2
0
8
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
1-1
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.0
31
9
16
10
2
1
0
1
4
2
8
4-4
100%
6-11
1-2
55%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
26
14
14
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
8-8
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.5
19
6
6
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
40%
2-3
67%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
17
5
3
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
1-1
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
53%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.5
33
1
2-5
48%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.7
29
1
6-12
48%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.4
22
1
3-6
48%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.0
17
0
2-3
54%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.6
9
0
2-3
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.4
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.1
40
33
38
0
1
4
1
0
2
0
0
3-6
50%
10-17
6-13
59%
48%
5-6
83%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.2
38
30
16
11
1
1
1
0
3
2
9
3-3
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
52%
1-5
20%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.2
36
29
6
14
0
1
1
2
1
5
9
4-4
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
61%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.8
34
29
6
7
9
2
1
0
4
2
5
0-0
-
3-10
3-6
30%
46%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.5
33
28
13
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
5-5
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
51%
0-3
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.8
23
21
13
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
3-9
33%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.5
12
14
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
10
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
57%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.2
6
12
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.5
5
15
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.3
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.3
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.4
1
0
0-0
48%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.