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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 21, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies38%9991
8Cavaliers62%103105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.6
30
17
16
7
2
2
0
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
7-12
2-5
58%
49%
0-2
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.9
30
32
23
11
5
0
1
1
4
5
6
3-4
75%
10-16
6-12
63%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.2
25
33
11
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
48%
0-4
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.2
23
31
4
3
2
0
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
50%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.8
22
18
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.8
24
14
8
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
23
13
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-4
50%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-4
25%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.9
20
21
12
3
1
2
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
42%
0-3
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.5
19
16
2
1
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.9
14
6
4
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.5
5
7
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.0
4
1
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.4
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
38
35
25
1
11
0
1
1
5
0
1
4-6
67%
6-10
7-13
60%
57%
3-5
60%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.7
37
37
17
3
11
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-1
0%
7-12
5-10
58%
48%
1-1
100%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.3
35
36
8
8
2
0
1
1
2
0
8
0-0
-
4-9
4-7
44%
49%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.2
27
20
18
7
2
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
9-12
3-6
75%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.8
16
19
0
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
28
16
21
2
1
1
1
0
4
1
1
1-1
100%
7-11
2-5
64%
46%
2-5
40%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.6
22
19
11
5
1
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
50%
1-1
100%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.8
20
26
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.3
14
16
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.3
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.2
7
0
0-0
36%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.2
3
0
0-1
43%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.1
2
0
0-0
48%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.0
Alex Kirk
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.