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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 21, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Pistons42%97105
20Nets58%99110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.8
33
27
20
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
6
3-3
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
5-10
50%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.2
28
27
8
2
9
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
42%
2-5
40%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.0
28
25
13
5
6
3
1
3
2
1
4
3-6
50%
5-14
4-9
36%
47%
0-2
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.4
28
29
18
20
0
0
1
1
2
13
7
4-8
50%
7-15
6-10
47%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.6
21
20
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.3
24
23
13
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
6-6
2-5
100%
48%
0-3
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.5
21
24
16
8
2
1
1
2
0
1
7
2-4
50%
7-10
5-9
70%
49%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 27.1
20
19
5
2
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.8
19
21
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-2
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.8
18
16
10
4
2
1
1
0
4
2
2
3-3
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
1-1
100%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.1
5
0
0-1
44%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 21.7
4
0
0-1
45%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.4
2
0
0-0
48%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 22.7
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 33.5
37
35
16
3
7
2
1
1
5
1
2
4-6
67%
3-5
5-9
60%
50%
2-4
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.1
37
27
15
4
10
2
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
7-13
3-7
54%
48%
0-1
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.8
33
30
21
12
2
2
1
2
1
1
11
3-5
60%
9-10
5-9
90%
59%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 21.2
33
23
9
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
1-3
33%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 38.6
18
22
10
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-4
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 29.3
24
17
13
7
1
0
0
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
53%
1-4
25%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32.2
22
20
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
14
12
14
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
3-4
75%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 28.2
11
10
0
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.0
11
3
6
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Cory Jefferson
F · 6'9" 218 · 24.0
10
0
1-3
51%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
8
0
1-2
48%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
3
0
0-1
46%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.