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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 21, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Celtics
84
16Heat
100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.3
33
32
13
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
4-9
20%
49%
3-7
43%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.1
33
30
4
7
4
2
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 20.8
28
15
3
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-4
25%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.9
25
21
22
8
0
0
0
2
2
5
3
2-3
67%
10-15
3-6
67%
55%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 22.8
21
26
9
6
0
1
1
0
3
1
5
1-2
50%
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.7
28
26
13
3
4
0
1
1
1
0
3
3-4
75%
5-10
3-6
50%
54%
0-3
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.1
26
24
7
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
1-1
100%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.9
20
23
3
2
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
1-5
20%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.2
13
18
6
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-4
60%
64%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.5
7
12
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.6
5
19
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.8
16
1
1-2
41%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.4
7
0
0-1
51%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.3
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 27.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.2
37
28
15
4
4
0
1
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
7-11
2-5
64%
46%
0-2
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.7
36
33
23
3
1
2
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
8-13
4-8
62%
48%
1-2
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.6
35
31
11
2
10
1
2
0
2
0
2
1-4
25%
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.8
31
22
11
5
0
2
1
2
1
0
5
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
2-7
29%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.5
24
19
7
6
1
2
0
0
0
0
6
1-3
33%
3-6
2-3
50%
60%
0-0
-
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
26
11
16
8
0
1
0
0
1
3
5
6-6
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.5
25
17
10
6
2
0
0
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.7
18
7
7
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
1-4
25%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.7
7
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.9
34
1
9-16
53%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
10
0
0-1
48%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.5
6
0
1-2
52%
Andre Dawkins
G · 6'5" 219 · 23.3
1
0
0-0
45%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.8
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.