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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 22, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Nuggets51%10382
24Hornets49%102110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
32
33
9
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
0-3
0%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.1
31
37
18
0
4
0
2
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
6-12
4-9
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
25
31
6
6
1
1
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-3
3-7
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.1
21
24
8
9
0
0
1
1
2
3
6
4-5
80%
2-2
4-8
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.4
15
27
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
54%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.6
30
8
15
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
7-7
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
46%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 30.6
21
11
6
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
46%
0-6
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.3
20
14
8
5
1
2
0
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.3
17
5
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
4-6
67%
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.6
15
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
0-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.3
13
18
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-2
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
11
0
1-2
45%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.4
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.9
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 24.6
30
34
18
1
9
0
1
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
3-7
5-11
43%
44%
2-5
40%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 30.0
26
31
22
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
6
2-4
50%
10-13
8-16
77%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 21.2
23
28
5
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
4-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 22.2
19
21
10
4
0
1
0
2
2
0
4
2-4
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.0
19
27
4
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 28.5
26
26
4
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.2
24
21
13
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
44%
1-1
100%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.0
21
9
10
10
0
1
0
3
1
1
9
0-0
-
2-6
1-1
33%
45%
2-5
40%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 29.1
18
11
7
0
3
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 22.3
16
13
6
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.2
8
3
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
2-3
67%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 25.6
6
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.8
6
3
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 24.3
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 19.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.