Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Nuggets	51%	103	82	86.3	95	99.9
	25	Hornets	49%	102	110	118.3	93	88.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	31.9	9	35%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-3	0%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	31.3	18	60%	0	4	0	0	4	0	0	0	0-0	-	6-12	50%	2-3	67%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	25.4	6	75%	6	1	1	1	1	4	0	6	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	21.4	8	67%	9	0	0	1	2	1	3	6	4-5	80%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	15.3	2	25%	3	1	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	29.8	15	68%	2	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	7-7	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 31	20.9	6	21%	2	2	0	0	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-6	0%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	19.8	8	40%	5	1	2	1	2	5	1	4	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	16.6	4	29%	3	0	1	0	0	2	2	1	4-6	67%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	14.9	4	33%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	12.8	2	25%	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	\| DND - Left Peroneals Muscle Strain
Danilo Gallinari #8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Randy Foye #4 · G · 6'4" 218 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	42%	37	11	6	4	13	0	9	28	18-24	75%	29-64	45%	2-18	11%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

17 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	31.9	9	35%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-3	0%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	31.3	18	60%	0	4	0	0	4	0	0	0	0-0	-	6-12	50%	2-3	67%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	25.4	6	75%	6	1	1	1	1	4	0	6	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	21.4	8	67%	9	0	0	1	2	1	3	6	4-5	80%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	15.3	2	25%	3	1	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	29.8	15	68%	2	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	7-7	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 31	20.9	6	21%	2	2	0	0	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-6	0%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	19.8	8	40%	5	1	2	1	2	5	1	4	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	16.6	4	29%	3	0	1	0	0	2	2	1	4-6	67%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	14.9	4	33%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	12.8	2	25%	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	\| DND - Left Peroneals Muscle Strain
Danilo Gallinari #8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Randy Foye #4 · G · 6'4" 218 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	42%	37	11	6	4	13	0	9	28	18-24	75%	29-64	45%	2-18	11%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

25 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kemba Walker G · 6'1" 184 · 25	29.7	18	60%	1	9	0	0	1	1	0	1	6-6	100%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Al Jefferson C · 6'10" 280 · 30	26.1	22	73%	7	2	1	0	0	2	1	6	2-4	50%	10-13	77%	0-0	-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist F · 6'7" 232 · 21	22.8	5	50%	3	1	1	1	0	3	1	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Cody Zeller F · 7'0" 240 · 22	18.9	10	56%	4	0	1	2	2	4	0	4	2-4	50%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Gerald Henderson G · 6'5" 215 · 27	18.6	4	40%	6	2	0	0	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 29	25.5	4	33%	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 30	23.6	13	72%	2	2	1	0	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-1	100%
PJ Hairston F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22	21.0	10	45%	10	0	1	3	1	1	1	9	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-5	40%
Brian Roberts G · 6'1" 173 · 29	18.3	7	70%	0	3	0	0	4	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Bismack Biyombo C · 6'8" 255 · 22	16.3	6	100%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jannero Pargo G · 6'1" 185 · 35	8.1	6	100%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Jeffery Taylor · 6'7" 225 · 26	5.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jason Maxiell F · 6'7" 260 · 32	5.6	5	83%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Lance Stephenson #1 · G · 6'6" 230 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Noah Vonleh #11 · F · 6'9" 245 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	59%	44	23	6	6	12	0	6	38	16-24	67%	35-61	57%	8-19	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHA

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.85 42.3%

CHA

1.18 59.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

17

29

59%

CHA

12

24

50%

Midrange

DEN

12

35

34%

CHA

23

37

62%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

2

3.0

18

11%

17%

CHA

8

12.0

19

42%

63%

Free Throws

DEN

18

24

75%

CHA

16

24

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Lawson	18	60%	9.0 / 15
A. Gee	15	68%	7.5 / 11
A. Afflalo	9	35%	4.5 / 13
K. Faried	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Nurkić	8	40%	4.0 / 10
W. Chandler	6	75%	3.0 / 4
N. Robinson	6	21%	3.0 / 14
G. Harris	4	29%	2.0 / 7
E. Green	4	33%	2.0 / 6
T. Mozgov	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Hickson	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Jefferson	22	73%	11.0 / 15
K. Walker	18	60%	9.0 / 15
G. Neal	13	72%	6.5 / 9
C. Zeller	10	56%	5.0 / 9
P. Hairston	10	45%	5.0 / 11
B. Roberts	7	70%	3.5 / 5
B. Biyombo	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Pargo	6	100%	3.0 / 3
M. Kidd-Gilchrist	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Maxiell	5	83%	2.5 / 3
G. Henderson	4	40%	2.0 / 5
M. Williams	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Taylor	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 104.8 28 100.5	DEN 86.3 CHA 118.3 +32.0
Pace	4 95.9 24 92.7	DEN 99.9 +11.3 CHA 88.6
Avg. Poss. Time	28 14.4 6 15.9	DEN 14.4 −1.8 CHA 16.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 47.9% 30 45.6%	DEN 39.0% CHA 58.8% +19.8%
TO %	15 14.3% 1 11.9%	DEN 12.3% CHA 11.7% −0.6%
ORB %	10 26.5% 29 22.2%	DEN 19.1% +1.5% CHA 17.6%
FTrt	12 27.8 15 26.9	DEN 29.3 CHA 30.0 +0.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.7% 19 56.8%	DEN 35.5% CHA 53.5% +18.0%
STL %	17 8.0% 30 6.5%	DEN 6.3% CHA 6.5% +0.2%
BLK %	22 7.2% 6 8.9%	DEN 6.6% CHA 9.4% +2.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 50.8% 29 48.3%	DEN 42.3% CHA 59.1% +16.8%
Rim FG%	22 56.1% 27 53.5%	DEN 58.6% +8.6% CHA 50.0%
Mid FG%	24 37.9% 23 39.2%	DEN 34.3% CHA 62.2% +27.9%
3P %	28 32.5% 30 31.8%	DEN 11.1% CHA 42.1% +31.0%
FT %	24 73.5% 19 74.8%	DEN 75.0% +8.3% CHA 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 38.2% 26 31.3%	DEN 35.4% +5.4% CHA 30.0%
Mid Att. %	6 33.4% 30 46.1%	DEN 42.7% −3.6% CHA 46.3%
3P Att. %	12 28.4% 24 22.6%	DEN 22.0% CHA 23.8% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	CHA
Possessions	95	93
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	82	110
Rebounds	37	44
Assists	11	23
Steals	6	6
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (6)	6 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (0)	38 (0)
Field Goals	31-82	43-80
At-the-Rim FG	17-29	12-24
Midrange FG	12-35	23-37
2-Point FG	29-64	35-61
3-Point FG	2-18	8-19
Free Throws	18-24	16-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg