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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 22, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hawks34%101105
4Mavericks66%107102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.9
38
29
13
12
7
0
1
2
4
1
11
2-4
50%
4-10
4-8
40%
50%
1-2
50%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.4
37
30
15
7
0
1
1
0
1
1
6
2-3
67%
5-10
2-5
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.6
33
31
17
7
2
0
1
1
0
1
6
1-2
50%
8-12
7-12
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.8
31
34
18
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
7-8
88%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.3
31
24
22
3
6
1
1
0
5
1
2
4-8
50%
9-14
3-7
64%
48%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
17
14
7
2
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
1-1
100%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.7
17
16
2
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
16
15
5
3
1
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
1-1
100%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.5
11
13
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.4
9
18
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.8
5
0
1-1
49%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.5
4
0
1-1
50%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.8
3
0
0-1
47%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 23.8
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.2
36
35
18
2
2
4
2
0
5
2
0
1-2
50%
7-16
7-14
44%
48%
1-6
17%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.2
34
31
8
19
0
0
1
2
2
4
15
2-4
50%
3-4
4-6
75%
61%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.8
33
31
13
4
11
3
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
5-12
3-7
42%
47%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.5
30
30
16
6
2
0
1
1
3
1
5
4-4
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.2
29
33
4
4
1
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-2
0%
2-4
4-8
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.8
20
22
11
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
3-5
60%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.5
19
13
10
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.3
13
2
14
6
1
2
0
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
45%
4-6
67%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.5
12
11
5
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
1-2
50%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
7
6
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
57%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.3
6
9
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.4
1
0
0-0
47%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.