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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 23, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Clippers51%105104
9Hawks49%104107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.6
39.0
34.2
19
50%
6
7
5
2
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
4-11
5-9
36%
50%
3-7
43%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.4
38.4
36.2
15
59%
22
1
0
1
4
2
11
11
1-4
25%
7-11
4-6
64%
65%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 25.8
36.4
36.5
21
56%
8
11
1
1
1
2
1
7
3-4
75%
9-16
9-17
56%
51%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 30.5
34.4
31.0
18
68%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
3-6
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 34.8
20.6
26.7
6
39%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
0-2
2-3
0%
55%
1-4
25%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 34.8
30.0
26.1
18
42%
7
3
1
1
0
0
1
6
5-5
100%
2-12
3-7
17%
45%
3-7
43%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 28.1
11.4
12.9
3
38%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 23.8
11.3
9.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 29.0
9.3
11.9
2
27%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 35.8
9.3
7.2
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 28.0
6.1
0
0-1
45%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 23.6
1.4
0
0-0
43%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 27.6
1.3
0
0-0
41%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 26.7
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.8
37.3
32.4
14
71%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
4-7
57%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.4
37.0
32.7
25
94%
10
0
1
1
0
0
3
7
2-3
67%
4-6
3-5
67%
52%
5-6
83%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.6
34.8
32.1
20
46%
5
4
0
1
0
2
2
3
6-8
75%
7-17
7-12
41%
55%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.9
33.5
32.5
17
53%
9
7
1
2
1
2
1
8
8-9
89%
3-8
5-9
38%
50%
1-4
25%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.3
23.9
26.7
5
28%
2
4
1
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
2-8
4-8
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.5
23.8
31.9
9
48%
2
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
2-5
4-9
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
18.9
15.0
9
77%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.8
17.4
4.4
3
52%
6
0
2
0
2
2
2
4
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.4
10.3
14.4
5
91%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.5
3.2
11.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.7
16.1
0
1-3
47%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
15.5
0
1-2
52%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.5
3.2
0
1-1
51%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.8
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.