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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 23, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Trail Blazers
115
5Thunder
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.4
46
33
40
6
11
2
1
0
2
1
5
10-11
91%
3-9
5-10
33%
47%
8-12
67%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.4
45
34
25
9
1
0
1
1
4
3
6
7-8
88%
9-27
8-17
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.2
42
29
22
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
5-8
63%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.7
24
12
5
4
2
2
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.9
24
17
4
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 34.8
35
20
5
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
40%
1-4
25%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.7
22
17
6
9
1
0
0
0
4
3
6
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
48%
0-0
-
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
12
18
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
2-3
67%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 23.8
8
16
0
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 29.1
8
8
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.8
16
0
2-3
49%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.0
9
0
1-3
44%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 26.3
3
0
0-0
50%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 26.0
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 26.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
39
34
40
10
6
3
2
0
2
5
5
7-9
78%
15-29
8-16
52%
48%
1-5
20%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
33
35
16
7
0
0
0
4
2
2
5
0-0
-
5-11
5-9
45%
54%
2-3
67%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.2
25
18
0
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.4
23
27
7
11
0
0
1
1
1
4
7
1-1
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.1
21
28
2
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
0-2
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.7
37
28
21
9
4
1
1
0
2
0
9
4-4
100%
7-15
4-8
47%
50%
1-2
50%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
30
20
10
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.1
24
14
4
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.2
20
13
9
4
1
2
0
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
4-4
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.5
14
1
2
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
0-0
20%
45%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.6
0
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.5
2
0
0-0
49%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
2
0
0-1
43%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.2
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.