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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 25, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Wizards60%100102
22Knicks40%9691
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
36
36
24
6
11
1
2
0
3
1
5
3-4
75%
9-15
5-11
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.5
36
33
17
5
5
1
1
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
45%
2-5
40%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
30
29
10
9
0
1
1
2
1
2
7
2-2
100%
4-10
5-9
40%
54%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.3
24
22
12
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
6-8
4-8
75%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.2
23
26
3
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
29
20
14
6
2
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
7-9
3-6
78%
49%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.6
25
26
11
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
3-6
50%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.6
12
12
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.8
12
11
1
4
3
0
0
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.0
11
16
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.6
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.7
1
0
0-0
56%
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 24.0
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.6
43
33
34
3
2
0
1
0
3
3
0
8-10
80%
13-22
6-13
59%
47%
0-6
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.2
36
32
16
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
48%
2-7
29%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 22.8
31
32
8
3
2
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.1
22
15
6
7
0
1
0
1
0
0
7
2-4
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
54%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 34.6
12
16
2
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 28.8
24
18
4
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.6
24
21
2
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 26.1
22
16
10
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
52%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.2
12
19
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.2
12
19
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Travis Wear
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.3
4
13
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.3
7
0
1-2
45%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 23.7
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.2
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.