Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Thunder	41%	96	114	118.8	96	98.6
	9	Spurs	59%	99	106	110.4	96	93.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Serge Ibaka F · 6'10" 235 · 25	38.1	21	66%	9	2	0	1	2	4	1	8	2-3	67%	5-11	45%	3-4	75%
Russell Westbrook G · 6'4" 200 · 26	34.7	34	55%	5	11	5	0	4	0	1	4	6-8	75%	14-27	52%	0-1	0%
Steven Adams C · 6'11" 265 · 21	31.5	16	57%	15	1	2	3	2	4	7	8	6-12	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Perry Jones III F · 6'11" 235 · 23	31.2	14	78%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-5	40%	3-5	60%	2-2	100%
Andre Roberson G · 6'7" 210 · 23	25.0	7	58%	6	1	1	1	0	4	4	2	2-6	33%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%

Anthony Morrow G · 6'5" 210 · 29	27.4	15	75%	5	1	0	1	1	0	2	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Reggie Jackson G · 6'3" 208 · 25	27.1	6	33%	3	4	1	0	3	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 26	13.3	0	0%	1	5	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kendrick Perkins C · 6'10" 270 · 30	11.7	1	25%	2	0	0	0	1	3	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nick Collison F · 6'10" 255 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Lamb G · 6'5" 185 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Grant Jerrett F · 6'10" 232 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lance Thomas F · 6'8" 235 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kevin Durant #35 · F · 6'11" 240 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mitch McGary #33 · F · 6'10" 255 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	56%	47	25	9	6	14	0	16	31	21-38	55%	33-66	50%	9-15	60%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

11 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Serge Ibaka F · 6'10" 235 · 25	38.1	21	66%	9	2	0	1	2	4	1	8	2-3	67%	5-11	45%	3-4	75%
Russell Westbrook G · 6'4" 200 · 26	34.7	34	55%	5	11	5	0	4	0	1	4	6-8	75%	14-27	52%	0-1	0%
Steven Adams C · 6'11" 265 · 21	31.5	16	57%	15	1	2	3	2	4	7	8	6-12	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Perry Jones III F · 6'11" 235 · 23	31.2	14	78%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-5	40%	3-5	60%	2-2	100%
Andre Roberson G · 6'7" 210 · 23	25.0	7	58%	6	1	1	1	0	4	4	2	2-6	33%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%

Anthony Morrow G · 6'5" 210 · 29	27.4	15	75%	5	1	0	1	1	0	2	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Reggie Jackson G · 6'3" 208 · 25	27.1	6	33%	3	4	1	0	3	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 26	13.3	0	0%	1	5	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kendrick Perkins C · 6'10" 270 · 30	11.7	1	25%	2	0	0	0	1	3	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nick Collison F · 6'10" 255 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Lamb G · 6'5" 185 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Grant Jerrett F · 6'10" 232 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lance Thomas F · 6'8" 235 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kevin Durant #35 · F · 6'11" 240 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mitch McGary #33 · F · 6'10" 255 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	56%	47	25	9	6	14	0	16	31	21-38	55%	33-66	50%	9-15	60%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

9 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marco Belinelli F · 6'5" 210 · 29	30.4	7	70%	1	0	2	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 39	28.8	15	50%	6	5	0	1	2	4	2	4	3-5	60%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 28	28.7	12	40%	2	2	2	1	2	4	1	1	2-5	40%	2-5	40%	2-8	25%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 33	27.5	10	50%	3	5	1	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Tiago Splitter C · 6'11" 245 · 30	19.1	14	70%	7	1	0	1	2	3	2	5	0-0	-	7-10	70%	0-0	-

Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35	31.8	17	65%	4	1	0	1	0	1	2	2	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	3-8	38%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 23	29.6	14	88%	4	5	2	0	3	2	1	3	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 37	24.7	11	92%	7	13	1	0	5	4	1	6	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 28	11.1	6	60%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 21	8.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 27	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · G · 6'0" 185 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kawhi Leonard #2 · F · 6'6" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	58%	38	33	8	5	16	0	10	28	15-21	71%	35-58	60%	7-23	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.13 56.4%

SAS

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

14

27

52%

SAS

23

36

64%

Midrange

OKC

19

39

49%

SAS

12

22

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

9

13.5

15

60%

90%

SAS

7

10.5

23

30%

46%

Free Throws

OKC

21

38

55%

SAS

15

21

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Westbrook	34	55%	17.0 / 31
S. Ibaka	21	66%	10.5 / 16
S. Adams	16	57%	8.0 / 14
A. Morrow	15	75%	7.5 / 10
P. Jones III	14	78%	7.0 / 9
A. Roberson	7	58%	3.5 / 6
R. Jackson	6	33%	3.0 / 9
K. Perkins	1	25%	0.5 / 2
I. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bonner	17	65%	8.5 / 13
T. Duncan	15	50%	7.5 / 15
T. Splitter	14	70%	7.0 / 10
C. Joseph	14	88%	7.0 / 8
D. Green	12	40%	6.0 / 15
M. Ginobili	11	92%	5.5 / 6
T. Parker	10	50%	5.0 / 10
M. Belinelli	7	70%	3.5 / 5
A. Baynes	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Anderson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 108.1 9 108.5	OKC 118.8 +8.3 SAS 110.4
Pace	7 95.5 15 93.9	OKC 98.6 +5.1 SAS 93.5
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.9 10 15.7	OKC 14.6 −0.8 SAS 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 49.2% 5 51.7%	OKC 57.4% +1.2% SAS 56.2%
TO %	18 14.6% 12 14.2%	OKC 12.5% −3.4% SAS 15.9%
ORB %	2 29.0% 25 23.4%	OKC 36.4% +12.0% SAS 24.4%
FTrt	11 28.4 24 25.6	OKC 46.9 +21.0 SAS 25.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 52.8% 7 62.3%	OKC 59.5% SAS 78.6% +19.1%
STL %	22 7.6% 11 8.5%	OKC 9.4% +1.1% SAS 8.3%
BLK %	5 9.0% 10 8.4%	OKC 10.3% +2.7% SAS 7.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 51.9% 5 54.0%	OKC 56.4% SAS 58.2% +1.8%
Rim FG%	23 55.9% 9 59.6%	OKC 51.9% SAS 63.9% +12.0%
Mid FG%	9 40.6% 3 42.1%	OKC 48.7% SAS 54.5% +5.8%
3P %	23 33.9% 6 36.7%	OKC 60.0% +29.6% SAS 30.4%
FT %	15 75.4% 4 78.0%	OKC 55.3% SAS 71.4% +16.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 38.2% 16 35.3%	OKC 33.3% SAS 44.4% +11.1%
Mid Att. %	13 35.6% 17 37.8%	OKC 48.1% SAS 27.2% −21.0%
3P Att. %	18 26.2% 15 26.9%	OKC 18.5% SAS 28.4% +9.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	SAS
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	114	106
Rebounds	47	38
Assists	25	33
Steals	9	8
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (2)	10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	28 (1)
Field Goals	42-81	42-81
At-the-Rim FG	14-27	23-36
Midrange FG	19-39	12-22
2-Point FG	33-66	35-58
3-Point FG	9-15	7-23
Free Throws	21-38	15-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg