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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 25, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Thunder
114
1Spurs
106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
38
33
21
9
2
0
0
1
2
1
8
2-3
67%
5-11
4-8
45%
52%
3-4
75%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
35
34
34
5
11
5
2
0
4
1
4
6-8
75%
14-27
8-17
52%
46%
0-1
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.4
31
24
16
15
1
2
1
3
2
7
8
6-12
50%
5-8
3-5
63%
53%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.3
31
20
14
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-5
40%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
2-2
100%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.1
25
24
7
6
1
1
1
1
0
4
2
2-6
33%
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
27
22
15
5
1
0
1
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
3-5
60%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.7
27
30
6
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.5
13
6
0
1
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.1
12
17
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.2
15
0
1-2
52%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.6
7
0
1-1
46%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
2
0
0-1
41%
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.5
2
0
0-0
45%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.2
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.8
30
28
7
1
0
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.7
29
26
15
6
5
0
1
1
2
2
4
3-5
60%
6-13
5-10
46%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.5
29
26
12
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
2-5
40%
2-5
2-3
40%
49%
2-8
25%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.6
27
18
10
3
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
51%
0-1
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.0
19
15
14
7
1
0
0
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
7-10
2-3
70%
55%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
32
13
17
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
2-3
67%
3-4
1-1
75%
50%
3-8
38%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
30
28
14
4
5
2
1
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.4
25
21
11
7
13
1
1
0
5
1
6
4-4
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.0
11
14
6
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.3
8
17
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-1
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.6
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.7
27
1
3-5
54%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.4
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.