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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 26, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Rockets
117
10Grizzlies
111
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.3
41
34
32
8
10
0
2
3
2
1
7
10-11
91%
8-13
6-11
62%
49%
2-4
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.5
40
35
15
10
1
2
1
1
2
1
9
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
4-10
40%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.5
35
34
12
4
5
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
2-5
40%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.3
31
27
4
6
2
0
1
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.0
29
34
6
11
1
0
1
0
3
2
9
4-8
50%
1-4
7-12
25%
57%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.1
32
26
21
8
3
0
1
0
2
4
4
3-3
100%
9-19
4-9
47%
44%
0-2
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 28.8
23
26
13
2
0
0
2
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
3-5
60%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.3
19
15
9
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
3-6
50%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.0
10
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 26.0
7
12
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-2
0%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.4
18
1
1-3
45%
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.0
7
0
1-1
42%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 23.6
7
0
0-1
43%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.2
40
31
4
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.9
39
32
29
8
4
0
1
2
0
0
8
4-4
100%
11-20
7-14
55%
49%
1-1
100%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.2
37
30
11
4
7
2
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-10
5-10
20%
48%
2-5
40%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.0
26
16
10
3
6
2
1
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
4-10
2-4
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.6
16
23
4
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-7
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.8
29
21
8
9
4
1
0
0
0
6
3
0-2
0%
4-10
2-5
40%
42%
0-2
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.9
23
20
10
3
3
2
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
43%
2-5
40%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.5
21
18
17
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
6-8
2-4
75%
50%
1-4
25%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
20
12
14
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
4-5
80%
5-8
1-1
63%
47%
0-2
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.8
14
23
4
6
0
1
1
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
52%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.5
8
0
1-1
45%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.9
7
0
1-1
48%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.0
2
0
0-0
48%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.