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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 26, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Suns59%106115
21Kings41%103106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.0
33.9
32.5
18
68%
5
6
0
2
0
2
1
4
3-5
60%
6-8
5-9
75%
50%
1-3
33%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 29.6
32.7
26.1
6
34%
8
1
1
1
1
1
2
6
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
1-6
17%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.6
32.1
34.1
16
50%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-10
5-9
40%
53%
2-5
40%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 25.3
30.4
29.1
17
77%
2
1
3
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
7-10
5-9
70%
51%
1-1
100%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 21.5
23.4
22.9
10
56%
11
0
0
1
5
1
5
6
0-0
-
5-9
3-5
56%
52%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.9
29.1
26.0
17
49%
3
5
1
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
49%
2-7
29%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
28.3
20.3
20
83%
9
5
1
1
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
6-7
86%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.3
16.7
18.3
4
52%
6
0
0
0
5
0
3
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 28.9
11.1
21.1
7
44%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 31.1
1.2
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.5
1.2
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.3
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 20.3
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 22.7
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.3
36.3
33.9
19
65%
1
2
3
1
0
3
0
1
5-6
83%
1-5
4-9
20%
50%
4-7
57%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.9
35.0
33.9
13
42%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-3
33%
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
2-7
29%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
34.5
35.5
16
50%
4
5
2
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
7-14
6-13
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 34.6
31.6
9.5
11
40%
16
1
1
0
0
3
9
7
1-2
50%
5-12
1-2
42%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.4
12.4
22.9
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
26.5
12.6
4
25%
5
5
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-8
1-3
25%
43%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.6
22.5
17.5
16
78%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
1-3
33%
6-7
2-4
86%
47%
1-2
50%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.5
17.7
14.0
11
72%
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
3
5-6
83%
3-5
2-3
60%
51%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.3
14.9
12.6
12
43%
8
0
0
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
6-14
2-4
43%
53%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.2
8.7
9.2
2
35%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-2
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.7
8.9
0
1-3
45%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 30.2
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.4
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.