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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 27, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Celtics30%9888
15Wizards70%106101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.3
32
31
23
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
7-8
88%
5-9
4-9
56%
47%
2-8
25%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 22.8
31
25
12
5
3
1
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
47%
2-5
40%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.1
22
31
2
1
2
2
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
0-3
4-8
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 20.8
14
24
3
2
2
0
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.9
12
24
3
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-6
4-8
17%
53%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.7
29
25
15
8
2
0
1
0
2
3
5
3-4
75%
6-9
3-6
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.2
26
23
11
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-3
33%
5-7
3-6
71%
43%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.9
19
21
3
1
3
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
1-4
25%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.5
16
13
10
2
0
2
1
1
0
1
1
3-3
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.7
14
10
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.9
14
6
0
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.2
10
10
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
63%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.4
2
0
0-0
46%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 27.6
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.5
29
34
9
4
1
2
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
46%
1-2
50%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
28
36
12
4
7
3
2
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
6-12
6-12
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
27
29
7
10
2
1
1
1
2
2
8
1-2
50%
3-6
5-10
50%
55%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.3
20
23
4
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-3
67%
1-5
4-8
20%
52%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.2
19
25
17
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
51%
3-5
60%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.6
29
25
8
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
24
23
18
9
3
2
1
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
9-14
4-8
64%
50%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.6
19
12
12
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
6-7
1-3
86%
50%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.1
19
14
10
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-9
3-5
56%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.8
18
11
2
4
7
0
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.7
4
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
54%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.6
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 24.0
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.