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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 28, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Thunder42%102107
5Mavericks58%105112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
37
31
26
10
0
0
0
0
2
4
6
1-2
50%
8-10
4-8
80%
53%
3-4
75%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
36
31
18
9
9
5
2
0
5
3
6
6-9
67%
6-22
8-17
27%
48%
0-1
0%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.3
27
23
10
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
49%
0-2
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.4
25
26
11
6
2
0
1
1
0
2
4
3-5
60%
4-8
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.1
20
25
1
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.7
35
24
21
4
3
2
1
0
6
0
4
0-0
-
9-14
4-7
64%
49%
1-3
33%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
22
25
9
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.1
13
16
3
6
2
0
0
0
2
2
4
1-1
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.5
12
8
6
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
43%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.2
11
12
2
5
2
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.6
11
0
1-2
48%
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.5
5
0
0-1
49%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.2
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.2
35
30
26
5
3
2
1
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
53%
5-9
56%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.8
34
32
15
6
7
2
1
0
2
2
4
1-4
25%
7-16
4-9
44%
47%
0-1
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.2
33
34
18
4
5
0
2
0
3
1
3
5-5
100%
5-14
6-13
36%
48%
1-6
17%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.5
29
27
30
5
2
1
1
2
1
0
5
12-12
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
51%
2-3
67%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.5
23
12
9
4
2
1
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
25
12
4
8
0
1
0
2
3
2
6
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.8
24
18
1
0
6
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.5
22
17
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.3
15
15
7
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
1-7
14%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.5
1
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.3
4
0
0-1
51%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.3
1
0
0-0
47%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.4
0
0
0-0
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.