Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Raptors	57%	108	116	126.1	92	81.7
	21	Nuggets	43%	105	102	110.9	92	105.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 29	37.7	30	71%	7	11	1	1	2	4	0	7	3-4	75%	9-15	60%	3-5	60%
Terrence Ross G · 6'7" 206 · 24	35.3	8	36%	8	1	0	0	1	1	1	7	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	1-3	33%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 28	25.7	13	72%	4	1	0	2	0	3	2	2	3-3	100%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 28	18.7	5	50%	3	1	1	1	2	3	0	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 23	17.2	7	50%	6	0	1	0	0	3	3	3	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 28	34.3	31	74%	5	2	1	0	0	4	2	3	5-9	56%	7-11	64%	4-7	57%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 26	26.6	8	57%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-4	50%	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Tyler Hansbrough · 6'9" 250 · 29	19.9	10	63%	7	0	0	1	0	2	4	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 28	18.0	2	9%	2	6	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-2	0%	1-9	11%	0-1	0%
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 32	6.6	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27	\| DND - Concussion
Greg Stiemsma C · 6'11" 260 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lucas Nogueira C · 7'0" 220 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DeMar DeRozan #10 · G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bruno Caboclo #5 · F · 6'9" 205 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	56%	44	23	4	5	6	0	13	31	20-32	63%	33-65	51%	10-23	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 29	37.7	30	71%	7	11	1	1	2	4	0	7	3-4	75%	9-15	60%	3-5	60%
Terrence Ross G · 6'7" 206 · 24	35.3	8	36%	8	1	0	0	1	1	1	7	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	1-3	33%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 28	25.7	13	72%	4	1	0	2	0	3	2	2	3-3	100%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 28	18.7	5	50%	3	1	1	1	2	3	0	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 23	17.2	7	50%	6	0	1	0	0	3	3	3	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 28	34.3	31	74%	5	2	1	0	0	4	2	3	5-9	56%	7-11	64%	4-7	57%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 26	26.6	8	57%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-4	50%	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Tyler Hansbrough · 6'9" 250 · 29	19.9	10	63%	7	0	0	1	0	2	4	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 28	18.0	2	9%	2	6	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-2	0%	1-9	11%	0-1	0%
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 32	6.6	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27	\| DND - Concussion
Greg Stiemsma C · 6'11" 260 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lucas Nogueira C · 7'0" 220 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DeMar DeRozan #10 · G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bruno Caboclo #5 · F · 6'9" 205 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	56%	44	23	4	5	6	0	13	31	20-32	63%	33-65	51%	10-23	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	41.0	20	45%	10	3	0	1	3	4	2	8	3-5	60%	7-17	41%	1-3	33%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	39.5	28	64%	5	7	1	0	0	2	1	4	9-11	82%	8-13	62%	1-4	25%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	38.8	9	41%	1	4	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-4	25%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	38.1	17	43%	19	2	0	0	2	1	7	12	1-2	50%	8-18	44%	0-1	0%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	29.1	8	50%	5	0	0	0	1	5	2	3	6-8	75%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	18.4	3	50%	6	0	0	0	2	1	3	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 31	13.7	9	75%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	10.8	2	17%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	5.4	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	5.2	6	75%	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	4-6	67%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Randy Foye #4 · G · 6'4" 218 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Danilo Gallinari #8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	49%	49	18	3	2	10	0	15	34	24-34	71%	33-70	47%	4-17	24%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DEN

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.13 56.3%

DEN

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

21

32

66%

DEN

18

36

50%

Midrange

TOR

12

33

36%

DEN

15

34

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

10

15.0

23

43%

65%

DEN

4

6.0

17

24%

35%

Free Throws

TOR

20

32

63%

DEN

24

34

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Williams	31	74%	15.5 / 21
K. Lowry	30	71%	15.0 / 21
A. Johnson	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Hansbrough	10	63%	5.0 / 8
T. Ross	8	36%	4.0 / 11
P. Patterson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Valančiūnas	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Johnson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
G. Vasquez	2	9%	1.0 / 11
C. Hayes	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Lawson	28	64%	14.0 / 22
W. Chandler	20	45%	10.0 / 22
K. Faried	17	43%	8.5 / 20
A. Afflalo	9	41%	4.5 / 11
N. Robinson	9	75%	4.5 / 6
T. Mozgov	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Nurkić	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Hickson	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Arthur	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 111.2 18 104.8	TOR 126.1 +15.2 DEN 110.9
Pace	23 92.8 4 95.9	TOR 81.7 DEN 105.2 +23.5
Avg. Poss. Time	9 15.8 28 14.4	TOR 17.6 DEN 13.7 −3.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 50.8% 25 47.9%	TOR 54.5% +9.7% DEN 44.8%
TO %	4 13.0% 15 14.3%	TOR 5.6% −3.3% DEN 8.9%
ORB %	11 25.6% 10 26.5%	TOR 27.7% DEN 32.6% +4.9%
FTrt	8 29.5 12 27.8	TOR 36.4 DEN 39.1 +2.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 54.7% 17 57.7%	TOR 53.5% +4.9% DEN 48.6%
STL %	18 8.0% 17 8.0%	TOR 4.3% +1.0% DEN 3.3%
BLK %	23 7.2% 22 7.2%	TOR 7.1% +4.0% DEN 3.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 53.8% 24 50.8%	TOR 56.3% +7.3% DEN 49.0%
Rim FG%	10 59.4% 22 56.1%	TOR 65.6% +15.6% DEN 50.0%
Mid FG%	11 40.5% 24 37.9%	TOR 36.4% DEN 44.1% +7.7%
3P %	11 35.2% 28 32.5%	TOR 43.5% +20.0% DEN 23.5%
FT %	2 78.7% 24 73.5%	TOR 62.5% DEN 70.6% +8.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 35.0% 10 38.2%	TOR 36.4% DEN 41.4% +5.0%
Mid Att. %	10 34.9% 6 33.4%	TOR 37.5% −1.6% DEN 39.1%
3P Att. %	8 30.2% 12 28.4%	TOR 26.1% +6.6% DEN 19.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	DEN
Possessions	92	92
Possession Minutes	27.0	21.0
Points	116	102
Rebounds	44	49
Assists	23	18
Steals	4	3
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	34 (2)
Field Goals	43-88	37-87
At-the-Rim FG	21-32	18-36
Midrange FG	12-33	15-34
2-Point FG	33-65	33-70
3-Point FG	10-23	4-17
Free Throws	20-32	24-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg