Final Win Prob. pScore
2635%93
102
1465%98
101
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
114.68990.3
MIA logo Heat
113.58987.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA102
100%
101
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound102
97.1%
101
2.9%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot102
99.4%
101
0.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIASUB: Cole FOR Andersen102
101
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)102
101
Q4 - 0:06.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)102
58.5%
101
41.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLMISS Oladipo Free Throw 2 of 2102
62.4%
101
37.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLSUB: Payton FOR Frye102
101
Q4 - 0:06.0MIASUB: Andersen FOR Cole102
101
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)102
78.2%
101
21.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIACole S.FOUL (P4.PN)101
101
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLSUB: Frye FOR Payton101
101
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)101
101
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)101
57.2%
101
42.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Step Back Jump Shot101
48.6%
101
51.4%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLOladipo 3' Driving Layup (21 PTS)101
33.0%
101
67.0%
Q4 - 1:07ORLMagic Rebound99
101
Q4 - 1:08MIAJump Ball Deng vs. Vucevic: Tip to Fournier99
23.4%
101
76.6%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup99
19.8%
101
80.2%
Q4 - 1:08MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
13.3%
101
86.7%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot99
19.9%
101
80.1%
Q4 - 1:22ORLSUB: Oladipo FOR Frye99
101
Q4 - 1:22ORLSUB: Payton FOR Oladipo99
101
Q4 - 1:22MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)99
101
Q4 - 1:27ORLHarris 9' Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Oladipo 4 AST)99
15.3%
101
84.7%
Q4 - 1:38MIAGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)97
11.0%
101
89.0%
Q4 - 1:55MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
24.9%
98
75.1%
Q4 - 1:56ORLMISS Vucevic 8' Turnaround Jump Shot97
28.1%
98
71.9%
Q4 - 2:20ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
39.2%
98
60.8%
Q4 - 2:21MIAMISS Deng 1' Layup97
34.4%
98
65.6%
Q4 - 2:46ORLOladipo 3' Driving Layup (19 PTS)97
24.7%
98
75.3%
Q4 - 3:10ORLMagic Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)95
98
Q4 - 3:10MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)95
21.1%
98
78.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)95
25.7%
96
74.3%
Q4 - 3:29ORLMISS Frye 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
29.5%
96
70.5%
Q4 - 3:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)95
36.9%
96
63.1%
Q4 - 3:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)95
38.9%
95
61.1%
Q4 - 3:55ORLHarris S.FOUL (P3.PN)95
94
Q4 - 3:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
45.2%
94
54.8%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
52.2%
94
47.8%
Q4 - 4:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
45.2%
94
54.8%
Q4 - 4:14ORLMISS Fournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
48.3%
94
51.7%
Q4 - 4:28ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)95
55.5%
94
44.5%
Q4 - 4:29MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot95
52.4%
94
47.6%
Q4 - 4:39MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
45.2%
94
54.8%
Q4 - 4:40ORLMISS Harris 14' Fadeaway Jumper95
48.4%
94
51.6%
Q4 - 4:58MIADeng Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)95
55.6%
94
44.4%
Q4 - 5:14ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)95
43.7%
94
56.3%
Q4 - 5:14MIASUB: Bosh FOR Whiteside94
94
Q4 - 5:14ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)94
42.2%
94
57.8%
Q4 - 5:14MIAGranger P.FOUL (P2.PN)93
94
Q4 - 5:30MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)93
36.5%
94
63.5%
Q4 - 5:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
43.8%
92
56.2%
Q4 - 5:47ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 2 of 293
45.0%
92
55.0%
Q4 - 5:47ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)93
50.3%
92
49.7%
Q4 - 5:47MIADeng S.FOUL (P1.PN)92
92
Q4 - 5:47ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
44.5%
92
55.5%
Q4 - 5:48ORLMISS Oladipo 2' Driving Layup92
38.4%
92
61.6%
Q4 - 5:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)92
44.6%
92
55.4%
Q4 - 5:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)92
46.5%
91
53.5%
Q4 - 5:59ORLOladipo S.FOUL (P3.PN)92
90
Q4 - 6:15ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)92
49.9%
90
50.1%
Q4 - 6:15MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P3.T4)91
90
Q4 - 6:15ORLVucevic 14' Jump Shot (24 PTS)91
90
Q4 - 6:32ORLFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
36.4%
90
63.6%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 189
35.3%
90
64.7%
Q4 - 6:33ORLFrye S.FOUL (P4.PN)89
90
Q4 - 6:33MIAWhiteside 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)89
90
Q4 - 6:52ORLVucevic 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (22 PTS)89
42.5%
88
57.5%
Q4 - 7:11ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)87
88
Q4 - 7:12MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)87
36.0%
88
64.0%
Q4 - 7:23ORLWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)87
41.9%
86
58.1%
Q4 - 7:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)87
49.5%
86
50.5%
Q4 - 7:38ORLSUB: Harris FOR Payton87
85
Q4 - 7:38ORLSUB: Oladipo FOR Gordon87
85
Q4 - 7:38MIASUB: Deng FOR Bosh87
85
Q4 - 7:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
51.1%
85
48.9%
Q4 - 7:38ORLFournier S.FOUL (P3.PN)87
84
Q4 - 7:49MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
55.7%
84
44.3%
Q4 - 7:50ORLMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
58.0%
84
42.0%
Q4 - 8:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)87
60.8%
84
39.2%
Q4 - 8:12ORLGordon S.FOUL (P2.T4)87
83
Q4 - 8:12MIAWade 6' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS)87
83
Q4 - 8:25ORLPayton 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)87
72.1%
81
27.9%
Q4 - 8:36MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)85
66.8%
81
33.2%
Q4 - 8:36MIAHEAT Rebound85
80
Q4 - 8:36MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 285
67.8%
80
32.2%
Q4 - 8:36MIASUB: Wade FOR Chalmers85
80
Q4 - 8:36ORLSUB: Vucevic FOR Dedmon85
80
Q4 - 8:3685
80
Q4 - 8:36ORLDedmon S.FOUL (P5.T3)85
80
Q4 - 8:50ORLFrye 16' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
66.7%
80
33.3%
Q4 - 9:11ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
59.2%
80
40.8%
Q4 - 9:12MIAMISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Jump Shot83
57.3%
80
42.7%
Q4 - 9:32ORLFournier Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T13)83
53.2%
80
46.8%
Q4 - 9:46MIAGranger L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)83
80
Q4 - 9:46ORLMagic Rebound83
59.3%
80
40.7%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
57.4%
80
42.6%
Q4 - 10:03ORLDedmon 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 8 AST)83
51.8%
80
48.2%
Q4 - 10:17MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)81
46.4%
80
53.6%
Q4 - 10:17MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
48.2%
79
51.8%
Q4 - 10:17ORLFournier S.FOUL (P2.T2)81
78
Q4 - 10:29ORLFournier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)81
51.9%
78
48.1%
Q4 - 10:29ORLFournier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)80
50.6%
78
49.4%
Q4 - 10:29MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P3.T2)79
78
Q4 - 10:32MIAGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)79
46.4%
78
53.6%
Q4 - 10:51ORLGordon 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
40.8%
78
59.2%
Q4 - 11:11MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)77
35.5%
78
64.5%
Q4 - 11:11MIAHEAT Rebound77
77
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 277
37.1%
77
62.9%
Q4 - 11:11ORLFrye S.FOUL (P3.T1)77
77
Q4 - 11:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
35.3%
77
64.7%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot77
38.9%
77
61.1%
Q4 - 11:32ORLPayton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)77
35.3%
77
64.7%
Q4 - 11:40MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T1)77
77
Q4 - 12:0077
77
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA77
40.5%
77
59.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLHarris 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)77
35.3%
77
64.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)74
26.6%
77
73.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLFrye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)74
22.8%
77
77.2%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
16.4%
77
83.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
17.0%
76
83.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0ORLDedmon S.FOUL (P4.PN)71
75
Q3 - 0:58.0ORLPayton 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)71
19.4%
75
80.6%
Q3 - 1:07ORLFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
16.9%
75
83.1%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 269
16.6%
75
83.4%
Q3 - 1:08MIAHEAT Rebound69
75
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 269
14.7%
75
85.3%
Q3 - 1:08ORLFrye P.FOUL (P2.PN)69
75
Q3 - 1:22ORLFrye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)69
14.3%
75
85.7%
Q3 - 1:30ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
10.2%
75
89.8%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot66
9.6%
75
90.4%
Q3 - 1:45ORLCole STEAL (2 STL)66
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q3 - 1:53MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T3)66
75
Q3 - 2:04MIAGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)66
10.8%
75
89.2%
Q3 - 2:04ORLSUB: Fournier FOR Oladipo66
74
Q3 - 2:04ORLDedmon S.FOUL (P3.T4)66
74
Q3 - 2:04MIAGranger 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)66
74
Q3 - 2:17ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)66
14.8%
72
85.2%
Q3 - 2:17ORLSUB: Dedmon FOR Vucevic65
72
Q3 - 2:17ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)65
14.4%
72
85.6%
Q3 - 2:17MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Bosh64
72
Q3 - 2:17ORLSUB: Payton FOR Fournier64
72
Q3 - 2:17ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)64
72
Q3 - 2:17MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T2)64
72
Q3 - 2:21ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
12.7%
72
87.3%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
12.1%
72
87.9%
Q3 - 2:40MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
10.7%
72
89.3%
Q3 - 2:41ORLMISS Vucevic 2' Reverse Layup64
11.3%
72
88.7%
Q3 - 3:01MIADeng 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)64
13.3%
72
86.7%
Q3 - 3:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
15.3%
70
84.7%
Q3 - 3:20ORLMISS Fournier 13' Jump Shot64
16.1%
70
83.9%
Q3 - 3:40MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)64
17.9%
70
82.1%
Q3 - 4:01ORLHarris 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Vucevic 3 AST)64
20.5%
68
79.5%
Q3 - 4:22MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)62
18.4%
68
81.6%
Q3 - 4:22ORLSUB: Fournier FOR Payton62
67
Q3 - 4:22MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade62
67
Q3 - 4:22MIASUB: Granger FOR Andersen62
67
Q3 - 4:22MIAHEAT Rebound62
67
Q3 - 4:22MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 262
18.8%
67
81.2%
Q3 - 4:22ORLVucevic S.FOUL (P1.T3)62
67
Q3 - 4:49ORLHarris 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)62
17.9%
67
82.1%
Q3 - 4:55MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)60
15.9%
67
84.1%
Q3 - 4:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
13.4%
67
86.6%
Q3 - 4:58ORLMISS Oladipo 1' Driving Layup60
14.1%
67
85.9%
Q3 - 5:21MIABosh 5' Driving Hook Shot (16 PTS)60
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q3 - 5:40ORLVucevic 4' Hook Shot (20 PTS)60
18.2%
65
81.8%
Q3 - 5:52MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)58
65
Q3 - 5:52MIACole P.FOUL (P3.T1)58
65
Q3 - 6:01ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
16.6%
65
83.4%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 258
16.2%
65
83.8%
Q3 - 6:02MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers58
65
Q3 - 6:02ORLSUB: Frye FOR O'Quinn58
65
Q3 - 6:02MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)58
14.9%
65
85.1%
Q3 - 6:02ORLHarris S.FOUL (P2.T2)58
64
Q3 - 6:05MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
16.2%
64
83.8%
Q3 - 6:06ORLMISS Harris 11' Fadeaway Jumper58
17.0%
64
83.0%
Q3 - 6:31MIAAndersen 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)58
18.8%
64
81.2%
Q3 - 6:56ORLVucevic 3' Driving Layup (18 PTS)58
21.0%
62
79.0%
Q3 - 7:21MIADeng Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)56
18.9%
62
81.1%
Q3 - 7:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
21.1%
60
78.9%
Q3 - 7:28ORLMISS Oladipo 3' Driving Layup56
22.0%
60
78.0%
Q3 - 7:37ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
24.1%
60
75.9%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot56
23.2%
60
76.8%
Q3 - 7:53ORLVucevic 10' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)56
21.1%
60
78.9%
Q3 - 8:17MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)54
19.2%
60
80.8%
Q3 - 8:38ORLHarris 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)54
16.6%
60
83.4%
Q3 - 8:45ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
15.0%
60
85.0%
Q3 - 8:46MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot52
14.3%
60
85.7%
Q3 - 9:10ORLHarris Dunk (7 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)52
13.2%
60
86.8%
Q3 - 9:14ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
11.7%
60
88.3%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
11.2%
60
88.8%
Q3 - 9:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
10.2%
60
89.8%
Q3 - 9:23ORLAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)50
10.7%
60
89.3%
Q3 - 9:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
11.7%
60
88.3%
Q3 - 9:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
12.1%
59
87.9%
Q3 - 9:48ORLOladipo S.FOUL (P2.T1)50
58
Q3 - 9:57MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
13.2%
58
86.8%
Q3 - 9:58ORLMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
13.7%
58
86.3%
Q3 - 10:22MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)50
15.1%
58
84.9%
Q3 - 10:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
13.4%
58
86.6%
Q3 - 10:26ORLMISS Vucevic 17' Jump Shot50
13.9%
58
86.1%
Q3 - 10:48MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)50
15.1%
58
84.9%
Q3 - 11:00MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
19.1%
55
80.9%
Q3 - 11:01ORLMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
20.0%
55
80.0%
Q3 - 11:20MIABosh 9' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)50
21.6%
55
78.5%
Q3 - 11:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
23.9%
53
76.1%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot50
25.7%
53
74.3%
Q3 - 11:32MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
23.9%
53
76.1%
Q3 - 11:33ORLMISS Harris 16' Jump Shot50
24.7%
53
75.3%
Q3 - 11:48MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)50
26.5%
53
73.5%
Q3 - 12:0050
53
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL50
23.9%
53
76.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
26.5%
53
73.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
25.8%
53
74.2%
Q2 - 0:24.0ORLOladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)50
24.6%
53
75.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)47
19.5%
53
80.5%
Q2 - 0:49.0ORLVucevic 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Fournier 3 AST)47
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q2 - 1:05ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
21.8%
50
78.2%
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 245
21.6%
50
78.4%
Q2 - 1:06MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)45
20.3%
50
79.7%
Q2 - 1:06ORLPayton S.FOUL (P2.PN)45
49
Q2 - 1:23ORLVucevic 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)45
22.8%
49
77.2%
Q2 - 1:38MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole43
49
Q2 - 1:38MIAAndersen P.FOUL (P1.T4)43
49
Q2 - 1:38ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
19.7%
49
80.3%
Q2 - 1:38ORLMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
18.9%
49
81.1%
Q2 - 1:58MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)43
19.7%
49
80.3%
Q2 - 2:16ORLSUB: Payton FOR O'Quinn43
47
Q2 - 2:1643
47
Q2 - 2:16ORLOladipo Foul Turnover (P5.T10)43
22.4%
47
77.6%
Q2 - 2:16ORLOladipo Offensive Charge Foul (P1.PN)43
47
Q2 - 2:36MIAWade 14' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)43
24.5%
47
75.5%
Q2 - 2:57ORLVucevic 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
27.0%
45
73.0%
Q2 - 3:14ORLMagic Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)41
45
Q2 - 3:17MIACole 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)41
24.8%
45
75.2%
Q2 - 3:21ORLGranger STEAL (1 STL)41
26.7%
43
73.3%
Q2 - 3:34MIACole P.FOUL (P2.T3)41
43
Q2 - 3:47MIAGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)41
29.5%
43
70.5%
Q2 - 4:07ORLVucevic 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fournier 2 AST)41
34.0%
40
66.0%
Q2 - 4:21MIACole 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)39
31.6%
40
68.4%
Q2 - 4:43ORLO'Quinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)39
34.1%
38
65.9%
Q2 - 4:57MIAWade 18' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
36.8%
38
63.2%
Q2 - 5:08ORLHarris P.FOUL (P1.T4)39
36
Q2 - 5:26ORLOladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
39.2%
36
60.8%
Q2 - 5:35ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
34.0%
36
66.0%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot36
33.2%
36
66.8%
Q2 - 5:50MIASUB: Andersen FOR Whiteside36
36
Q2 - 6:00ORLOladipo 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)36
31.5%
36
68.5%
Q2 - 6:13ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
29.5%
36
70.5%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot34
28.6%
36
71.4%
Q2 - 6:28MIASUB: Wade FOR Chalmers34
36
Q2 - 6:28MIASUB: Deng FOR Bosh34
36
Q2 - 6:28ORLSUB: Harris FOR Gordon34
36
Q2 - 6:28ORLSUB: Vucevic FOR Dedmon34
36
Q2 - 6:28ORLSUB: O'Quinn FOR Frye34
36
Q2 - 6:28MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)34
36
Q2 - 6:28ORLGordon 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Oladipo 3 AST)34
26.8%
36
73.2%
Q2 - 6:35ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
23.1%
36
76.9%
Q2 - 6:36MIAMISS Granger 1' Driving Layup31
22.4%
36
77.6%
Q2 - 6:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
20.9%
36
79.1%
Q2 - 6:45ORLWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)31
21.5%
36
78.5%
Q2 - 7:02ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)31
23.1%
36
76.9%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
22.5%
36
77.5%
Q2 - 7:19MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
21.2%
36
78.8%
Q2 - 7:20ORLMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
21.8%
36
78.2%
Q2 - 7:36MIAGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)31
23.1%
36
76.9%
Q2 - 7:58ORLDedmon Putback Dunk (2 PTS)31
26.9%
33
73.1%
Q2 - 7:59ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)29
25.1%
33
74.9%
Q2 - 8:00ORLMISS Frye 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
23.6%
33
76.4%
Q2 - 8:14MIABosh 12' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)29
25.0%
33
75.0%
Q2 - 8:29ORLFrye Foul Turnover (P1.T7)29
26.9%
31
73.1%
Q2 - 8:29ORLFrye OFF.Foul (P1)29
31
Q2 - 8:43MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
29.1%
31
70.9%
Q2 - 8:54MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
31.1%
29
68.9%
Q2 - 8:55ORLMISS Fournier 5' Jump Shot29
31.9%
29
68.1%
Q2 - 9:01ORLSUB: Oladipo FOR Payton29
29
Q2 - 9:01ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)29
29
Q2 - 9:07ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)29
33.2%
29
66.8%
Q2 - 9:08ORLMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot29
31.5%
29
68.5%
Q2 - 9:27MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
33.2%
29
66.8%
Q2 - 9:27MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)29
33.9%
28
66.1%
Q2 - 9:27ORLGordon S.FOUL (P1.T3)29
27
Q2 - 9:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
35.2%
27
64.8%
Q2 - 9:38ORLMISS Frye 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
36.0%
27
64.0%
Q2 - 9:47MIAWhiteside P.FOUL (P2.T2)29
27
Q2 - 9:47ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
37.9%
27
62.1%
Q2 - 9:48ORLMISS Fournier Free Throw 2 of 229
35.6%
27
64.4%
Q2 - 9:48ORLMagic Rebound29
27
Q2 - 9:48ORLMISS Fournier Free Throw 1 of 229
37.0%
27
63.0%
Q2 - 9:48MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P1.T1)29
27
Q2 - 9:55ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
37.9%
27
62.1%
Q2 - 9:56ORLMISS Dedmon 3' Hook Shot29
36.0%
27
64.0%
Q2 - 10:12ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
37.9%
27
62.1%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 229
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q2 - 10:13MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q2 - 10:13ORLFournier S.FOUL (P1.T2)29
26
Q2 - 10:20MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
37.5%
26
62.5%
Q2 - 10:21ORLMISS Frye 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
38.3%
26
61.7%
Q2 - 10:32ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
40.3%
26
59.7%
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot29
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q2 - 10:58ORLFrye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)29
37.4%
26
62.6%
Q2 - 11:08MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)26
33.0%
26
67.0%
Q2 - 11:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
30.9%
26
69.1%
Q2 - 11:26ORLMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
31.5%
26
68.5%
Q2 - 11:41MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
33.0%
26
67.0%
Q2 - 11:41MIAHEAT Rebound26
25
Q2 - 11:41MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 226
33.4%
25
66.6%
Q2 - 11:41ORLDedmon S.FOUL (P2.T1)26
25
Q2 - 12:0026
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
33.0%
25
67.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
33.0%
25
67.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Fournier 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
33.6%
25
66.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIACole P.FOUL (P1.T1)26
25
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)26
34.7%
25
65.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0ORLGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)26
33.1%
25
66.9%
Q1 - 1:03MIAGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)23
28.6%
25
71.4%
Q1 - 1:09MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
33.0%
22
67.0%
Q1 - 1:10MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot23
34.1%
22
65.9%
Q1 - 1:24MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
33.0%
22
67.0%
Q1 - 1:25ORLWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)23
33.5%
22
66.5%
Q1 - 1:35ORLSUB: Payton FOR Oladipo23
22
Q1 - 1:35ORLMagic Rebound23
34.5%
22
65.5%
Q1 - 1:36ORLMISS Gordon 12' Turnaround Jump Shot23
33.5%
22
66.5%
Q1 - 1:49MIAGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)23
34.5%
22
65.5%
Q1 - 2:10ORLFrye 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)23
39.1%
19
60.9%
Q1 - 2:25ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
36.8%
19
63.2%
Q1 - 2:26MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 221
36.6%
19
63.4%
Q1 - 2:26ORLSUB: Gordon FOR Harris21
19
Q1 - 2:26MIAHEAT Rebound21
19
Q1 - 2:26MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 221
35.4%
19
64.6%
Q1 - 2:26ORLDedmon S.FOUL (P1.T4)21
19
Q1 - 2:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
34.8%
19
65.2%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMISS Deng 2' Reverse Layup21
36.2%
19
63.8%
Q1 - 2:44ORLChalmers STEAL (2 STL)21
34.8%
19
65.2%
Q1 - 2:52MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Andersen21
19
Q1 - 2:52ORLSUB: Dedmon FOR Vucevic21
19
Q1 - 2:52MIAAndersen Violation:Kicked Ball21
19
Q1 - 3:04MIAAndersen Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)21
36.7%
19
63.3%
Q1 - 3:12ORLCole STEAL (1 STL)21
38.5%
17
61.5%
Q1 - 3:16MIADeng Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)21
40.9%
17
59.1%
Q1 - 3:33ORLHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Vucevic 2 AST)21
38.5%
17
61.5%
Q1 - 3:53MIASUB: Granger FOR Wade18
17
Q1 - 3:53MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Bosh18
17
Q1 - 3:53ORLSUB: Fournier FOR Payton18
17
Q1 - 3:53ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)18
17
Q1 - 4:00MIADeng 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)18
34.7%
17
65.3%
Q1 - 4:12MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
36.0%
15
64.0%
Q1 - 4:13ORLMISS Payton 10' Jump Shot18
36.7%
15
63.3%
Q1 - 4:22ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
38.2%
15
61.8%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Bosh 1' Reverse Layup18
37.6%
15
62.4%
Q1 - 4:36MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
36.0%
15
64.0%
Q1 - 4:37ORLMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
36.7%
15
63.3%
Q1 - 4:40ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
38.2%
15
61.8%
Q1 - 4:41ORLMISS Harris 16' Jump Shot18
36.7%
15
63.3%
Q1 - 4:59MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)18
38.2%
15
61.8%
Q1 - 4:59ORLSUB: Frye FOR O'Quinn18
14
Q1 - 4:59MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)18
14
Q1 - 4:59ORLO'Quinn S.FOUL (P2.T3)18
14
Q1 - 4:59MIABosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)18
14
Q1 - 5:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
40.9%
12
59.1%
Q1 - 5:20ORLMISS Oladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
41.5%
12
58.5%
Q1 - 5:44MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)18
42.8%
12
57.2%
Q1 - 6:03ORLVucevic 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Oladipo 2 AST)18
43.2%
10
56.8%
Q1 - 6:13MIACole Violation:Kicked Ball16
10
Q1 - 6:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
41.6%
10
58.4%
Q1 - 6:27MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers16
9
Q1 - 6:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
42.0%
9
58.0%
Q1 - 6:27ORLO'Quinn Shooting Block Foul (P1.T2)16
8
Q1 - 6:31ORLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)16
43.1%
8
56.9%
Q1 - 6:53MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)16
44.6%
8
55.4%
Q1 - 6:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
42.9%
8
57.1%
Q1 - 6:56ORLMISS Vucevic 2' Layup16
43.4%
8
56.6%
Q1 - 6:58ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
44.6%
8
55.4%
Q1 - 6:59ORLMISS Vucevic 2' Layup16
43.4%
8
56.6%
Q1 - 7:12ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
44.0%
8
56.0%
Q1 - 7:13MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot16
43.4%
8
56.6%
Q1 - 7:32ORLO'Quinn 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)16
42.0%
8
58.0%
Q1 - 7:46ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
40.6%
8
59.4%
Q1 - 7:47MIAMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot14
40.1%
8
59.9%
Q1 - 8:02ORLOladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Quinn 1 AST)14
38.7%
8
61.3%
Q1 - 8:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
36.1%
8
63.9%
Q1 - 8:32MIABosh Violation:Defensive Goaltending11
8
Q1 - 8:32ORLOladipo 3' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
34.8%
8
65.2%
Q1 - 8:35MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
33.8%
8
66.2%
Q1 - 8:52MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
32.6%
8
67.4%
Q1 - 8:53ORLMISS Payton 10' Turnaround Jump Shot9
33.0%
8
67.0%
Q1 - 9:17MIAChalmers 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
33.8%
8
66.2%
Q1 - 9:23ORLWade STEAL (1 STL)9
34.8%
6
65.2%
Q1 - 9:37MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
35.8%
6
64.2%
Q1 - 9:37MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
36.0%
5
64.0%
Q1 - 9:37ORLPayton S.FOUL (P1.T1)9
4
Q1 - 9:40ORLDeng STEAL (1 STL)9
36.7%
4
63.3%
Q1 - 9:48MIABosh 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)9
37.6%
4
62.4%
Q1 - 10:01MIADeng Violation:Defensive Goaltending9
2
Q1 - 10:01ORLVucevic 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)9
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 10:18MIADeng 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)7
37.1%
2
62.9%
Q1 - 10:35ORLVucevic Dunk (2 PTS) (Oladipo 1 AST)7
37.5%
0
62.5%
Q1 - 10:43MIABosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)5
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 10:45ORLBosh STEAL (1 STL)5
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 10:47ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot5
36.5%
0
63.5%
Q1 - 11:14ORLO'Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)5
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 11:23ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.9%
0
65.1%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot2
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 11:28MIAHEAT Rebound2
34.7%
0
65.3%
Q1 - 11:29MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot2
34.9%
0
65.1%
Q1 - 11:45ORLHarris 4' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)2
34.9%
0
65.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Andersen vs. Vucevic: Tip to O'Quinn0
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.21 60.7%
MIA
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
16
26
62%
MIA
11
16
69%
Midrange
ORL
14
26
54%
MIA
15
33
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
11
16.5
25
44%
66%
MIA
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
ORL
9
13
69%
MIA
28
40
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Vučević2672%13.0 / 18
V. Oladipo2273%11.0 / 15
T. Harris1864%9.0 / 14
C. Frye1359%6.5 / 11
B. Gordon850%4.0 / 8
K. O'Quinn5125%2.5 / 2
E. Payton440%2.0 / 5
D. Dedmon450%2.0 / 4
E. Fournier217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2566%12.5 / 19
D. Granger2195%10.5 / 11
C. Bosh2050%10.0 / 20
L. Deng1454%7.0 / 13
H. Whiteside880%4.0 / 5
N. Cole650%3.0 / 6
C. Andersen583%2.5 / 3
M. Chalmers233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
75
+9
-14
84
MIA
75
+8
-14
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.21 60.7%
MIA
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.1
103.9
ORL 114.6 +1.1
MIA 113.5
Pace
93.4
91.0
ORL 90.3 +2.6
MIA 87.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.3
ORL 15.9 −0.5
MIA 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
50.0%
ORL 60.4% +2.5%
MIA 57.9%
TO %
15.3%
15.2%
ORL 14.5% −0.3%
MIA 14.8%
ORB %
23.1%
23.3%
ORL 21.1% +2.3%
MIA 18.8%
FTrt
23.0
30.6
ORL 16.9
MIA 63.5 +46.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
56.4%
ORL 51.2%
MIA 54.5% +3.3%
STL %
8.4%
8.6%
ORL 10.1%
MIA 10.1%
BLK %
6.5%
8.0%
ORL 4.1%
MIA 5.8% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.1%
52.2%
ORL 60.7% +0.6%
MIA 60.1%
Rim FG%
56.7%
59.7%
ORL 61.5%
MIA 68.8% +7.3%
Mid FG%
40.1%
40.9%
ORL 53.8% +8.3%
MIA 45.5%
3P %
34.7%
33.5%
ORL 44.0%
MIA 50.0% +6.0%
FT %
72.9%
74.1%
ORL 69.2%
MIA 70.0% +0.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.9%
35.1%
ORL 33.8% +8.4%
MIA 25.4%
Mid Att. %
37.6%
38.7%
ORL 33.8% −18.6%
MIA 52.4%
3P Att. %
23.5%
26.2%
ORL 32.5% +10.2%
MIA 22.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points102101
Rebounds3436
Assists2118
Steals99
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)30 (0)
Field Goals41-7733-63
At-the-Rim FG16-2611-16
Midrange FG14-2615-33
2-Point FG30-5226-49
3-Point FG11-257-14
Free Throws9-1328-40
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 210 · 23
37.0
22
73%
2
4
3
0
5
3
0
2
5-6
83%
4-8
50%
3-4
75%
F · 6'8" 226 · 22
35.7
18
64%
4
1
0
0
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
6-10
60%
2-4
50%
C · 6'9" 260 · 24
33.9
26
72%
9
3
0
1
0
1
3
6
2-3
67%
12-17
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 185 · 21
30.4
4
40%
4
8
4
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 250 · 25
17.2
5
125%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22
32.0
2
17%
6
3
2
0
3
3
0
6
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 255 · 32
27.4
13
59%
2
0
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
C · 7'0" 245 · 25
14.1
4
50%
5
0
0
0
0
5
4
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 32
12.3
8
50%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 220 · 22
G · 6'3" 205 · 33
G · 6'2" 175 · 34
F · 6'9" 250 · 25
#11 · F · 6'6" 200 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#0 · F · 6'8" 235 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
61%
34
21
9
2
14
0
8
26
9-13
69%
30-52
58%
11-25
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.