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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 31, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Hornets23%9483
5Rockets77%104102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 24.6
34.6
37.7
12
49%
1
5
1
1
1
1
1
0
3-3
100%
3-8
5-13
38%
43%
1-3
33%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.1
31.0
29.5
16
54%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
7-12
3-7
58%
46%
0-2
0%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 21.3
28.2
25.4
16
48%
8
2
0
1
2
3
2
6
4-4
100%
6-15
3-7
40%
46%
0-0
-
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 22.2
26.2
22.6
6
60%
7
3
1
1
1
3
0
7
0-0
-
3-5
2-6
60%
44%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 22.3
25.7
11.7
9
70%
7
0
0
0
3
0
2
5
7-10
70%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.2
26.2
18.5
10
54%
6
2
1
0
1
3
0
6
4-5
80%
3-5
2-5
60%
42%
0-2
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.9
22.3
3.0
4
50%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 28.5
16.1
27.0
3
38%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
1-4
25%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.0
13.9
14.4
2
17%
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
0-4
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 29.1
13.4
14.2
5
32%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
1-3
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 19.4
2.5
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 24.3
17.2
0
2-5
49%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 25.6
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 30.0
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.5
35.8
35.8
10
40%
3
4
3
2
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
49%
1-9
11%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.3
33.2
34.9
36
87%
7
6
2
2
1
1
0
7
4-4
100%
4-8
6-12
50%
51%
8-11
73%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.1
28.7
30.9
11
87%
8
1
0
1
1
6
1
7
1-3
33%
5-5
6-10
100%
59%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.1
27.5
24.1
5
32%
4
3
3
1
3
1
0
4
0-2
0%
1-5
4-9
20%
47%
1-2
50%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.5
26.5
30.2
14
44%
4
3
0
1
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
4-12
33%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.3
24.4
23.6
12
43%
4
1
0
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
5-12
3-6
42%
55%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 28.8
22.1
24.2
5
31%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
1-4
25%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.3
19.0
17.2
5
63%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.0
15.4
11.9
1
57%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.4
2.5
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 23.6
2.5
4.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-2
0%
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.0
2.5
3.0
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
1-1
100%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 26.0
4.0
0
0-1
43%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.0
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.